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Morning report

What Matters Today: Defensive stocks are looking interesting

The ASX200 enjoyed a strong Wednesday reaching fresh post COVID highs in the late afternoon, only in January & February of 2020 has the local index ever traded higher. When we look at the market internals things currently look good with over 65% of the market rising, plus 10 stocks surged over 10% compared to the days weakest link Credit Corp (CCP) which only fell -3.7%.

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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Markets are trading at post COVID highs.

The ASX200 is now 2-weeks into both April and Q2 of 2021 and we’re finally seeing some action on the index level with the local market up almost +3% making fresh 12-month highs in the process, the same again on the upside and the bulls will be cheering fresh all-time highs! Yesterday was another fairly uneventful session across Asia with only 55% of the Australian market closing positive, with the exception of the BNPL space roaring ahead, led by Zip (Z1P) which rallied +17%, it was also a fairly muted start to the week under the hood.

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Morning report

What Matters Today: A time to act like a doctor

The ASX200 drifted -0.3% yesterday following US futures lower during our time zone, losers managed to outnumber winners 2:1 on a day when there were very few standout winners e.g. Cochlear was the best performing stock and it rallied less than 3%.

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Morning report

Macro Monday (on Tuesday): Don’t fight the trend (just yet)!

Following the longest break of the year for the ASX, we’re tipped to open higher this morning as global markets break to new highs with a confluence of better economic data and news of further stimulus in the US last week creating a strong tailwind for risk assets. Last week saw the resumption of the trends that played out in 2020, namely outperformance by the growth / technology stocks and underperformance of value.

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Morning report

What Matters Today: Considering 4 of the worst performers from Q1

The first quarter of 2021 is behind us and after 3 extremely choppy months on the stock & sector level the ASX200 itself has managed to advance 3%, or an average of just 1% per month. The determining factor of sector performance year to date has been the sharp appreciation by longer dated bond yields as markets factor in a major post COVID economic recovery.

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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Q1 is almost behind us.

The ASX200 has totally ignored some strong leads from global indices this week, on Monday morning a test of 6900 appeared imminent but the combination of Brisbane’s lockdown and fears around JobKeeper ending today has sent the local index down closer to 6700 come Tuesdays final bell. – as can be seen on the chart below we’re back at the mid-point of 2021, yet again. The selling yesterday was noticeably broad based with almost 85% of the ASX200 closing in the red, notably the Telco’s were the only sector which managed to close in positive territory as Telstra (TLS) continued to firm.

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MM is neutral the ASX200 as the index edges towards trendline resistance.
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MM is looking for Australian 10-year bond yields to drift back towards 1.5%
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MM is bullish APT targeting fresh all-time highs
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MM is very cautious US equities around current levels
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MM can see US tech failing from the current 14,000 area
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MM is still looking for Bitcoin to correct in the coming months
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MM is targeting a decent correction by global banks
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MM is targeting fresh all-time highs by the US Utilities Sector
MM is now neutral WES
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MM likes the Healthcare sector in the months ahead
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MM is bullish SKI initially targeting a test of 2020 highs
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MM believes APA will outperform over the coming months
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MM is long & bullish RHC
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MM is bullish SHL targeting fresh all-time highs
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Latest Reports

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Markets are trading at post COVID highs.

The ASX200 is now 2-weeks into both April and Q2 of 2021 and we’re finally seeing some action on the index level with the local market up almost +3% making fresh 12-month highs in the process, the same again on the upside and the bulls will be cheering fresh all-time highs! Yesterday was another fairly uneventful session across Asia with only 55% of the Australian market closing positive, with the exception of the BNPL space roaring ahead, led by Zip (Z1P) which rallied +17%, it was also a fairly muted start to the week under the hood.

Morning report

What Matters Today: A time to act like a doctor

The ASX200 drifted -0.3% yesterday following US futures lower during our time zone, losers managed to outnumber winners 2:1 on a day when there were very few standout winners e.g. Cochlear was the best performing stock and it rallied less than 3%.

Morning report

Macro Monday: Are the ducks aligning for further gains?

April is one of the most bullish months of the year for equities with an average gain for the ASX 200 over the past 10 years of 2.5%, while 80% of the time the market has finished the month higher.

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Tweaking a number of portfolios with a focus on Flagship Growth

The ASX200 rallied yesterday up through the 6900 level only to falter in late trade to close marginally below the fairly insignificant milestone. Not surprising really given we’ve had a handful of attempts at a breakout only for it to fail and the market to fall back into the trading range that has held firm for more than 5 months now.

Morning report

Macro Monday (on Tuesday): Don’t fight the trend (just yet)!

Following the longest break of the year for the ASX, we’re tipped to open higher this morning as global markets break to new highs with a confluence of better economic data and news of further stimulus in the US last week creating a strong tailwind for risk assets. Last week saw the resumption of the trends that played out in 2020, namely outperformance by the growth / technology stocks and underperformance of value.

Morning report

What Matters Today: Considering 4 of the worst performers from Q1

The first quarter of 2021 is behind us and after 3 extremely choppy months on the stock & sector level the ASX200 itself has managed to advance 3%, or an average of just 1% per month. The determining factor of sector performance year to date has been the sharp appreciation by longer dated bond yields as markets factor in a major post COVID economic recovery.

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Q1 is almost behind us.

The ASX200 has totally ignored some strong leads from global indices this week, on Monday morning a test of 6900 appeared imminent but the combination of Brisbane’s lockdown and fears around JobKeeper ending today has sent the local index down closer to 6700 come Tuesdays final bell. – as can be seen on the chart below we’re back at the mid-point of 2021, yet again. The selling yesterday was noticeably broad based with almost 85% of the ASX200 closing in the red, notably the Telco’s were the only sector which managed to close in positive territory as Telstra (TLS) continued to firm.

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