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A200
MM remains bullish towards the ASX200 around 8900
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IVV
MM remains bullish towards the S&P 500 around 7650
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GOLD
MM is bullish towards gold around US$4,400
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YCS US
MM is bullish on the Yen (bearish on the USDJPY)
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Latest Reports

Morning report

What Matters Today: Could the BOJ & US Treasury trigger the next ASX rotation?

The ASX 200 extended September's pullback by another -0.1% on Wednesday despite a barnstorming session for the heavyweight copper miners - BHP Group (+3.3%), Sandfire (+2%) and RIO (+1.9%). However, broad-based weakness, which saw over 60% of the main board retreat, with standout selling in the CBA (-2.5%) enough to drag the index under 8900. Another strong move in oil prices, which rallied over 2% during local trade, was enough to keep buyers on the sidelines as it increasingly feels like the US has lost control of events in the Straits of Hormuz. We defer back to a comment in yesterday's report:

Afternoon report

The Match Out: ASX flat as BHP and energy offset bank and tech weakness; Austal jumps on Wildcat counterbid

The ASX went on a round trip today, rising early, giving it all back and trading lower through to midday before popping in the afternoon, closing almost flat for the session. The headline index masked another fairly weak session underneath, with the banks and Healthcare under pressure while Energy and Materials did most of the heavy lifting with the Big Australian and Rio keeping the index afloat accounting for +30pts of gain between the two heavyweights.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The “reverse wealth effect” is weighing on the ASX

September is living up to its seasonally weak reputation, with the ASX 200 falling another 1% on Tuesday to close at a fresh six-week low. Local stocks endured their worst session in three months as selling swept across the market, as more than 65% of the main board closed lower, with the banks doing the most damage, accounting for roughly half of the index’s decline.

Afternoon report

The Match Out: ASX drops to a six-week low as rate hike fears bite

The ASX had a rough one today, falling to its lowest close in six weeks in what was the index's biggest daily fall since June. The sell-off was broad as rising oil prices, weak consumer sentiment and increasingly hawkish RBA expectations weighed on sentiment. There was no lead from Wall St overnight which was closed, and the lull in company-specific news flow continued post reporting season. The rate story was the key drag — RBA assistant governor Sarah Hunter flagged the Board may need to lift rates again if inflation proves stronger than forecast, pushing the market-implied chance of a September hike to around 69%, while November is now fully priced while Westpac joined the other big four banks in calling for another hike.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
Morning report

What Matters Today: Beijing pushes Iron Ore over US100/MT, fade or buy time?

The ASX 200 endured a choppy Monday before closing +0.1% higher, with the broader market remaining soft, but gains from heavyweights BHP, CBA and Woodside were enough to nudge the index into positive territory. The weekend's ongoing volatility in the Strait of Hormuz helped the energy sector (+1.8%) dominate the winners' enclosure. In comparison, the ASX tech sector fell (-2.6%) as tech money moved from software stocks into semiconductors, which the ASX basically has none of.

Afternoon report

The Match Out: ASX flat as tech weakness persists; Ingenia rejects Warburg Pincus bid and coal stocks fire up

The ASX 200 started the week slowly, with the U.S session on Friday night largely in the rearview mirror, and closed for tonight, there was little in the tank to drive a move either way as strength across Energy, Materials and the banks was cancelled out by weakness in Technology. The market remains firmly in post-reporting-season mode, with attention shifting back to oil, bond yields and central-bank policy to determine the next move.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
Morning report

Macro Monday: Central banks look poised to rein in stocks over the coming weeks/months

Bond markets and central banks are back in focus after Friday night's August US jobs report came in far stronger than expected, with nonfarm payrolls rising by 162,000—more than triple consensus forecasts—while unemployment held steady at 4.1%. Labour-force participation also improved, and prior months were revised higher, reinforcing signs that the jobs market has rebounded from its early-summer softness, shifting attention firmly to this week’s CPI (inflation) data, with the resilient labour market increasing the prospect of a Fed rate hike at next week's meeting.

Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: Bond markets remain in focus after strong US Jobs Report on Friday night

The ASX 200 slipped 1% last week, with several major names trading ex-dividend, while sharp falls across Technology (-5.2%) and the influential miners (-4.6%) more than offset a return to the winners’ enclosure for Financials (+2%). The market remains in a holding pattern, which we feel is encouraging considering the macro and geopolitical headwinds from rising long-term bond yields to renewed private credit concerns after Bathla Group’s collapse and continued uncertainty around the next twist in the US-Iran conflict.

Afternoon report

The Match Out: ASX edges lower as tech bounces and gold miners hold firm

The ASX 200 struggled to hold onto a positive start on Friday, giving back an early ~0.6% gain to trade slightly lower into the afternoon. The reversal was largely a resources story, with the heavyweight names dragging on the index, while Energy also weighed despite Brent.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
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The ASX 200 extended September’s pullback by another -0.1% on Wednesday despite a barnstorming session for the heavyweight copper miners – BHP Group (+3.3%), Sandfire (+2%) and RIO (+1.9%). However, broad-based weakness, which saw over 60% of the main board retreat, with standout selling in the CBA (-2.5%) enough to drag the index under 8900. Another strong move in oil prices, which rallied over 2% during local trade, was enough to keep buyers on the sidelines as it increasingly feels like the US has lost control of events in the Straits of Hormuz. We defer back to a comment in yesterday’s report:

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