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The local market kicked off May’s penultimate week in a subdued fashion with volumes near the lows of the year, the ASX200 slipping just -0.22% with over 60% of the mainboard closing in the red, the Banking Sector stood out on the wrong side of the ledger while the tech stocks continued their strong 2023 rally e.g. WiseTech Global (WTC) advanced +2.5% posting fresh all-time highs in the process.
MM trimmed our large holding in Xero (XRO) yesterday as planned/flagged in recent reports following its impressive +74% rally from its November low – we still hold 3% of the Flagship Growth portfolio in XRO.
We went very overweight in the growth/tech sector in Q4 of 2023 and are simply migrating back to market weight believing the “easy money” is now in the rear-view mirror as the bond yield ascent slows/ends.
FY23 to date, the Flagship Growth Portfolio is now up ~28%, around 12.5% above the market with our skew towards IT contributing to the outperformance.
The ASX 200 reversed early gains on Wednesday to end the day down -0.1%. A “hotter” than expected CPI accelerated the selling after 11.30 am as fears of an RBA rate hike next week intensified throughout the day.
The ASX surrendered early gains and finished mildly lower after a hotter-than-expected December CPI reading firmed market expectations of a February rate hike from the RBA.
The ASX200 leapt out of the gate on Tuesday following strong trading by miners on overseas bourses, and it didn’t look back, closing up +0.9%, at its highest level since October when the index posted its all-time high. The charge higher by the local materials sectors is unrelenting, with yesterday’s +1.7% gain taking the sector up +10.8% year-to-date, and we’re still in January! The gains by some well-known names in 2026 have put the mining bulls in dreamland.
The ASX closed higher after a day off, buoyed by a powerful rally in precious and base metals stocks, with gold climbing to yet another all time high, now seemingly setting a new record every day, and Copper stocks chipping in too. While geopolitical noise remains in the background, the session had a risk-on feel as the rotation into resources showed no signs of slowing down with the index closing at its highest level since October.
Japan’s bond market has rattled global financial markets several times in recent years, and risks appear to be resurfacing. The most memorable yen carry-trade unwind since COVID started after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised interest rates in 2024. The BOJ’s first rate hike came in March 2024, when it ended negative interest rates and lifted the policy rate to just 0–0.1%.
The ASX 200 finished a choppy week down just -0.5%, recovering from early weakness sparked by President Trump’s threats toward European allies tied to his ambitions around Greenland. While the rhetoric was quickly walked back at Davos, the episode was a reminder of how abruptly geopolitical risk can re-emerge. Yet markets largely shrugged it off, highlighting their resilience to headline-driven volatility. The “buy-the-dip” trade — closely tied to the so-called “TACO trade” (Trump Always Chickens Out) — continues to deliver, at least for now. The market may feel unsettled to many, but it's still up +1.7% year-to-date, dragged higher by a robust materials sector, which has already surged +9.3% in 2026.
The ASX 200 finished a choppy week down just -0.5%, recovering from early weakness sparked by President Trump’s threats toward European allies tied to his ambitions around Greenland. While the rhetoric was quickly walked back at Davos, the episode was a reminder of how abruptly geopolitical risk can re-emerge. Yet markets largely shrugged it off, highlighting their resilience to headline-driven volatility. The “buy-the-dip” trade — closely tied to the so-called “TACO trade” (Trump Always Chickens Out) — continues to deliver, at least for now. The market may feel unsettled to many, but it's still up +1.7% year-to-date, dragged higher by a robust materials sector, which has already surged +9.3% in 2026.
The ASX finished modestly higher as a rare day of strength for the IT stocks and continued support for the gold miners offset broader caution across banks and consumer shares. While the headlines have cooled through the week, geopolitical tension and rake hike expectations continue to reinforce nervous sentiment, as the market positions for what will likely be a volatile reporting season ahead – both here and in the US.
The ASX 200 bounced +0.8% on Thursday, driven higher by a robust banking sector - the financials contributed 80% of the index's 66-point gain. The gold sector dominated the losers' enclosure as the precious metal lost its shine following Trump's more balanced speech from Davos, which notably stated that the US wouldn’t invade Greenland or impose tariffs on European nations in February.
The ASX proved resilient today, shaking off a stronger-than-expected jobs report that lifted rate-hike expectations for the February RBA meeting. Tariff fears eased as President Trump softened his stance on Europe and Greenland underpinning sentiment, with strength across the banks and energy sector more than offsetting weakness in gold, allowing the market to hold solid gains into the close.
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