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Morning report

What Matters Today: Middle East uncertainty outweighs two Fed cuts in 2025

Wednesday saw the ASX200 close down 0.1% after rotating in another tight 0.4% range as the market remains in its “Middle East Conflict” holding pattern. The losers slightly beat the winners, with only two stocks moving by over 5%, illustrating the lacklustre nature of the day. At the sector level, weakness in the resources sector more than offset gains in tech, which we will examine later today
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Is it too late to buy the Energy Sector?

The ASX200 surprised many on Monday, managing to eke out a small gain even after the Dow tumbled over 760 points on Friday night, although it helped that US futures bounced ~0.5% during our trading session. It certainly hasn’t taken long for the Middle East conflict to join other recent geopolitical & macroeconomic events in being ignored by stocks, as fears of missing out on further strength remain a greater concern to many fund managers.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Tensions in the Middle set to dominate markets in June

In the past, last week's outbreak of hostilities between Israel and Iran was the kind of geopolitical flashpoint that might have triggered a full-blown market meltdown. Yet, so far, in a year where crises have come in waves, primarily courtesy of Trump 2.0, traders from London to New York have opted to hold their breath rather than flee en masse.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Around the World with 7 ETFs’

The ASX 200 surrendered early gains as “Trump tariff talk” weighed on the already “stretched” market. Ever since he's heard the “TACO” phrase, the president has been talking a lot tougher. Only time will tell if the acronym is true or not, i.e. “Trump Always Chickens Out”.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The unloved Bull Market confounds the numerous bears

The ASX200 posted a record close on Tuesday as broad-based buying took the index up 0.8%, with the heavyweight financials leading the market higher; the “Big Four” gained an average of 1.2%. The market adopted a clear “risk on” theme as it approached all-time highs, while abandoning some of the year's best-performing defensives, as underweight fund managers appeared increasingly exposed to the rising market.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: ETF Friday focuses on Yield as the RBA is forecast to cut again in July

The ASX 200 closed marginally lower on Thursday, surrendering early gains in a fairly lacklustre session, which at one stage was only ~0.6% from its February all-time high. The healthcare sector was the weakest on the day, with heavyweight CSL contributing the most to the index decline, decreasing 1.3%. There was some rare reversion on the stock/sector level, with gold names struggling while lithium names popped higher, not the normal EOFY tax loss selling shenanigans you would expect as we commence June:
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MM remains cautiously bullish toward the ASX200 through 2025
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MM remains cautiously bullish towards U.K. stocks through 2025
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USD
MM is bearish on the $US medium to longer term
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MM is neutral/bearish the BEAR around $7.50
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MM is neutral/bearish on the BBOZ around $23.46
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MM is neutral/bearish on the SNAS around $22.30
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MM is neutral/bearish on the BBUS around $3.88
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Latest Reports

Morning report

What Matters Today: Middle East uncertainty outweighs two Fed cuts in 2025

Wednesday saw the ASX200 close down 0.1% after rotating in another tight 0.4% range as the market remains in its “Middle East Conflict” holding pattern. The losers slightly beat the winners, with only two stocks moving by over 5%, illustrating the lacklustre nature of the day. At the sector level, weakness in the resources sector more than offset gains in tech, which we will examine later today

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Is it too late to buy the Energy Sector?

The ASX200 surprised many on Monday, managing to eke out a small gain even after the Dow tumbled over 760 points on Friday night, although it helped that US futures bounced ~0.5% during our trading session. It certainly hasn’t taken long for the Middle East conflict to join other recent geopolitical & macroeconomic events in being ignored by stocks, as fears of missing out on further strength remain a greater concern to many fund managers.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Tensions in the Middle set to dominate markets in June

In the past, last week's outbreak of hostilities between Israel and Iran was the kind of geopolitical flashpoint that might have triggered a full-blown market meltdown. Yet, so far, in a year where crises have come in waves, primarily courtesy of Trump 2.0, traders from London to New York have opted to hold their breath rather than flee en masse.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Around the World with 7 ETFs’

The ASX 200 surrendered early gains as “Trump tariff talk” weighed on the already “stretched” market. Ever since he's heard the “TACO” phrase, the president has been talking a lot tougher. Only time will tell if the acronym is true or not, i.e. “Trump Always Chickens Out”.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The unloved Bull Market confounds the numerous bears

The ASX200 posted a record close on Tuesday as broad-based buying took the index up 0.8%, with the heavyweight financials leading the market higher; the “Big Four” gained an average of 1.2%. The market adopted a clear “risk on” theme as it approached all-time highs, while abandoning some of the year's best-performing defensives, as underweight fund managers appeared increasingly exposed to the rising market.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: ETF Friday focuses on Yield as the RBA is forecast to cut again in July

The ASX 200 closed marginally lower on Thursday, surrendering early gains in a fairly lacklustre session, which at one stage was only ~0.6% from its February all-time high. The healthcare sector was the weakest on the day, with heavyweight CSL contributing the most to the index decline, decreasing 1.3%. There was some rare reversion on the stock/sector level, with gold names struggling while lithium names popped higher, not the normal EOFY tax loss selling shenanigans you would expect as we commence June:

what matters today Market Matters
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