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Morning report

Macro Monday: Jerome Powell set to propel the ASX to new highs

Fed Chair Jerome Powell used his much-anticipated speech from Jackson Hole on Friday to signal that the US central bank is on track for an interest-rate cut in September, after holding its benchmark steady in the first eight months of the year. The market reaction was instantaneous, with Powell unleashing the biggest cross-market surge since April by striking a surprisingly dovish tone during his speech. The S&P 500 Index rebounded from a five-day slide, rising +1.5%; meanwhile, the rate/economically-sensitive Russell 2000 small-cap index surged almost 4%.
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Morning report

ETF Friday: Looking into the growing Buffer ETF market

The ASX 200 surged over 100 points on Thursday to close above the 9000 level for the first time, who would have thought back in April? All 11 major sectors closed higher as the bulls got the bit between their teeth, and sellers were very stock-specific.
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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: CSL hogs the limelight as reporting season gathers momentum

The ASX200 fell 0.7% on Tuesday, with healthcare behemoth CSL inflicting all of the damage to the index; more stocks finished the session up on the day! However, when the market's third-largest company by market capitalisation at the start of the day tumbled almost 17% to end the day as the fifth-largest, it inevitably had a meaningful impact on the underlying index. To paint a clear picture, the ASX200 closed down 63 points, with CSL contributing 65 points on the negative side of the ledger - more on CSL later.
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Morning report

Macro Monday: Should we be concerned about high valuations?

We are now seven weeks into FY26, and global markets are trading at or near all-time highs. The ASX 200, including dividends, is up 4.7%, supported by a 13.7% rally in Resources and gains of more than 8% from Healthcare, Utilities, and Energy.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Is yesterday’s jump a “Get out of Jail Free card” in lithium stocks?

The ASX200 closed up +0.4% on Monday, driven to new highs by a resources sector enjoying a new lease of life; it's already surged +6.7% so far in August. The lithium stocks led the charge following the news that CATL shut down one of the world's largest mines, but on the index level, it was BHP that added the most points, around 30% of the day's 38-point gain. Outside of the gold stocks, the Materials Sector was hot, from lithium to copper, and iron ore.
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MM is now neutral towards the ASX200 in the short term
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IWM
MM is looking for the small-caps to outperform into Christmas
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MM can see the Canadian market outperforming its global peers.
MM is neutral towards UK 2-year Gilts short-term
VGB
MM is cautiously bullish towards the Australian 3s (yields lower)
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MM is cautiously bullish towards iron ore
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MM remains bullish towards gold in the medium term
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USD
MM remains bearish towards the $US medium/long term
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MM is bullish towards the $A medium term
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RRL
Trade Idea: Buy Regis Resources (RRL) at $3.91 with stops at $3.67 – 6% risk
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Latest Reports

Morning report

ETF Friday: Looking into the growing Buffer ETF market

The ASX 200 surged over 100 points on Thursday to close above the 9000 level for the first time, who would have thought back in April? All 11 major sectors closed higher as the bulls got the bit between their teeth, and sellers were very stock-specific.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: CSL hogs the limelight as reporting season gathers momentum

The ASX200 fell 0.7% on Tuesday, with healthcare behemoth CSL inflicting all of the damage to the index; more stocks finished the session up on the day! However, when the market's third-largest company by market capitalisation at the start of the day tumbled almost 17% to end the day as the fifth-largest, it inevitably had a meaningful impact on the underlying index. To paint a clear picture, the ASX200 closed down 63 points, with CSL contributing 65 points on the negative side of the ledger - more on CSL later.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Should we be concerned about high valuations?

We are now seven weeks into FY26, and global markets are trading at or near all-time highs. The ASX 200, including dividends, is up 4.7%, supported by a 13.7% rally in Resources and gains of more than 8% from Healthcare, Utilities, and Energy.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

ETF Friday: A deep dive into our Core ETF Portfolio, and how it can be used

Two of the most widely held stocks in Australia, Commonwealth Bank (CBA) and Telstra (TLS), both confirmed this week that crowded/momentum trades can be problematic. Meeting earnings expectations when the market is positioned for an upside surprise is simply not good enough.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Is yesterday’s jump a “Get out of Jail Free card” in lithium stocks?

The ASX200 closed up +0.4% on Monday, driven to new highs by a resources sector enjoying a new lease of life; it's already surged +6.7% so far in August. The lithium stocks led the charge following the news that CATL shut down one of the world's largest mines, but on the index level, it was BHP that added the most points, around 30% of the day's 38-point gain. Outside of the gold stocks, the Materials Sector was hot, from lithium to copper, and iron ore.

what matters today Market Matters
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