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MM added to our frustrating position in Newcrest Mining (NCM) yesterday, hopefully we aren’t throwing good money after bad! The gold price has corrected almost 20% since the euphoric period last August and as we’ve seen this year when markets become too optimistic watch out and vice-versa.
As MM keeps saying “selling strength and buying weakness will add value in 2021” and gold certainly ticks the box of the later. I wont go into the fundamental reasons why we are bullish gold around the $US1700 area as its covered very succinctly by Rocky in the video contained and we share those views, but the technical picture is also supportive with silver remaining on track to make fresh multi-year highs above $US30/oz.

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Latest Reports

Afternoon report

The Match Out: ASX drifts as ZIP surges and banks stay under pressure

The ASX 200 slipped today, ending the session lower, awaiting further clarity on negotiations around the US-Iran ceasefire and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The market snapped a three-week winning streak after the sharp rebound seen earlier in the month, though the pullback looks more like a period of consolidation rather than a meaningful shift in the broader trend.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
Morning report

ETF Friday: As the War Premium Unwinds, Four Energy ETFs Back In Focus

For a third consecutive session, the ASX 200 opened strongly above 9000 before falling away throughout the day, dragged lower by the influential banks - it must be reading the MM report this week! Such is the hefty influence of the banks that, although over 60% of the main board closed higher on Thursday, an average drop by the “Big Four Banks” of over 2% was enough to drag the index down by 0.3%. Under the hood, the markets following the MM script so far this week.

Afternoon report

The Match Out: Tech roars but banks drag as the ASX slips

The ASX wavered today as investors balanced improving global risk sentiment against fresh domestic data. The local market initially opened higher following record closes on Wall Street, but struggled to hold early gains as traders digested Australia’s latest labour market report.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
Morning report

What Matters Today: The War Trade Unwinds – How to Reposition in Energy

The ASX200 again drifted lower after a strong open to finish Wednesday's session up just +0.1% - closing above the psychological 9000 level is proving tough after the recent strong run. The banks were again the main drag on the index, with the “Big Four Banks” all closing down on the day, with Westpac’s -1.9% fall the standout following their Tuesday update. On the sector level, the tech names outperformed for a change, gaining +2.4% while the energy names took the wooden spoon, slipping -1.9%.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
Afternoon report

The Match Out: ASX consolidates as EVN leads the gold charge

The ASX looked set for a strong day early, but only finished marginally higher. We probably sound like a broken record at times – the ASX will struggle to push meaningfully higher without the banks leading, but today was the perfect example. The index briefly pushed above the 9,000 level intraday, though selling in financials capped the advance.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
Afternoon report

The Match Out: ASX closes lower but digs in as US-Iran talks sour

The ASX finished lower today though the move was somewhat contained considering the escalation in rhetoric around the Middle East conflict. The local market entered the session digesting the breakdown of peace talks between the US and Iran in Pakistan over the weekend, with President Donald Trump announcing plans for a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, causing a +7% spike in oil prices.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
Morning report

Macro Monday: The Bulls Fight Back – But the Ceasefire Calm is in Danger

Global equities posted a solid rally last week, driven by hopes that the US-Iran ceasefire would fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz — removing a key inflation risk and clearing the path for global growth to regain momentum before any lasting economic damage was done.

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