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Morning report

What Matters Today: 3 portfolio moves MM are monitoring through current elevated volatility

The ASX200 felt strong yesterday even though it closed down over 0.5%, the local index managed to recoup half of the days early losses with 35% of stocks finally to closing in positive territory while the IT and Resources Sectors both closed up on the day - only 2 stocks fell by over 5% which illustrated the lack of aggressive selling, unlike Friday! However it’s one thing for the market to find support into weakness but we need a definite 360 about-face in market sentiment to make another assault on new highs, now over 5% away.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: How should investors react to Omicron?

Omicron has been the subject on many people’s minds over the last few days, surely not another ruined Christmas etc. The social impact of lockdowns over the last few years has been simply awful and one comment I’ve heard numerous times over this weekend has been “I’m not sure I can cope with another lockdown” . Europe was already struggling under yet another winter wave of COVID and now we have a new variant thrown into the mix which has already described as “cause for concern”, although at this stage it does appear markets...
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: 5 ETF’s MM can see ourselves investing in over the next year

The ASX200 ground out a small 0.1% gain on Thursday leaving us marginally higher for both the week and month, it’s becoming boring on the index level but my “Gut Feeling” is movement is looming on the horizon. The Banks continue to weigh on the index but a strong 2.4% bounce by the IT Sector managed to keep us in positive territory – its been a long while since both of the value & growth names rose or fell together as sector rotation continues to dominate proceedings. December arrives in less than week and the bullish statistics keep on rolling e.g. over the last 40-years...
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Why MM likes the Active investing approach into 2022

On Wednesday the ASX200 continued to rotate around the 7400 area, it’s acted like a strong magnet since the last half of October, so far this month the markets remained in a tight 168-point band – with only 4 trading days remaining the local markets delivered a monthly range well under half of the calendar years average, even after soaring bond yields and inflation have shaken the confidence of many investors. If I had known at the start of the month where bond yields were today I would have called the index 5% lower, either I’m too reactive or the stock market remains...
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Tech wobbles after Biden nominates Jerome Powell for round 2

The ASX200 sprang back to life yesterday with the Banks and heavyweight iron ore names combining to send the index up 0.8%, finally closing right back in the middle of the last 5-weeks trading range. Complacency can be the enemy of a successful investor and it’s our opinion that after consolidating for a very similar 3-month period to this time last year the likelihood of a breakout has increased dramatically i.e. don’t assume that the current market slumber will continue:
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Have CBA & Westpac killed off the banks?

The ASX200 tumbled 0.6% yesterday as the banks led the broad market lower, there were a few bright pockets amongst the 30% of stocks which managed to close higher with the lithium and nickel names the standouts for me. Iron ore names are slowly getting up from the canvas on news of China easing but the tourism stocks came under distinct pressure as a number of European countries languish under an ever worsening COVID 4th wave plus yesterday evening saw Air New Zealand being been forced to cancel 1000 trans-Tasman flights due to border restrictions...
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: only 33-days until Christmas, is a rally coming?

Many global stocks continue to hover just below recently posted all-time highs e.g. S&P500 0.4%, UK FTSE 2.4%, German DAX 0.8% while the ASX200 is set to open this morning 3.7% below its August high. You have to cast your eyes across Asia before you find markets that make us look good from a comparative performance perspective but when you look under the hood of the ASX200 its easy to comprehend why we’ve struggled against some of our western peers i.e. over the last few months we’ve seen market heavyweights BHP Group (BHP), Westpac (WBC)...
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Is Tesla our favourite car maker?

The ASX200 managed to bounce yesterday even after a negative lead from Wall Street and ongoing weakness from the local Banking Sector with CBA already 11.5% below last weeks high, another 5% and it will become interesting to MM. There were no particular standouts on the sector front and only 3 stocks moved by over 5%, the market still remains comfortable in its 7300 – 7480 trading range and while our preference is a breakout to the upside it has been a touch frustrating how the ASX has ignored...
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Are supply chain uncertainties creating opportunities?

The ASX200 was clobbered 50-points yesterday courtesy of a disappointing result from CBA which plunged over 8% taking a whopping 45-points off the index all on its own – more on this later. The impact of a weak Banking Sector on the ASX was illustrated perfectly by the markets 0.68% decline even when 65% of stocks closed up on the day.
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The RBA remains convinced rate hikes won’t be until 2023/24

The ASX200 succumbed to broad based selling on Tuesday, only the IT Sector managed to close in positive territory while the resources led the declines - the stock and sector rotation continues almost day to day, anybody attempting to identify a clear trend looks destined for disappointment. As we often say the market will be there tomorrow and it usually tells us where it wants to go hence be patient and don’t force an opinion too firmly on this market while its treading water i.e. MM is still bullish while being conscious...
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what matters today Market Matters
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MM remains cautiously bullish the ASX
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HUB
MM can again see HUB testing its highs
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FMG
MM is bullish FMG initially targeting the $19-20 area
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QBE
MM likes QBE into weakness
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IVV
MM remains mildly bullish US equities into 2022
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MM likes US 2-year yields around 0.4%
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AWC
MM is considering switching from FMG and increasing our AWC position
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SUN
MM will be tempted to switch from QBE to SUN if the later continues to underperform
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ALU
Our initial target for ALU is around $45
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Latest Reports

Morning report

Macro Monday: How should investors react to Omicron?

Omicron has been the subject on many people’s minds over the last few days, surely not another ruined Christmas etc. The social impact of lockdowns over the last few years has been simply awful and one comment I’ve heard numerous times over this weekend has been “I’m not sure I can cope with another lockdown” . Europe was already struggling under yet another winter wave of COVID and now we have a new variant thrown into the mix which has already described as “cause for concern”, although at this stage it does appear markets...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: 5 ETF’s MM can see ourselves investing in over the next year

The ASX200 ground out a small 0.1% gain on Thursday leaving us marginally higher for both the week and month, it’s becoming boring on the index level but my “Gut Feeling” is movement is looming on the horizon. The Banks continue to weigh on the index but a strong 2.4% bounce by the IT Sector managed to keep us in positive territory – its been a long while since both of the value & growth names rose or fell together as sector rotation continues to dominate proceedings. December arrives in less than week and the bullish statistics keep on rolling e.g. over the last 40-years...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Why MM likes the Active investing approach into 2022

On Wednesday the ASX200 continued to rotate around the 7400 area, it’s acted like a strong magnet since the last half of October, so far this month the markets remained in a tight 168-point band – with only 4 trading days remaining the local markets delivered a monthly range well under half of the calendar years average, even after soaring bond yields and inflation have shaken the confidence of many investors. If I had known at the start of the month where bond yields were today I would have called the index 5% lower, either I’m too reactive or the stock market remains...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Tech wobbles after Biden nominates Jerome Powell for round 2

The ASX200 sprang back to life yesterday with the Banks and heavyweight iron ore names combining to send the index up 0.8%, finally closing right back in the middle of the last 5-weeks trading range. Complacency can be the enemy of a successful investor and it’s our opinion that after consolidating for a very similar 3-month period to this time last year the likelihood of a breakout has increased dramatically i.e. don’t assume that the current market slumber will continue:

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Have CBA & Westpac killed off the banks?

The ASX200 tumbled 0.6% yesterday as the banks led the broad market lower, there were a few bright pockets amongst the 30% of stocks which managed to close higher with the lithium and nickel names the standouts for me. Iron ore names are slowly getting up from the canvas on news of China easing but the tourism stocks came under distinct pressure as a number of European countries languish under an ever worsening COVID 4th wave plus yesterday evening saw Air New Zealand being been forced to cancel 1000 trans-Tasman flights due to border restrictions...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: only 33-days until Christmas, is a rally coming?

Many global stocks continue to hover just below recently posted all-time highs e.g. S&P500 0.4%, UK FTSE 2.4%, German DAX 0.8% while the ASX200 is set to open this morning 3.7% below its August high. You have to cast your eyes across Asia before you find markets that make us look good from a comparative performance perspective but when you look under the hood of the ASX200 its easy to comprehend why we’ve struggled against some of our western peers i.e. over the last few months we’ve seen market heavyweights BHP Group (BHP), Westpac (WBC)...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Is Tesla our favourite car maker?

The ASX200 managed to bounce yesterday even after a negative lead from Wall Street and ongoing weakness from the local Banking Sector with CBA already 11.5% below last weeks high, another 5% and it will become interesting to MM. There were no particular standouts on the sector front and only 3 stocks moved by over 5%, the market still remains comfortable in its 7300 – 7480 trading range and while our preference is a breakout to the upside it has been a touch frustrating how the ASX has ignored...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Are supply chain uncertainties creating opportunities?

The ASX200 was clobbered 50-points yesterday courtesy of a disappointing result from CBA which plunged over 8% taking a whopping 45-points off the index all on its own – more on this later. The impact of a weak Banking Sector on the ASX was illustrated perfectly by the markets 0.68% decline even when 65% of stocks closed up on the day.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The RBA remains convinced rate hikes won’t be until 2023/24

The ASX200 succumbed to broad based selling on Tuesday, only the IT Sector managed to close in positive territory while the resources led the declines - the stock and sector rotation continues almost day to day, anybody attempting to identify a clear trend looks destined for disappointment. As we often say the market will be there tomorrow and it usually tells us where it wants to go hence be patient and don’t force an opinion too firmly on this market while its treading water i.e. MM is still bullish while being conscious...

what matters today Market Matters
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