The ASX200 ground out a small 0.1% gain on Thursday leaving us marginally higher for both the week and month, it’s becoming boring on the index level but my “Gut Feeling” is movement is looming on the horizon. The Banks continue to weigh on the index but a strong 2.4% bounce by the IT Sector managed to keep us in positive territory – its been a long while since both of the value & growth names rose or fell together as sector rotation continues to dominate proceedings. December arrives in less than week and the bullish statistics keep on rolling e.g. over the last 40-years...
On Wednesday the ASX200 continued to rotate around the 7400 area, it’s acted like a strong magnet since the last half of October, so far this month the markets remained in a tight 168-point band – with only 4 trading days remaining the local markets delivered a monthly range well under half of the calendar years average, even after soaring bond yields and inflation have shaken the confidence of many investors. If I had known at the start of the month where bond yields were today I would have called the index 5% lower, either I’m too reactive or the stock market remains...
The ASX200 sprang back to life yesterday with the Banks and heavyweight iron ore names combining to send the index up 0.8%, finally closing right back in the middle of the last 5-weeks trading range. Complacency can be the enemy of a successful investor and it’s our opinion that after consolidating for a very similar 3-month period to this time last year the likelihood of a breakout has increased dramatically i.e. don’t assume that the current market slumber will continue:
The ASX200 tumbled 0.6% yesterday as the banks led the broad market lower, there were a few bright pockets amongst the 30% of stocks which managed to close higher with the lithium and nickel names the standouts for me. Iron ore names are slowly getting up from the canvas on news of China easing but the tourism stocks came under distinct pressure as a number of European countries languish under an ever worsening COVID 4th wave plus yesterday evening saw Air New Zealand being been forced to cancel 1000 trans-Tasman flights due to border restrictions...
Many global stocks continue to hover just below recently posted all-time highs e.g. S&P500 0.4%, UK FTSE 2.4%, German DAX 0.8% while the ASX200 is set to open this morning 3.7% below its August high. You have to cast your eyes across Asia before you find markets that make us look good from a comparative performance perspective but when you look under the hood of the ASX200 its easy to comprehend why we’ve struggled against some of our western peers i.e. over the last few months we’ve seen market heavyweights BHP Group (BHP), Westpac (WBC)...
The ASX200 managed to bounce yesterday even after a negative lead from Wall Street and ongoing weakness from the local Banking Sector with CBA already 11.5% below last weeks high, another 5% and it will become interesting to MM. There were no particular standouts on the sector front and only 3 stocks moved by over 5%, the market still remains comfortable in its 7300 – 7480 trading range and while our preference is a breakout to the upside it has been a touch frustrating how the ASX has ignored...
The ASX200 was clobbered 50-points yesterday courtesy of a disappointing result from CBA which plunged over 8% taking a whopping 45-points off the index all on its own – more on this later. The impact of a weak Banking Sector on the ASX was illustrated perfectly by the markets 0.68% decline even when 65% of stocks closed up on the day.
The ASX200 succumbed to broad based selling on Tuesday, only the IT Sector managed to close in positive territory while the resources led the declines - the stock and sector rotation continues almost day to day, anybody attempting to identify a clear trend looks destined for disappointment. As we often say the market will be there tomorrow and it usually tells us where it wants to go hence be patient and don’t force an opinion too firmly on this market while its treading water i.e. MM is still bullish while being conscious...
On Monday the ASX200 tried and failed yet again to break through the 7480 barrier, perhaps it will be 8th time lucky. By lunchtime yesterday it actually felt like the local market was going to break out above its October / November high but the buyers aggressive morning appetite faded after lunch although we still managed to close within 10-points of MM’s technical breakout level. We are mid-way through November and its range is less than half of the monthly average through 2021 which implies a break above 7480...
Global stocks are hovering around their all-time highs impressively ignoring a sharp move higher by inflation and subsequent surge in global bond yields, most subscribers probably have a handle on the numbers by now:
On Wednesday the ASX200 continued to rotate around the 7400 area, it’s acted like a strong magnet since the last half of October, so far this month the markets remained in a tight 168-point band – with only 4 trading days remaining the local markets delivered a monthly range well under half of the calendar years average, even after soaring bond yields and inflation have shaken the confidence of many investors. If I had known at the start of the month where bond yields were today I would have called the index 5% lower, either I’m too reactive or the stock market remains...
The ASX200 sprang back to life yesterday with the Banks and heavyweight iron ore names combining to send the index up 0.8%, finally closing right back in the middle of the last 5-weeks trading range. Complacency can be the enemy of a successful investor and it’s our opinion that after consolidating for a very similar 3-month period to this time last year the likelihood of a breakout has increased dramatically i.e. don’t assume that the current market slumber will continue:
The ASX200 tumbled 0.6% yesterday as the banks led the broad market lower, there were a few bright pockets amongst the 30% of stocks which managed to close higher with the lithium and nickel names the standouts for me. Iron ore names are slowly getting up from the canvas on news of China easing but the tourism stocks came under distinct pressure as a number of European countries languish under an ever worsening COVID 4th wave plus yesterday evening saw Air New Zealand being been forced to cancel 1000 trans-Tasman flights due to border restrictions...
Many global stocks continue to hover just below recently posted all-time highs e.g. S&P500 0.4%, UK FTSE 2.4%, German DAX 0.8% while the ASX200 is set to open this morning 3.7% below its August high. You have to cast your eyes across Asia before you find markets that make us look good from a comparative performance perspective but when you look under the hood of the ASX200 its easy to comprehend why we’ve struggled against some of our western peers i.e. over the last few months we’ve seen market heavyweights BHP Group (BHP), Westpac (WBC)...
The ASX200 managed to bounce yesterday even after a negative lead from Wall Street and ongoing weakness from the local Banking Sector with CBA already 11.5% below last weeks high, another 5% and it will become interesting to MM. There were no particular standouts on the sector front and only 3 stocks moved by over 5%, the market still remains comfortable in its 7300 – 7480 trading range and while our preference is a breakout to the upside it has been a touch frustrating how the ASX has ignored...
The ASX200 was clobbered 50-points yesterday courtesy of a disappointing result from CBA which plunged over 8% taking a whopping 45-points off the index all on its own – more on this later. The impact of a weak Banking Sector on the ASX was illustrated perfectly by the markets 0.68% decline even when 65% of stocks closed up on the day.
The ASX200 succumbed to broad based selling on Tuesday, only the IT Sector managed to close in positive territory while the resources led the declines - the stock and sector rotation continues almost day to day, anybody attempting to identify a clear trend looks destined for disappointment. As we often say the market will be there tomorrow and it usually tells us where it wants to go hence be patient and don’t force an opinion too firmly on this market while its treading water i.e. MM is still bullish while being conscious...
On Monday the ASX200 tried and failed yet again to break through the 7480 barrier, perhaps it will be 8th time lucky. By lunchtime yesterday it actually felt like the local market was going to break out above its October / November high but the buyers aggressive morning appetite faded after lunch although we still managed to close within 10-points of MM’s technical breakout level. We are mid-way through November and its range is less than half of the monthly average through 2021 which implies a break above 7480...
Global stocks are hovering around their all-time highs impressively ignoring a sharp move higher by inflation and subsequent surge in global bond yields, most subscribers probably have a handle on the numbers by now:
