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The ASX200 slipped back into its recent bad habits yesterday with investors prepared to chase a few bargains into weakness but unfortunately, there remains a clear absence of buyers into any meaningful degree of strength – it appears we need some improvement on the macro level before some real confidence returns to stocks but this can often occur when least expected. However, through Wednesday’s session, it was a sharp decline by the S&P500 futures that changed the initial positive sentiment for the local market as recession fears intensified dragging down influential commodities like crude oil and copper, both were down well over…
The market opened well this morning, up more than ~50pts at our high, however once again US Futures traded lower throughout our time zone and Aussie stocks followed suit, closing only marginally higher. It was the resources weighing significantly with most sectors finishing in the green despite the weaker index. Some of the more unloved parts of the market over the last quarter caught a bid today with Real Estate popping 1.45% just one example.
The ASX200 bode farewell to the financial year in the same bearish manner that’s dominated the last 2-months taking its decline for the tax rule-off period to -10.2%. Losses on the disappointing Thursday compounded through the day with the index closing down 2%, only 10% of the main board managed to close in positive territory but the fall wasn’t caused by tax-loss selling as many might discuss this morning, it was all about aggressive falls in global risk assets during our time zone which flowed into the ASX:
A fitting way to end a tough year for markets with the ASX losing ~2% to close back below 6600, and on the low of the day. For FY22, the ASX 200 is down 10.19% with a 38% fall by the IT sector the starkest of stats, while Consumer Discretionary (-23%) and Real-Estate (-16%) also fell sharply i.e. the sectors most influenced by interest rates. On the flip side, a lot of joy came from Energy (+29%) and Utilities (+24%), while the Industrials (+0.76%), Staples (-2%), Materials (-9%) & Telcos (-9%) all outperformed the broader market to varying degrees. As we suggested...
The ASX200 struggled throughout yesterday finally closing down -0.9% although it did recover a third of the morning’s losses through a relatively unconvincing afternoon bounce. Considering over 80% of the market fell it wasn’t a bad result aided by a relatively steady Banking Sector. Under the hood, it was another tough session for tech, real estate and healthcare stocks, three sectors that keep looking for a low with very little success. Overall yesterday was a quiet day bar the sharp drop on the opening, EOFY portfolio tweaks feel like they’ve already been actioned i.e. investors have become much smarter over recent years with regards to tax-loss selling now commencing much earlier.
The ASX gave back yesterday’s gains today with Real-Estate and IT feeling the pinch, although the influential banks finished higher while pockets of the resources sector also held up well. The worst of the day’s price action was seen at midday before the index edged higher into the close – not a lot happening in US Futures on either side of the ledger.
The ASX200 enjoyed another strong day on Tuesday rallying +0.9%, although over 40% of the main board closed down on the day – it was a stellar performance from the Resources Sector that dragged the index higher e.g. BHP Group (BHP) +4.3%, Fortescue Metals (FMG) +3.8% and South32 (S32) +3.7%. One of the main themes over the last 6-months has been the huge gyrations across the relative stock/sector performances which definitely remains in play today:
Back-to-back strength for the Australian market with the ASX now up 350pts / 5.5% from the recent low ~6400. Energy the standout today as Oil rallied, reports of a price cap for Russian exports the catalyst while the headline in the AFR this afternoon that suggest investors are fleeing the share market for the ‘safety’ of property seems another bullish short-term indicator for equity markets!
The ASX200 enjoyed an explosive start to the week with over 80% of the main board advancing led by the banks, energy and tech stocks, if we take the gold sector out of the mix it was almost a clean sweep for the bulls. There are only 3 trading days left of this financial year hence the easiest call for the next few sessions is we should expect plenty of volatility under the hood of the market, in both directions. Second-guessing which stocks will surge or plunge is akin to a game of two-up hence we would rather step back and see if anything becomes too cheap or expensive and then we can act accordingly i.e. don’t be surprised if you receive another trading alert over the coming week.
A solid start to the week with the ASX putting on nearly 2% led by the financial sector, although it was green right across the screen with all sectors finishing up on the day. Nice to see buying early that was supported throughout the day with the market closing near session highs – some confidence returning, at least in the short term!