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Overvalued
Morningstar Quantitative Rating as of 4 NOV 2026.
Quantitative Equity Rating Methodology – view here
Five-star price 120.29 Fair value 137.78 One-star price 157.82
Morningstar Quantitative Rating as of 4 NOV 2026.
Morningstar Quantitative Rating as of 4 NOV 2026. The slider runs from the five-star price (120.29) to the one-star price (157.82).
| Ratios |
|---|
| Currency (Price/reporting): USD/USD |
| Exchange Rate: 1.0000 |
| Price - closing or last bid | 154.40 |
| Price - 12 month high | 170.73 |
| Price - 12 month low | 83.44 |
| Pricing date | 3 NOV 2026 |
| Volume - avg. trading volume for the last ten days | 3.72 |
| Market capitalization | 74,095.80 |
| 12 Month High price date | 24 AUG 2026 |
| 12 Month Low price date | 20 NOV 2025 |
| Volume - avg. trading volume for the last 3 months | 4.07 |
| Price - 1 Day % Change | -2.51% |
| Price - 13 week price percent change | 3.38% |
| Price - 26 week price percent change | 19.79% |
| Price - 5 Day % Change | 4.32% |
| Price - 52 week price percent change | 68.84% |
| Price - YTD price percent change | 58.47% |
| Price % Change Month To Date | -1.03% |
| EPS excluding extraordinary items - most recent fiscal year | 8.130 |
| EPS excluding extraordinary items - trailing 12 month | 9.630 |
| EPS Normalized - most recent fiscal year | 7.570 |
| Revenue/share - most recent fiscal year | 229.982 |
| Revenue/share - trailing 12 month | 236.377 |
| Book value per share - most recent fiscal year | 35.697 |
| Book value per share - most recent quarter | 39.285 |
| Book value (tangible) per share - most recent fiscal year | 34.303 |
| Book value (tangible) per share - most recent quarter | 39.285 |
| Cash per share - most recent fiscal year | 12.119 |
| Cash per share - most recent quarter | 11.913 |
| Cash Flow per share - most recent fiscal year | 15.288 |
| Cash Flow per share - trailing 12 month | 17.191 |
| Dividend per share - most recent fiscal year | 4.540 |
| Dividends per share - trailing 12 month | 4.580 |
| EBITD per share - trailing 12 month | 20.327 |
| EPS Basic excluding extraordinary items - most recent fiscal year | 8.160 |
| EPS Basic excluding extraordinary items - trailing 12 month | 9.680 |
| EPS including extraordinary items - most recent fiscal year | 8.160 |
| EPS including extraordinary items - trailing 12 month | 9.680 |
| Free Cash Flow per share - trailing 12 month | 7.826 |
| P/E excluding extraordinary items, most recent fiscal year | 16.94 |
| P/E Normalized, most recent fiscal year | 16.08 |
| Price to sales - most recent fiscal year | 0.69 |
| Price to Tangible Book - most fiscal year | 4.15 |
| Price to Free Cash Flow per Share - most recent fiscal year | 20.84 |
| Price to Cash Flow per share - trailing 12 month | 9.49 |
| Price to Book - most recent fiscal year | 4.15 |
| P/E excluding extraordinary items high, trailing 12 months | 20.57 |
| P/E excluding extraordinary items low, trailing 12 months | 10.14 |
| Net Debt, LFI | 13,278.00 |
| Net Debt, LFY | 14,802.00 |
| Dividend Yield - 5 Year Average | 2.80% |
| Dividend Yield - indicated annual dividend divided by closing price | 2.89% |
| Current Dividend Yield - Common Stock Primary Issue, LTM | 2.81% |
| Free Cash Flow - most recent fiscal year | 3,238.00 |
| LT debt/equity - most recent fiscal year | 110.04% |
| Payout ratio - most recent fiscal year | 55.84% |
| Total debt/total equity - most recent fiscal year | 125.52% |
| LT debt/equity - most recent quarter | 98.37% |
| Total debt/total equity - most recent quarter | 104.74% |
| Free Cash Flow - trailing 12 month | 3,566.00 |
| Payout ratio - trailing 12 month | 47.51% |
| Revenue - most recent fiscal year | 104,780.00 |
| Revenue - trailing 12 month | 107,705.00 |
| EBITD - most recent fiscal year | 8,346.00 |
| EBITD - trailing 12 month | 9,262.00 |
| Earnings before taxes - most recent fiscal year | 4,767.00 |
| Earnings before taxes - trailing 12 month | 5,660.00 |
| Net Income available to common - most recent fiscal year | 3,705.00 |
| Net Income available to common - trailing 12 months | 4,392.00 |
| Earnings before taxes Normalized - most recent fiscal year | 5,048.00 |
| Net Income Available to Common, Normalized - most recent fiscal year | — |
| Earnings per Share, Normalized, Excluding Extraordinary Items, Avg. Diluted Shares Outstanding, TTM | 10.14 |
| Net Profit Margin % - 1st historical fiscal year | 3.54% |
| Net Profit Margin % - trailing 12 month | 4.08% |
| Operating margin - 1st historical fiscal year | 4.88% |
| Operating margin - trailing 12 month | 5.59% |
| Pretax margin - trailing 12 month | 5.26% |
| Pretax margin - 1st historical fiscal year | 4.55% |
| Operating Margin - 5 year average | 5.48% |
| Pretax Margin - 5 year average | 5.19% |
| Free Operating Cash Flow/Revenue, 5 Year Average | 3.22% |
| Free Operating Cash Flow/Revenue, TTM | 3.31% |
| Net Profit Margin - 5 year average | 4.07% |
| Return on average assets - most recent fiscal year | 6.36% |
| Return on average assets - trailing 12 month | 7.40% |
| Return on average equity - most recent fiscal year | 24.15% |
| Return on average equity - trailing 12 month | 27.00% |
| Return on average assets - 5 year average | 7.72% |
| Return on average equity - 5 year average | 31.40% |
| Net Income/employee - most recent fiscal year | 8,927.71 |
| Revenue/employee - most recent fiscal year | 252,481.93 |
| Revenue growth rate, 5 year | 2.29% |
| EPS growth rate, 5 year | -1.21% |
| Growth rate% - dividend, 3 year | 4.51% |
| Revenue/share (5 yr growth) | 4.44% |
| Growth rate% - Revenue, 3 year | -1.34% |
| Growth rate% - EPS, 3 year | 10.78% |
| Book value per share growth rate, 5 year | 4.37% |
| Capital Spending growth rate, 5 year | 7.07% |
| Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation & Amortization, 5 Year CAGR | -1.52% |
Financial forecast (USD, millions except per share)
| Actuals | Estimates | |||||||
| 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | ||||
| Estimate breakdown | ||||||||
Financials (USD, millions)
| Period end: | JAN 22 | JAN 23 | JAN 24 | JAN 25 | JAN 26 |
| Fiscal year: | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
| Period length: | 12 months | 12 months | 53 months | 52 months | 52 months |
Announcements
Announcements are available for ASX-listed companies only.
US discount food and merchandise retailer Target Inc (TGT US) missed earnings expectations badly in May leading to a crash style plunge in the stock, last night it downgraded again as consumers are already migrating away from discretionary items to the less profitable day to day required staples. The failure to execute well in the increasingly challenging conditions has seen analysts become nervous about the...
As we’ve touched on earlier Target has led a sharp pullback in US Consumer Staples stocks with the selling flowing through to similar local names plus retail stocks were also caught up in the downdraft e.g. yesterday we saw Wesfarmers (WES) -7.8%, JB Hi-Fi (JBH) -6.6%, Metcash (MTS) -6.5% and Woolworths (WOW) -5.6%. MM has successfully avoided retail stocks this year but we are holding some supermarket stocks + Wesfarmers...
TGT US -25%: The big US retailer announced higher costs and weakening demand in an earnings update overnight that prompted a 25% drop in the shares which flowed through to weakness in our retail sector today. Their CEO Brian Cornell said that profit will amount to only about 6% of sales this year, 2 percentage points below the previous forecast, with the company’s first-quarter adjusted profit missing...
Target's start dates back to 1962, but now it is one of the largest discount retailers in the United States (where it derives all of its sales), operating just under 2,000 stores and generating over $104 billion in fiscal 2025 sales. The company offers a broad assortment of merchandise across categories including apparel and accessories (16% of fiscal 2025 revenue), beauty and household essentials (30%), food and beverage (24%), hardlines (15%), as well as home furnishings (15%). Target's model is anchored in its physical store base, which fulfills more than 97% of sales. Around 30% of sales are derived from its own private-label brands.
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