A quiet end to a solid week for stocks, chalking up a positive move to kick off FY26. The FY25 trend of buying certainty at any price has taken a (slight) knock, with sectors and stocks representing better value attracting more flows this week.
The sector/stock divergence that we’ve been highlighting recently stepped up a notch today as BHP outperformed CBA by more than 7% while there was some big moves in some of the beaten down commodities in particular following positive trends overseas.
Some volatility on the stock level hit today, with Dominos whacked as the new CEO resigns, Helius lost another big customer and fell ~20% while UBS scattered a couple of Tom Thumbs in the wealth/funds management sector, taking a more favorable stance – a topic we’ll look at tomorrow morning. By the close, the market was back testing 8600, some 80 points above the midday low, and the bullish vibe has now hit July!
A lacklustre first trading session of FY26 with the index trying to push higher early but faltering before the closing bell. All those itching to sell CBA can now do so without paying tax for a while prompting some re-allocation amongst the banks - ANZ the standout today up +2.5% while CBA fell by 1.2%. It was fairly quiet elsewhere.
A solid final trading session for the financial year was underpinned by strength in the banks early after their U.S counterparts passed financial regulator stress testing with flying colours overnight, though it wasn’t to last with the move reversing through the session.
The day kicked off with a promising +50pt open though it was short-lived as a steady rotation from the banks to resources swept through the market after a supposed resolution to US-China trade negotiations was reached triggering a –90pt swing from start to finish as we closed at the low of the day.
A very quiet session for Aussie stocks today, though the recent trend continued with buying of weakness, although the dip was only small this morning. Xero (XRO) came back online post cap raise, down ~9% early but saw strong buying during the session to recover 50% of its loses.
The market held on to yesterdays rally today, finishing flat, as strength continued in the banks while the miners lagged as we approach the EOFY i.e. the trends that have persisted in FY25 are extending, however, what comes in FY26 is now firmly on our radar. While it’s hard to see anyone selling CBA before the 30th June and wearing a big tax bill, CBA’s +50% gain this year (relative to its ~4% earnings growth) pushing it up to a ~12% index weight in the ASX 200 is simply extraordinary. They say trees don’t grow to the sky, but CBA is certainly having a good crack, pushing its valuation to ~29x and yield down to 2.5%, closing today at a new record of $191.40!
A strong rebound for the ASX following news of a ceasefire overnight, though it seems missiles continued to fly today, and while it knocked the ASX off its morning high, the concern was short lived.
We were the first major market to absorb the weekend’s strikes on Iran, and while stocks fell, it was far from aggressive, with the ASX trading down ~80pts at the lows before the dip buyers emerged, pushing the index up ~50pts from the morning nadir.
The sector/stock divergence that we’ve been highlighting recently stepped up a notch today as BHP outperformed CBA by more than 7% while there was some big moves in some of the beaten down commodities in particular following positive trends overseas.
Some volatility on the stock level hit today, with Dominos whacked as the new CEO resigns, Helius lost another big customer and fell ~20% while UBS scattered a couple of Tom Thumbs in the wealth/funds management sector, taking a more favorable stance – a topic we’ll look at tomorrow morning. By the close, the market was back testing 8600, some 80 points above the midday low, and the bullish vibe has now hit July!
A lacklustre first trading session of FY26 with the index trying to push higher early but faltering before the closing bell. All those itching to sell CBA can now do so without paying tax for a while prompting some re-allocation amongst the banks - ANZ the standout today up +2.5% while CBA fell by 1.2%. It was fairly quiet elsewhere.
A solid final trading session for the financial year was underpinned by strength in the banks early after their U.S counterparts passed financial regulator stress testing with flying colours overnight, though it wasn’t to last with the move reversing through the session.
The day kicked off with a promising +50pt open though it was short-lived as a steady rotation from the banks to resources swept through the market after a supposed resolution to US-China trade negotiations was reached triggering a –90pt swing from start to finish as we closed at the low of the day.
A very quiet session for Aussie stocks today, though the recent trend continued with buying of weakness, although the dip was only small this morning. Xero (XRO) came back online post cap raise, down ~9% early but saw strong buying during the session to recover 50% of its loses.
The market held on to yesterdays rally today, finishing flat, as strength continued in the banks while the miners lagged as we approach the EOFY i.e. the trends that have persisted in FY25 are extending, however, what comes in FY26 is now firmly on our radar. While it’s hard to see anyone selling CBA before the 30th June and wearing a big tax bill, CBA’s +50% gain this year (relative to its ~4% earnings growth) pushing it up to a ~12% index weight in the ASX 200 is simply extraordinary. They say trees don’t grow to the sky, but CBA is certainly having a good crack, pushing its valuation to ~29x and yield down to 2.5%, closing today at a new record of $191.40!
A strong rebound for the ASX following news of a ceasefire overnight, though it seems missiles continued to fly today, and while it knocked the ASX off its morning high, the concern was short lived.
We were the first major market to absorb the weekend’s strikes on Iran, and while stocks fell, it was far from aggressive, with the ASX trading down ~80pts at the lows before the dip buyers emerged, pushing the index up ~50pts from the morning nadir.
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