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The ASX200 was clobbered -1.65% yesterday following savage declines on Wall Street, only the healthcare & gold names caught any semblance of a bid while consumer stocks followed their US peers sharply lower around concerns of rising wages / operating costs. Equities are continuing to adjust to higher inflation and interest rates but we believe it’s now predominantly fears of a potential recession on the horizon that’s become investors’ main focus, as we approach the mid-point of 2022 MM feels we probably need a sniff of slowing inflation before markets can find a meaningful bottom.

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Latest Reports

Morning report

What Matters Today: 5 Major takeaways from March’s BofA Fund Managers survey

The ASX 200 rose another 0.3% on Wednesday, with around 70% of the index finishing higher as oil prices eased slightly and buying interest returned to the miners - RIO (+1.2%) and BHP Group (+0.7%). However, it was a relatively quiet session as investors digested this week's RBA’s split rate decision ahead of this morning’s Fed meeting, where no change was expected for a second consecutive meeting, and since the attacks on Iran, rate cuts are now not anticipated until late 2026.

Afternoon report

The Match Out: ASX ends higher, shrugs off Iran noise as focus shifts to the Fed tonight

The ASX 200 closed up in a decent session, shrugging off the RBA’s move and the immediate Iran-related volatility and instead refocusing on underlying fundamentals. With the RBA firmly in the rear-view mirror following Tuesday's hike, attention has shifted squarely to tonight's US Federal Reserve decision. Tech and real estate led the charge, with growth stocks clawing back recent losses as bond yields settled and seven of eleven sectors finished higher — the kind of broad participation that hints at improving conviction in a wobbled market.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: A very grounded Michele Bullock delivers a 0.25% rate hike

The ASX200 rebounded +0.4% on Tuesday, with most of the gains enjoyed after the RBA lifted interest rates from 3.85% to 4.1% at 2.30 pm. The materials sector was back on top of the leaders board, advancing +1% as gold stocks led the bounce, while tech was back in the naughty corner, retreating another 1.25%, taking it within 4% of making fresh 2026 lows.

Afternoon report

The Match Out: ASX recovers, ends higher as RBA hikes 25bps to 4.1%

The ASX closed modestly higher on Tuesday in a session that was entirely about one thing: the RBA. A split 5-4 decision to raise the cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.1% initially sent the dollar and bond yields lower as the narrow margin cast doubt over the path ahead, but banks and materials held the index in positive territory, though it wasn't a convincing rally.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
Morning report

What Matters Today: Three gold stocks on MM’s radar as the sector corrects over 20%

The ASX200 ended a choppy session on Monday down 0.4%, with miners and tech stocks leading the declines. While fewer than 40% of the main board finished higher, it was the heavyweight miners that drove most of the decline, with BHP, Northern Star and Fortescue accounting for around 60% of the day’s net fall.

Afternoon report

The Match out: ASX dips ahead of RBA rate call tomorrow

The ASX 200 fell as a broad sell-off in the mining sector overwhelmed a solid showing from defensives and financials. Six of eleven sectors finished higher, but that didn't matter much when the heavyweights were doing the damage. Gold miners were hit as bullion continued to slide following two consecutive weeks of declines. Iron ore stocks also weighed after China's state-backed trader eased restrictions on BHP ore grades — partially unwinding last week's fear-driven rally as fresh data showed Chinese steel output fell 3.6% in the first two months of the year.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
Morning report

Macro Monday: Gulf War sustains $US100 oil, weighing on stocks

The worst oil supply disruption in history shows little sign of easing, keeping crude elevated since the Iran conflict began as Trump and Iran’s new leader signal little appetite for de-escalation. Washington has allowed more sanctioned Russian crude to flow in an attempt to cap prices, but markets are increasingly concerned that Trump & Co may have bitten off more than they can chew, particularly with US mid-term elections looming in November.

Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: The US-Iran War continues to take its toll on global markets

The ASX200 ended a choppy week down 2.6%, with the Middle East conflict weighing on equities. Energy was the only sector to finish higher, while rate-sensitive tech (-7%) and real estate (-5%) dragged on the index as surging oil prices reignited inflation fears. The influential materials sector also endured a tough week, retreating -4.7% as weakness in copper and gold stocks offset a bounce in iron ore names. However, the market's largest stock, BHP, weighed heavily on the index, falling 5.7% over the week as a Chinese ban on its iron ore caused increasing angst. The moves on Friday night in the US point to more of the same next week, with gold and copper stocks coming under renewed pressure.

Afternoon report

The Match Out: ASX drifts lower, down 2.6% for the week

The dominant forces were geopolitical and monetary policy related. The escalating Iran conflict drove oil above $US101/barrel, stoking inflation concerns and cementing market expectations of an RBA rate hike at Tuesday's meeting - markets are pricing an 80% probability by close. That rate repricing drove a sharp rotation: banks were again the standout beneficiaries, with NAB leading at +1.5%, while gold miners came under significant pressure.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
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