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Shawn’s Trade Ideas

Short term trade ideas in Australian and International Equities & ETFs

About Market Matters Portfolios

About The Strategy

Trading ideas targeting short term explosive moves with stop levels provided on entry and updated daily. The “Active Tag” says we’re still happy to buy now!

Trade Stats
Performance WINS LOSSES AVERAGE WIN AVERAGE LOSS EDGE
The numbers +30 -23 +9.89% -4.50% +2.86
* Inception date 05/08/2024
Portfolio Holdings trade now
CODE NAME TRADE TIME RISK BUY DATE STOP LEVEL ($) BUY PRICE ($) LAST PRICE ($) DIVIDENDS ($) DAILY CHANGE (%) GAIN / LOSS (%)
ARB ARB Corp 10:00 High 22/06/2026 18.64 19.65 19.17 1.43 -2.44
TLX Telix Pharmaceuticals 10:00 High 22/06/2026 14.90 14.55 15.94 3.98 9.55
TWE Treasury Wine Estates (TWE) 10:00 High 25/05/2026 4.56 4.50 4.81 2.02 6.89
Recent Sales trade now
Company code STOCK NAME ACTIVITY RISK TIME HORIZON EXIT DATE ENTRY PRICE ($) CLOSE PRICE ($) DIVIDENDS ($) GAIN / LOSS (%)
XRO Xero Ltd Stop price hit for loss High Short 16/06/2026 76.5 73 0 -4.75
FMG Fortescue Ltd Stop price hit for profit High Short 20/05/2026 21.02 21.4 0 1.81
XRO Xero Ltd Stop price hit for loss High Short 11/05/2026 75.28 80.2 0 6.11
IAG Insurance Australia Group Stop price hit for loss High Short 08/05/2026 7.56 7.35 0 -2.77
APE Eagers Automotive Stop price hit for profit High Short 05/05/2026 23.2 23.9 0 3.01
WIRE Global X Copper ETF Stop price hit for profit High Short 28/04/2026 20.98 23.4 0 11.54
MIN Mineral Resources Stop price hit for loss High Short 28/04/2026 62.19 59 0 -5.12
TPW Temple & Webster Stop price hit for loss High Short 13/04/2026 6.76 7.12 0 5.33
XRO Xero Ltd Stop price hit for loss High Short 09/04/2026 70.11 74.4 0 6.11
WTC WiseTech Global Stop price hit for loss High Short 30/03/2026 39.5 35.8 0 -9.36
EDV Endeavour Group Stop price hit for loss High Short 04/03/2026 3.82 3.75 0 -1.83
GQG GQG Partners Stop price hit for loss High Short 11/02/2026 1.65 1.59 0 -3.6
NIC Nickel Industries Stop price hit for loss High Short 06/02/2026 0.94 0.87 0 -7.45
TPW Temple & Webster Stop price hit for loss High Short 04/02/2026 12.45 11.5 0 -7.63
NVO US Novo Nordisk Stop price hit for profit High Short 30/01/2026 50.5 59.27 0 17.37
WEB WEB Travel Group Stop price hit for loss High Short 29/01/2026 4.68 4.55 0 -2.78
XRO Xero Ltd Stop price hit for profit High Short 30/12/2025 111.23 114.21 0 2.68
DMP Dominos Pizza Stop price hit High Short 23/12/2025 21.5 21.5 0 0
SFR Sandfire Resources Took profit High Short 22/12/2025 15.2 17.28 0 13.68
WTC WiseTech Global Stop price hit High Short 27/11/2025 66.5 65.7 0 -1.2
WDS Woodside Energy Stop price hit for profit High Short 24/11/2025 24.4 25.31 0 3.73
SFR Sandfire Resources Stop price hit High Short 20/11/2025 16.09 15.58 0 -3.17
URNM BetaShares Uranium ETF Stop price hit High Short 17/10/2025 10.44 10.4 0 -0.3
WIRE Global X Copper ETF Stop price hit High Short 05/11/2025 18.75 18.1 0 -3
URNM BetaShares Uranium ETF Stop price hit for profit High Short 17/10/2025 11.29 11.9 0 5
WIRE Global X Copper ETF Stop price hit for profit High Short 13/10/2025 14.1 18.88 0 34
WHC Whitehaven Coal Ltd Stop price hit High Short 09/10/2025 6.68 6.42 0 -4
ACDC Global X Battery Tech & Lithium ETF Stop price hit for profit High Short 02/09/2025 91.25 104.8 0 15
FMG Fortescue Ltd Stop price hit for profit High Short 26/08/2025 19.05 19.15 0 1
QRE BetaShares Australian Resources ETF Stop price hit for profit High Short 29/07/2025 6.7 7.05 0 5
PDN Paladin Energy Stop price hit High Short 29/07/2025 6.8 6.45 0 -5
WHC Whitehaven Coal Ltd Stop price hit High Short 28/07/2025 6.15 6.64 0 7.97
URNM BetaShares Uranium ETF Took profit High Short 30/06/2025 7.5 9.15 0 22
WDS Woodside Energy Stop price hit for profit High Short 23/06/2025 23.05 24 0 4.12
GDX VanEck Gold Miners ETF Took profit High Short 13/06/2025 70 85 0 21.43
PLS Pilbara Minerals Stop price hit High Short 03/06/2024 1.18 1.09 0 -7.63
IZZ iShares Large-Cap China ETF Stop price hit for profit High Short 29/05/2024 50 53.25 0 6.5
NDQ BetaShares NASDAQ 100 ETF Took profit High Short 29/05/2025 41.8 50.15 0 19.98
IIND BetaShares India Quality ETF Stop price hit for profit High Short 07/05/2025 11.6 11.7 0 0.86
IZZ iShares China Large Cap ETF Took profit High Short 25/03/2025 51.6 57.75 0 11.91
IEU iShares European Equities ETF Took profit High Short 25/03/2025 93 94.97 0 2.11
WIRE Global X Copper ETF Stop price hit High Short 24/02/2025 13.25 12.5 0 -5.66
PLS Pilbara Minerals Stop price hit High Short 10/02/2025 2.15 2.17 0 0.93
AGVT Betashares Australian Governme Stop price hit High Short 13/01/2025 40.9 40.8 0 -0.24
NHF nib holdings Ltd/Australia Stop price hit High Short 19/12/2024 5.7 5.4 0 -5.26
RMS Ramelius Resources Ltd Stop price hit High Short 19/12/2024 2.29 2.16 0 -5.68
WHC Whitehaven Coal Ltd Stop price hit High Short 05/12/2024 6.78 6.4 0 -5.6
GEAR BetaShares Geared Australian E Took profit High Short 21/11/2024 32.04 32.9 0 2.68
BEN Bendigo & Adelaide Bank Ltd Took profit High Short 21/11/2024 12.48 13.4 0 7.37
NVDA US NVIDIA Took profit High Short 18/11/2024 134.9 139.5 0 3.41
ETPMAG Global X Physical Silver Stop price hit High Short 31/10/2024 46.5 43.98 0 -5.42
AUDS BetaShares Strong Australian D Stop price hit High Short 30/10/2024 6.4 6 0 -6.25
FMG Fortescue Ltd Took profit High Short 30/09/2024 17.12 21.26 0 24.18
NVDA US NVIDIA Took profit High Short 26/08/2024 100 130 0 30
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Opinions relating to short-term trades

Trading Ideas – Position Updates

We start the week with three open positions: Long Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (TWE) at $4.50 with stops at $4.56, now marginally above our entry. Long ARB Corp (ARB) at $19.66, with stops at $18.64. Long Telix Pharma (TLX) at $14.55, with stops at $14.90, again marginally above our entry. 

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Shawn’s Trade Idea: Xero Ltd (ASX: XRO) $69.05

XRO has been by far the most actively traded stock in our trading ideas section, with four attempts yielding a net small profit - not too bad with the stock having fallen 67% in the last 12-months. However, ideally we like to buy stocks/markets in an uptrend that are correcting but XRO has tempted us on occasion, looking for a sharp bounce. Again, we’re targeting a bounce, in line with earlier discussions towards the software stocks outperforming the AI Trade in the coming weeks.

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Telix Pharma Ltd (ASX: TLX) $15.73

Telix caught the markets attention yesterday popping +8% on no major news. However, with a sizeable short position (12.6%) still outstanding and the stock already up around 40% year-to-date, the potential for a sharp short squeeze remains high.

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Shawn’s Trade Idea: Telix Pharma Ltd (ASX: TLX) $14.50

Similar to the retailers, healthcare has performed strongly this month and after a tough 12-moints we can see some bargain hunting entering TLX which has been hurt by regulatory setbacks rather than operational performance, i.e. FDA delays, an SEC investigation into pipeline disclosures and elevated investor expectations combined to trigger a sharp de-rating, despite continued strong growth from its flagship imaging franchise.

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Trading Ideas – Position Updates

We start the week with two positions: Long Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (TWE) at $4.50 with stops at $4.24, around 6% risk. Long Xero (XRO) at $76.50 with stops at $73.00, around 5% risk.

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Shawn’s Trade Idea:

No trades at this stage with markets set to pop higher this morning, watch for alerts later in the week. 

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Shawn’s Trade Idea: Global X Semiconductor ETF (SEMI) $41.19

After 48-hours of volatile trade its hard to know how the SEMI ETF will open today hence our relatively conservative bid this morning although it would probably have been hit yesterday when the KOSPI fell more than 8% - this order may well be amended through the week.

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Shawn’s Trade Idea: Buy Xero Ltd (ASX: XRO) ~$76

In line with the “risk on” attitude washing through US markets, aka the meme stocks, and the strong ~6% gain by rival Intuit Inc (NADSAQ: INTU) on Friday night we believe the risk/reward towards battered local software names, like Xero looks attractive.

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Shawn’s Trade Idea: Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE) at $4.50

Recent substantial shareholder disclosure shows Billionaire Olivier Goudet and Luxembourg’s Platin raised his stake in Treasury Wine Estates with their voting power rising to 9.04%. Together they own 73 million shares after a series of on-market purchases. We believe the market will start to sniff some M&A on the horizon rerating the battered wine maker.

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Actions relating to short-term trades

TWE
UPDATED 25/05/2026 09:38
Trade Idea: Buy Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (TWE) at $4.50, with initial stops at $4.17 , around 7% risk
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TWE
UPDATED 23/04/2026 07:58
MM is cautiously bullish TWE
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TWE
UPDATED 05/03/2026 09:48
MM is neutral towards TWE around $4.20
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TWE
UPDATED 16/02/2026 17:39
MM is neutral toward TWE ~$5
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TWE
UPDATED 18/12/2025 09:43
MM is neutral towards TWE
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TWE
UPDATED 18/12/2025 09:40
MM remains neutral TWE ~$5
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TWE
UPDATED 13/10/2025 17:01
MM is neutral toward TWE ~$6
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TWE
UPDATED 22/09/2025 17:11
MM is neutral towards TWE
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TWE
UPDATED 28/05/2025 10:14
MM sees deep-seated value in TWE below $8
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TWE
UPDATED 12/03/2025 10:23
MM are selling TWE in the Active Growth Portfolio, taking a loss around $10
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