The Match Out: CPI comes in hot, ASX shrugs it off
The ASX surrendered early gains and finished mildly lower after a hotter-than-expected December CPI reading firmed market expectations of a February rate hike from the RBA.
The market’s ongoing belief that the global economy is moving toward an inevitable recession combined with China’s fairly muted growth targets for 2023 has sent energy prices tumbling from their dizzy highs just one year ago e.g. Brent Crude is trading 45% below where it was this time last year. However, we are conscious that stocks often lead major tops/bottoms in their underlying commodity prices, which in turn generally run 6-12 months ahead of the economy hence we are starting to look for clues that “enough is enough” on the downside for the energy complex.
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