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The ASX200 started the week in poor fashion, following S&P500 futures lower throughout the day in anticipation of a weak opening by Europe following the surprise French election result. Last week, markets were concerned about Le Pen, but as the results rolled in on Sunday, concerns migrated towards potential reckless spending by the victorious Left, i.e. the market interpretation being that it’s good news the Far Right lost but bad news the Far Left won. Ultimately though, moves across financial markets have been relatively muted on the view that political gridlock may at least limit the ability of the Left to enact its big-spending plans.

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Latest Reports

Afternoon report

The Match Out: Materials drive early bounce, ASX fades through the session

The ASX finished modestly higher but well off its intraday highs after an early relief rally faded as the geopolitical backdrop in the Middle East remained fluid. The index surged more than +130pts at the open, briefly pushing 8500, before momentum cooled as US futures slipped gradually through the day.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
Afternoon report

The Match Out: ASX down but recovers nicely from morning lows

The ASX finished lower, though it was much worse early on in the session. The war in the Middle East continues to dominate sentiment, with the market now down ~9% from the start of March, flirting with technical 'correction' territory.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: Markets fear the Iranian conflict has no end in sight

The ASX200 ended a tough week down -2.2%, extending March’s retreat to -8.4% with more losses likely on Monday. Materials (-7.1%) and Tech stocks (-4.2%) continued to lead the decline, as fears around global growth and inflation escalated as the war dragged on with no end in sight, and oil prices looked increasingly comfortable above $US110. On Friday night, selling intensified into the U.S. afternoon session after Reuters reported Iraq had declared force majeure on oilfields operated by foreign companies, while President Trump said he was not seeking a ceasefire with Iran. Now entering its fourth week, roughly in line with Trump’s initial timeframe, the conflict is nonetheless unsettling Washington, as Iran’s ability to disrupt oil markets with relative ease continues to drive global angst.

Morning report

ETF Friday: Looking at 4 ETFs in the cross hairs of the Middle East conflict

The ASX 200 fell by more than 140 points on Thursday, with escalating concerns about the Middle East conflict weighing heavily on the market. The miners (-4.8%) were front and centre of the selling, while energy (+5.1%) was unsurprisingly best on the ground. As the oil price surged above $US110, inflation fears soared, weighing on rate-sensitive stocks, with the crowded gold sector enduring some aggressive liquidation while tech and real estate names were also heavy as futures markets priced in at least two more rate hikes before Christmas.

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