Over the last 2-weeks on Ausbiz our Research Lead Shawn has mentioned how cryptos and especially Bitcoin can be a leading indicator for stocks, the chart below illustrates perfectly how in November 2021 Bitcoin topped out about 2-weeks earlier than the US Tech Sector, they subsequently rolled lower in tandem as “risk off” has become the new norm, the current read through for liquidity and risk assets is one of clear short-term caution:
A few words from Jerome Powell was enough to whack the ASX200 yesterday with only 2% of stocks managing to close up on Monday but the -1.95% sell-off still felt restrained compared to US indices - although we did post fresh 4-week lows on the day. There was no particular surprise with yesterday’s reaction to Jerome Powell’s comments from Jackson Hole and subsequent aggressive sell-off across US stocks, the interest rates sensitive local Tech Sector fell -4.4% to be worst on ground although there was nowhere...
Jerome Powell delivered almost the exact speech most stock market investors/traders were dreading from Jackson Hole on Friday however if you’re relatively cashed up like MM its not all bad news, although it’s unlikely our portfolios will be unscathed this morning even while we hold our highest cash levels in months. This is actually an opportune time to make mention of how important we believe psychology is for successful investing, to MM it ranks equally alongside the other 2 largely more recognised building blocks on which successful market players focus their efforts/attention:
The ASX200 rallied strongly on Thursday helped by a bounce in US stocks, a couple of strong company reports and further corporate activity as Perpetual (PPT) and Pendal Group (PDL) look to have finally tied the knot – M&A was added to overnight as the next stage of the KKR v Ramsay Healthcare (RHC) saga was released, more on this later. Market sentiment was also helped by Japan looking to restart nuclear power as the idealistic alternatives fail to match the country’s energy demands – it’s been well over a decade since the 2011 Fukushima disaster hammered consumer confidence in nuclear power but time can heal many wounds.
Wednesday saw the ASX200 fight hard to recover some of the last few day’s losses with the index finally closing up +0.5%, just below the psychological 7000 level. It was a busy day on the earnings front for the ASX with sentiment buoyed by further strong company performances, over 80% of the stocks on the main board which reported earnings closed up on the day. While only 62% of the index managed to advance it was another strong performance from the miners which suppressed any intra-day jitters, the IT Sector also helped the cause as they followed the lead from an improved sector performance on Wall Street plus a +12.8% rally by Wisetech (WTC) helped sentiment.
Yesterday was a tough day at the office for stocks with the ASX200 falling -1.2% on broad-based selling which resulted in 80% of the main board closing lower at the indexes lowest close since July. The market opened on a bearish note following losses across US & European bourses but this time a mixed bag of corporate results wasn’t enough to stem the tide and stocks extended losses over the day to close on the session low, back under the psychological 7000 level. The markets painting a fascinating picture on 2 levels with bond yields still the controlling factor:
The ASX200 endured one of its worst days for months on Monday with broad-based selling washing through the main board although it was the banks and IT stocks which caught our eye on the downside. Buyers of the dip evaporated as concerns around inflation & rate hikes returned to haunt the recent bulls of tech/growth names not helped by Australian 10-year bond yields testing their 1-month high, back above 3.5%.
Last week saw some cracks appearing in the recent advance by risk assets as bond yields continued to rise and recession concerns increased, noticeably in the European region, not a great backdrop for stocks but the ASX still managed to edge higher helped by a strong +7% rally by market heavyweight BHP Group (BHP):
The ASX200 experienced broad-based selling on Thursday with less than 25% of the index up on the day but the market heavyweights helped avoid any meaningful weakness on the index level i.e. Commonwealth Bank (CBA) +1.4%, BHP Group (BHP) +0.7% and CSL Ltd (CSL) +2.3%. Thursdays -0.2% decline hardly made a dent in the market’s recent advance, again we saw the market rally well from its early lows reducing the losses by ~70% in the process as the path of least resistance is still clearly up!
The ASX200 again made fresh 10-week highs yesterday helped by strength from the consumer-facing stocks but the buying was broad-based in nature with almost 70% of stocks on the main board advancing. The sector which stood out the most to MM were the retailers with all 8 in the ASX 200 Retailing Sector advancing. While we own discretionary retail stocks across three of Market Matters portfolios, our Flagship Growth portfolio doesn’t which feels like an omission given the better than feared outcomes being...
A few words from Jerome Powell was enough to whack the ASX200 yesterday with only 2% of stocks managing to close up on Monday but the -1.95% sell-off still felt restrained compared to US indices - although we did post fresh 4-week lows on the day. There was no particular surprise with yesterday’s reaction to Jerome Powell’s comments from Jackson Hole and subsequent aggressive sell-off across US stocks, the interest rates sensitive local Tech Sector fell -4.4% to be worst on ground although there was nowhere...
Jerome Powell delivered almost the exact speech most stock market investors/traders were dreading from Jackson Hole on Friday however if you’re relatively cashed up like MM its not all bad news, although it’s unlikely our portfolios will be unscathed this morning even while we hold our highest cash levels in months. This is actually an opportune time to make mention of how important we believe psychology is for successful investing, to MM it ranks equally alongside the other 2 largely more recognised building blocks on which successful market players focus their efforts/attention:
The ASX200 rallied strongly on Thursday helped by a bounce in US stocks, a couple of strong company reports and further corporate activity as Perpetual (PPT) and Pendal Group (PDL) look to have finally tied the knot – M&A was added to overnight as the next stage of the KKR v Ramsay Healthcare (RHC) saga was released, more on this later. Market sentiment was also helped by Japan looking to restart nuclear power as the idealistic alternatives fail to match the country’s energy demands – it’s been well over a decade since the 2011 Fukushima disaster hammered consumer confidence in nuclear power but time can heal many wounds.
Wednesday saw the ASX200 fight hard to recover some of the last few day’s losses with the index finally closing up +0.5%, just below the psychological 7000 level. It was a busy day on the earnings front for the ASX with sentiment buoyed by further strong company performances, over 80% of the stocks on the main board which reported earnings closed up on the day. While only 62% of the index managed to advance it was another strong performance from the miners which suppressed any intra-day jitters, the IT Sector also helped the cause as they followed the lead from an improved sector performance on Wall Street plus a +12.8% rally by Wisetech (WTC) helped sentiment.
Yesterday was a tough day at the office for stocks with the ASX200 falling -1.2% on broad-based selling which resulted in 80% of the main board closing lower at the indexes lowest close since July. The market opened on a bearish note following losses across US & European bourses but this time a mixed bag of corporate results wasn’t enough to stem the tide and stocks extended losses over the day to close on the session low, back under the psychological 7000 level. The markets painting a fascinating picture on 2 levels with bond yields still the controlling factor:
The ASX200 endured one of its worst days for months on Monday with broad-based selling washing through the main board although it was the banks and IT stocks which caught our eye on the downside. Buyers of the dip evaporated as concerns around inflation & rate hikes returned to haunt the recent bulls of tech/growth names not helped by Australian 10-year bond yields testing their 1-month high, back above 3.5%.
Last week saw some cracks appearing in the recent advance by risk assets as bond yields continued to rise and recession concerns increased, noticeably in the European region, not a great backdrop for stocks but the ASX still managed to edge higher helped by a strong +7% rally by market heavyweight BHP Group (BHP):
The ASX200 experienced broad-based selling on Thursday with less than 25% of the index up on the day but the market heavyweights helped avoid any meaningful weakness on the index level i.e. Commonwealth Bank (CBA) +1.4%, BHP Group (BHP) +0.7% and CSL Ltd (CSL) +2.3%. Thursdays -0.2% decline hardly made a dent in the market’s recent advance, again we saw the market rally well from its early lows reducing the losses by ~70% in the process as the path of least resistance is still clearly up!
The ASX200 again made fresh 10-week highs yesterday helped by strength from the consumer-facing stocks but the buying was broad-based in nature with almost 70% of stocks on the main board advancing. The sector which stood out the most to MM were the retailers with all 8 in the ASX 200 Retailing Sector advancing. While we own discretionary retail stocks across three of Market Matters portfolios, our Flagship Growth portfolio doesn’t which feels like an omission given the better than feared outcomes being...
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