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Morning report

What Matters Today: The $US has fallen and yields are drifting, can gold stocks finally rally?

The ASX200 rallied strongly yesterday following a good result and subsequent surge by Commonwealth Bank (CBA) – the company beat market expectations by around 5% which led to a 5.6% advance by Australia’s 2nd largest stock. The bank will be trading ex-dividend, $1.75 fully franked next week which must be very tempting for the yield hungry investors. The sentiment which emanated from CBA’s result was far reaching with 87% of stocks posting gains, only the Energy & Materials Sectors slipped slightly after...
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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Everyone has winners, but what about our duds?

Tuesday saw the ASX200 rally over 1% with more than 70% of the index closing in positive territory but it was the gains in the stocks / sectors where it mattered that pushed the index back towards 7200 i.e. the banks, BHP and CSL all rallied which outweighed another weak session by some tech names. BHP now makes up more than 10% of the ASX200 and its 18.5% rally in 2022, supported by gains in iron ore & energy, has certainly cushioned the falls in the tech space.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Is the demise of Magellan (MFG) creating value elsewhere in the Fund Managers?

The ASX200 put in another solid performance yesterday to rally over 60-points from its mid-morning low to close down just 0.1%, bargain hunters continue to surface when we see limited negative leads from US futures although a couple of times during our session we saw how easily the local market gets spooked when the S&P500 futures started to edge lower i.e. this definitely remains a nervous market. The Energy Sector was again the top performer rallying 1.6% while the Healthcare and Real Estate Sectors...
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Company performance joins bond yields to weigh on equities

Last week saw 2 major macro headwinds weigh on stocks but overall we felt risk assets held up extremely well with the ASX200 & S&P500 both managing to rally 1.8% even as investors became more nervous & twitchy by the day. While confidence is certainly mixed MM sticks with our view that equities have found or are “looking for” a low albeit one which might only last a few months:
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Are Meta Platforms (FB US) & Netflix (NFLX US) sending a clear message?

We felt the ASX200 put in a stellar performance on Thursday to fall less than 10-poinst as US futures fell away during our time zone – poor results from the likes of Meta Platforms, the old Facebook (FB US), and Spotify (SPOT US) after the US market closed more than reversed the gains during their day session e.g. Mark Zuckerberg’s Meta Platforms (FB US) was already down well over 20% in New York late trade. The ASX Tech Sector followed the negative US lead closing the day down 5.9%, by far the worst performer – more on this later.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Your first loss may well be the best loss in 2022!

The ASX200 rallied strongly yesterday extending early morning gains on broad based buying that saw over 80% of the index rally – the Energy sector led yet again which has a feeling about it that underweight fund managers are slowly capitulating as crude oil continues to post fresh 7-year highs hence they’re simply missing out, the perfect recipe for a quick sharp rally. Wednesday actually had a surprisingly steady feel about it considering the index rallied over 80-points as buying was consistent but not impulsive as was enjoyed across...
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The ASX200 reclaims 7000 but can it be sustained?

Tuesday saw the ASX200 rally 0.5% on broad based buying with over 80% of the index closing in positive territory, unfortunately some fairly aggressive profit taking in the heavyweight iron ore miners reigned in the gains. The interest rate sensitive Tech and Utilities Sectors led the line as rising bond yields / inflation is slowly becoming old news. The RBA stepped up to the plate yesterday, the news was largely expected which was illustrated perfectly by the markets deepest and most liquid markets:
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Where now for 3 of the ASX200’s worst stocks in January?

Stocks will be glad to see the back of January which saw the local ASX200 fall over 11% from its monthly high of 7620 to its low of 6758 with Healthcare and IT Sectors leading the descent e.g. 50% of the Australian tech names are already down over 20% year to date. The steep decline has made the quarterly range one of the largest in the last decade, especially if we remove the initial panic when COVID first entered our lives back in early 2020. However the declines have been very broad based with 13% of the ASX200 currently in the black while the unpopular Energy Sector dominates the winners...
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: How MM is looking to “play” today’s volatility

Equities have been hammered over the last 2-weeks as concerns that higher inflation is set to spark rate hikes across the globe gathered momentum and understandably / logically the high valuation growth names have borne the brunt of the selling. Thursday saw a 4% intra-day bearish turnaround as margin selling appeared to roll through the market after 11am, a short-term panic style bottom feels close at hand, or even in, and we should remember that seasonally buying a January pullback and holding into early Q2 has a great historical track record. I recently read an article by Shane Oliver...
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MM is net bullish the ASX following its close over 7200
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VUK
MM remains long and bullish VUK
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S32
MM likes S32 while it can hold above $4.20
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AWC
MM remains long and bullish AWC
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MM is bullish the Dow over the coming months
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MM is bullish the Japanese Nikkei
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USD
MM is bearish the $US through 2022
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MM is bearish bond yields through 2022
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MM is bullish gold over the months ahead
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NCM
MM is long and bullish NCM
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NST
MM is long and bullish NST
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EVN
MM likes EVN around $3.50
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Latest Reports

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Everyone has winners, but what about our duds?

Tuesday saw the ASX200 rally over 1% with more than 70% of the index closing in positive territory but it was the gains in the stocks / sectors where it mattered that pushed the index back towards 7200 i.e. the banks, BHP and CSL all rallied which outweighed another weak session by some tech names. BHP now makes up more than 10% of the ASX200 and its 18.5% rally in 2022, supported by gains in iron ore & energy, has certainly cushioned the falls in the tech space.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Is the demise of Magellan (MFG) creating value elsewhere in the Fund Managers?

The ASX200 put in another solid performance yesterday to rally over 60-points from its mid-morning low to close down just 0.1%, bargain hunters continue to surface when we see limited negative leads from US futures although a couple of times during our session we saw how easily the local market gets spooked when the S&P500 futures started to edge lower i.e. this definitely remains a nervous market. The Energy Sector was again the top performer rallying 1.6% while the Healthcare and Real Estate Sectors...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Company performance joins bond yields to weigh on equities

Last week saw 2 major macro headwinds weigh on stocks but overall we felt risk assets held up extremely well with the ASX200 & S&P500 both managing to rally 1.8% even as investors became more nervous & twitchy by the day. While confidence is certainly mixed MM sticks with our view that equities have found or are “looking for” a low albeit one which might only last a few months:

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Are Meta Platforms (FB US) & Netflix (NFLX US) sending a clear message?

We felt the ASX200 put in a stellar performance on Thursday to fall less than 10-poinst as US futures fell away during our time zone – poor results from the likes of Meta Platforms, the old Facebook (FB US), and Spotify (SPOT US) after the US market closed more than reversed the gains during their day session e.g. Mark Zuckerberg’s Meta Platforms (FB US) was already down well over 20% in New York late trade. The ASX Tech Sector followed the negative US lead closing the day down 5.9%, by far the worst performer – more on this later.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Your first loss may well be the best loss in 2022!

The ASX200 rallied strongly yesterday extending early morning gains on broad based buying that saw over 80% of the index rally – the Energy sector led yet again which has a feeling about it that underweight fund managers are slowly capitulating as crude oil continues to post fresh 7-year highs hence they’re simply missing out, the perfect recipe for a quick sharp rally. Wednesday actually had a surprisingly steady feel about it considering the index rallied over 80-points as buying was consistent but not impulsive as was enjoyed across...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The ASX200 reclaims 7000 but can it be sustained?

Tuesday saw the ASX200 rally 0.5% on broad based buying with over 80% of the index closing in positive territory, unfortunately some fairly aggressive profit taking in the heavyweight iron ore miners reigned in the gains. The interest rate sensitive Tech and Utilities Sectors led the line as rising bond yields / inflation is slowly becoming old news. The RBA stepped up to the plate yesterday, the news was largely expected which was illustrated perfectly by the markets deepest and most liquid markets:

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Where now for 3 of the ASX200’s worst stocks in January?

Stocks will be glad to see the back of January which saw the local ASX200 fall over 11% from its monthly high of 7620 to its low of 6758 with Healthcare and IT Sectors leading the descent e.g. 50% of the Australian tech names are already down over 20% year to date. The steep decline has made the quarterly range one of the largest in the last decade, especially if we remove the initial panic when COVID first entered our lives back in early 2020. However the declines have been very broad based with 13% of the ASX200 currently in the black while the unpopular Energy Sector dominates the winners...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: How MM is looking to “play” today’s volatility

Equities have been hammered over the last 2-weeks as concerns that higher inflation is set to spark rate hikes across the globe gathered momentum and understandably / logically the high valuation growth names have borne the brunt of the selling. Thursday saw a 4% intra-day bearish turnaround as margin selling appeared to roll through the market after 11am, a short-term panic style bottom feels close at hand, or even in, and we should remember that seasonally buying a January pullback and holding into early Q2 has a great historical track record. I recently read an article by Shane Oliver...

what matters today Market Matters
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