What Matters Today: Commodities are hurting right now, but have we got the right mix for when they turn?

The ASX200 was hammered yesterday, losing over 150-points and retracing over 30% of August’s recovery in one fell swoop – a classic case of up by the stairs and down by the elevator. Losses were broad-based, with all 11 sectors and over 90% of stocks closing lower, a bad day at the office being an understatement. The influential banks and resources followed the negative lead from the US, with all eyes now turning to Friday’s US Jobs report; if it comes in poor, we may be in store for a repeat of early August as recession fears mount. US credit markets are already pricing in one 0.25% rate cut this month (with the possibility of 0.5% in play) and a full 1% by Christmas.

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Afternoon report 14/11/2025 17:34

The Match Out: ASX suffers worst week since March

The Australian market copped another heavy bout of selling today, with sentiment rattled by growing fears that interest rates in both the US and Australia aren’t coming down any time soon. The move follows Wall Street’s largest one-day fall in a month and caps the ASX’s worst week since March.

Alerts 14/11/2025 16:51

Trade Alert – Active Growth Portfolio

We are making two changes to the growth portfolio today.

Morning report 14/11/2025 09:39

ETF Friday: Navigating the volatile resources through the lens of ETFs

Volatility is on the increase in equities, but it's already been high in recent months across the commodity markets, from precious metals to lithium and copper. The moves have been significant as investors and traders have battled with the usual supply and demand fundamentals, combined with the almost random-like comments coming out of the Whitehouse. However, while the resources sector hasn’t been for the fainthearted, it has outperformed in 2025, with the Materials Index up 24% year-to-date, while the previously much-loved tech space is down 11%. This morning, we updated our views across 6 commodities using related ETFs as the need to keep our finger on the pulse increases.

Afternoon report 13/11/2025 17:06

The Match Out: Stronger employment sniffs out chance of a rate cut this year, DroneShield whacked as CEO shows no faith

The ASX200 dropped sharply today, falling to a ten-week low after a strong jobs report dashed hopes of near-term RBA rate cuts, sending the rate-sensitive real estate and tech sectors down. The roaring gold sector provided a buffer, while the psychological 8700 level proved itself as a support, with a broad ~55pt rally softening the blow into the close.

Morning report 13/11/2025 10:04

What Matters Today: The New Energy Stack for AI

The ASX200 closed down 0.2% on Wednesday, reversing early gains and closing below the psychological 8800 level. Over 50% of the main board closed higher, but another 3% drop by CBA was enough to drag the index lower, with Australia's largest bank now over 17% below its June high.

Afternoon report 13/11/2025 08:38

The Match Out: ASX falls late, Min Res rips on asset sale

The ASX finished lower today with decent sessions from miners and energy stocks more than offset by weakness in technology and financials, as selling in CBA struck again, capping broader momentum.

Morning report 12/11/2025 09:36

Portfolio Positioning: CBA drags the ASX into the red all on its own

The ASX200 started Tuesday in an encouraging fashion, up ~0.5%, as the US government neared a reopening deal, before the index reversed to close down 17 points, or 0.2%. The weakness was almost entirely down to CBA, even though winners outstripped losers by 2:1, when the ASX's largest stock tumbles 6.6%, the local bourse is going to struggle to close higher.

Afternoon report 11/11/2025 17:22

The Match Out: CBA sinks the ASX on soft quarterly

The ASX200 wavered through Tuesday’s session, opening up strongly after steps toward a resolution for the U.S government shutdown saw U.S markets rip overnight.

Morning report 11/11/2025 09:45

What Matters Today: The unheralded mining services names continue to kick goals

The ASX 200 rallied strongly on Monday, closing up +0.8% with 70% of the main board finishing higher. The local bourse enjoyed a strong tailwind from US futures and commodity prices as risk markets bounced on the news of the imminent end to the US government shutdown.

Afternoon report 10/11/2025 16:49

The Match Out: ASX bounces, ANZ climbs despite profit miss

A constructive start to the week underpinned by strength in US Futures on news the Govt shutdown is nearing an end – that supported the risk on trade with the ASX building on gains as the session progressed, fueled by good buying in tech, Gold and Uranium.