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AUDS
MM is bullish towards the A$, bearish towards the US$ and accordingly bullish towards gold
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VBTC
MM is bullish towards Bitcoin around US$77,000
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A200
MM remains bullish towards the ASX200 around 9050
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IVV
MM remains bullish towards the S&P 500 around 7650
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F100
MM is bullish towards the FTSE around 10,800
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GGOV US
MM is cautiously bullish towards US 30-year bonds (yields lower)
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OOO
MM is neutral towards December Brent Crude around US$90
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MXI US
MM is neutral towards iron ore around US$95/MT
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AUDS
MM is bullish towards the A$ targeting the 75c area
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SEMI
Trade Idea: Buy Global X Semiconductor ETF (SEMI) using a limit of $34.50, with stops at $32, around 7% risk.
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FCX US
MM is long and cautiously bullish toward FCX around US$76
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Latest Reports

Morning report

Macro Monday: Washington “needs” cheaper money & it’s great for our miners!

Last week saw Scott Bessent emerge as one of the most interventionist Treasury secretaries in financial markets in decades, putting his and the Treasury's credibility on the line in an effort to combat the damaging rise in US borrowing costs. On Wednesday, just two weeks after releasing its schedule for buying back older Treasury securities, the Treasury Department announced it would “at least double” its planned purchases of outstanding 10-year to 30-year debt.

Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: The miners are poised to surge higher on Monday

The ASX 200 slipped 0.6% last week despite stellar gains by the healthcare (+9.2%) and materials (+5.6%) sectors, as the “Big Four Banks” continued to weigh heavily on the local index. We're three weeks into August and reporting season is going “ok”, but the polarisation between the miners and banks remains entrenched: the miners are rallying with strength in copper and gold while the banks are struggling, being hit with the trifecta of a crunch in housing activity, net interest margin compression, and rising risks of bad debts - as Led Zeppelin famously sang in the 70’s “The Song Remains the Same.”

Afternoon report

The Match Out: ASX lower as healthcare and REITs drag; GYG shines and gold miners hold firm

The ASX 200 finished lower today taking the weekly decline to around 0.6% as the market gave back part of Thursday’s rebound. The index traded in a relatively narrow range through the day, but underneath the surface the tone remained patchy, with Real Estate, Technology and Consumer Discretionary doing most of the damage while Financials finally managed to stabilise after a very weak run.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
Morning report

ETF Friday: Will ETFs exacerbate the weakness in the “Big Four Banks”

The ASX 200 closed up +0.3% on Thursday with the resources, ably supported by tech, finally able to offset weakness from the banks, ending a six-day losing streak. On the day, the materials sector added 85-points to the ASX 200 while the financial sector caused a 57-point drag, big numbers when we consider the index only closed up +30-points. The polarisation in performance through August between the banks and miners has been almost unparalleled.

Morning report

What Matters Today: Does the analogy “Don’t fight the Fed” also apply to the US Treasury as they start buying bonds?

The US yield curve has been steepening sharply, with the gap between 2 and 30-year yields widening to ~111bp from ~69bp in late June. Importantly, this is a bear steepener: long-term yields have been rising much faster than short-term yields, reflecting growing investor concern around US deficits, sticky inflation, elevated oil prices and the enormous supply of government and corporate debt. At the same time, softer economic data and a Fed appearing to be on hold for now are keeping the 2-year yield relatively anchored.

Afternoon report

The Match Out: ASX edges lower as tech tumbles; Mirvac & Stockland buck the weakness

The ASX 200 extended its recent pullback for a sixth consecutive decline. The market spent the session firmly in negative territory but recovered from its lows into the afternoon, with seven of the 11 sectors finishing lower as weakness across Technology, Real Estate and Financials outweighed another strong session for Healthcare and Energy and strong results in select Property stocks providing some support.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Reporting season finally offers a steadying hand to the ASX

The ASX 200 closed flat on Wednesday, experiencing a quiet day on the index level but anything but on the stock front following a bumper session for FY26 earnings. Only ~30% of the main board closed higher, but when CSL (+17%), BHP (+3%), and Goodman Group (+3%) dance to the same beat, adding 70 points to the ASX 200, it was always going to be a tough day for the bears, even if the crowd was in their camp.

Afternoon report

The Match Out: ASX steadies as CSL posts best day in decades, BHP beats on copper strength

The ASX 200 finished around flat on Tuesday after trading between -0.2% and +0.4% in a blockbuster day for reporting with several index heavyweights out with numbers. CSL and BHP provided significant support adding ~56pts to the index between the two giants; without the pair, the underlying session was considerably softer, with the major banks, Staples, telcos and retailers mostly lower.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
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Last week saw Scott Bessent emerge as one of the most interventionist Treasury secretaries in financial markets in decades, putting his and the Treasury’s credibility on the line in an effort to combat the damaging rise in US borrowing costs. On Wednesday, just two weeks after releasing its schedule for buying back older Treasury securities, the Treasury Department announced it would “at least double” its planned purchases of outstanding 10-year to 30-year debt.

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