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Morning report

What Matters Today: Let’s kick off 2022 with a look at the influential banks

The ASX200 drifted marginally lower yesterday with the value names continuing to support the index while the broader index drifted lower under the weight of increasing concerns around rising bond yields and inflation. While the banks were firm the Resources Sector was the standout for MM with influential stocks like BHP Group (BHP), RIO Tinto (RIO) and South32 (S32) all advancing over 2% - MM expects more of the same over the coming weeks but if we are correct this year will not be a one trick pony.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Happy New Year!

It’s great to be back on deck and a special welcome to our new subscribers who came on board over Christmas. As refresher to new and old, our report schedule is as follows:
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: A short note on Christmas Eve

Yesterday saw the ASX200 illustrate yet again that COVID was “old news” with regards to financial markets as it rallied 0.3%, to its highest close in 2-weeks even as new case numbers spiralled – as most people know NSW and Victoria are tightening restrictions from Christmas Eve as the Omicron strain sets new records. The local markets remains stuck to the 7400 level, only 3.2% below its all-time high, dismissing the surging case numbers as no more than a short-term irritant.
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Are Charter Hall saying Investment managers are cheap?

The ASX200 closed higher yesterday in subdued trading and with only 2-days remaining until Christmas Day it’s hard to imagine anything new after stocks have traded sideways for 6-months – we may have received a plethora of economic and humanitarian news since May but equities simply haven’t moved. Wednesday only saw 56% of the ASX200 rally but with a 2.6% advance by the Tech Sector it was enough to offset an intra-day reversal in the iron ore names as the bulk commodity backed off from fresh...
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Our key thoughts on a few select portfolio holdings

Tuesday saw the Australian market continue to perform resolutely even in the face of adversity with COVID numbers starting to scare even the most optimistic amongst us especially with only 3-days until Christmas - I hope everyone’s finished their shopping! However, while holidays and our Christmas / New Year celebrations hang by a thread clearly its not all doom and gloom for the ASX when it can rally 0.86% the day after US equities fall by over 1%. The buying was broad based with a few things catching our attention:
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Has US big tech run too far?

The ASX200 fought valiantly on Monday to only slip 11-points considering Magellan (MFG) tumbled over 30% and US futures literally melted before our eyes on the combination of intensifying Omicron fears and diminishing confidence in Joe Bidens ability to drive US economic expansion. Interestingly while falls reverberated across major global equity markets Australia and New Zealand held firm with the later actually managing to rally 0.38%. Overall it was a confusing day where the more one tried to make rhyme or reason of the swings the more conflicting things became, the only consistent was...
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: People are reacting to Omicron, not the government

From an investment perspective we’re living through fascinating times although I’m sure everybody would prefer the huge elephant in the room, COVID and its variants, would vanish as fast as it arrived. The Spanish flu which infected around one third of the world’s population only lasted around 2-years before history suggests the virus mutated itself down a path of weaker and weaker strains plus we saw a degree of heard immunity. Potentially the combination of vaccines and lockdown could result in us stretching out the COVID...
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Will copper stocks follow nickel as targets for suitors?

Thursday saw much of the ASX200 embrace the overnight statement from the Fed but when CSL Ltd (CSL), the markets 3rd largest stock, plunges over 8% its always going to be a tough day at the office for the Australian market. However we still expected a little more from the local bourse but as MM touched on yesterday when investors are asked to stump up for $6.3bn in just 24-hours some inevitable selling will roll through other pockets of the market - yesterday it clearly wasn’t limited to healthcare names. The market would have managed a positive close if it hadn’t been for CSL and interestingly most other stocks in the sector closed up, it felt to us that any...
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Should we lighten healthcare due to CSL’s huge raise?

The ASX200 was clobbered 0.7% yesterday as it was unable to withstand the “Fed Jitters” – nobody’s questioning whether interest rates are headed higher both in Australia and the US but markets have become fixated with the potential speed of such hikes which will challenge many high valuation stocks and sectors. Hence it was no surprise that the IT Sector was worst on ground yesterday falling 2.6% in a session when only the Utilities stocks managed to advance. The logic is simple to comprehend...
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The 7400 magnet maintains control for now

Yesterday saw the Australian market recover strongly from a 0.5% dip early in the session but the stocks again lacked the strength to forge ahead into positive territory, the market ultimately closed down less than 1-point – as we’ve said before “The song remains the same” with investors happy to buy dips but sellers emerging into strength as the ASX200 continues to rotate around the 7400 area which it first reached back in mid-June, now around 6-months ago.
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what matters today Market Matters
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MM remains bullish the ASX targeting fresh highs in 2022
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FMG
MM is short-term neutral FMG around $21
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RHC
MM likes RHC under $65
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QBE
MM is bullish QBE looking for another 10% upside
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MM remains mildly bullish US equities into 2022
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MM is now neutral US short term yields into 2022
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MM is bullish the Australian Banking Sector in early 2022
MM is bullish the US Banking Sector in early 2022
CBA
MM remains bullish & long CBA
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ANZ
MM is bullish ANZ looking for a break of $30
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BOQ
MM remains long & bullish BOQ
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MQG
MM is neutral MQG, seeing better risk/reward elsewhere for now
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VUK
MM is long & bullish VUK
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Latest Reports

Morning report

Macro Monday: Happy New Year!

It’s great to be back on deck and a special welcome to our new subscribers who came on board over Christmas. As refresher to new and old, our report schedule is as follows:

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: A short note on Christmas Eve

Yesterday saw the ASX200 illustrate yet again that COVID was “old news” with regards to financial markets as it rallied 0.3%, to its highest close in 2-weeks even as new case numbers spiralled – as most people know NSW and Victoria are tightening restrictions from Christmas Eve as the Omicron strain sets new records. The local markets remains stuck to the 7400 level, only 3.2% below its all-time high, dismissing the surging case numbers as no more than a short-term irritant.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Are Charter Hall saying Investment managers are cheap?

The ASX200 closed higher yesterday in subdued trading and with only 2-days remaining until Christmas Day it’s hard to imagine anything new after stocks have traded sideways for 6-months – we may have received a plethora of economic and humanitarian news since May but equities simply haven’t moved. Wednesday only saw 56% of the ASX200 rally but with a 2.6% advance by the Tech Sector it was enough to offset an intra-day reversal in the iron ore names as the bulk commodity backed off from fresh...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Our key thoughts on a few select portfolio holdings

Tuesday saw the Australian market continue to perform resolutely even in the face of adversity with COVID numbers starting to scare even the most optimistic amongst us especially with only 3-days until Christmas - I hope everyone’s finished their shopping! However, while holidays and our Christmas / New Year celebrations hang by a thread clearly its not all doom and gloom for the ASX when it can rally 0.86% the day after US equities fall by over 1%. The buying was broad based with a few things catching our attention:

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Has US big tech run too far?

The ASX200 fought valiantly on Monday to only slip 11-points considering Magellan (MFG) tumbled over 30% and US futures literally melted before our eyes on the combination of intensifying Omicron fears and diminishing confidence in Joe Bidens ability to drive US economic expansion. Interestingly while falls reverberated across major global equity markets Australia and New Zealand held firm with the later actually managing to rally 0.38%. Overall it was a confusing day where the more one tried to make rhyme or reason of the swings the more conflicting things became, the only consistent was...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: People are reacting to Omicron, not the government

From an investment perspective we’re living through fascinating times although I’m sure everybody would prefer the huge elephant in the room, COVID and its variants, would vanish as fast as it arrived. The Spanish flu which infected around one third of the world’s population only lasted around 2-years before history suggests the virus mutated itself down a path of weaker and weaker strains plus we saw a degree of heard immunity. Potentially the combination of vaccines and lockdown could result in us stretching out the COVID...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Will copper stocks follow nickel as targets for suitors?

Thursday saw much of the ASX200 embrace the overnight statement from the Fed but when CSL Ltd (CSL), the markets 3rd largest stock, plunges over 8% its always going to be a tough day at the office for the Australian market. However we still expected a little more from the local bourse but as MM touched on yesterday when investors are asked to stump up for $6.3bn in just 24-hours some inevitable selling will roll through other pockets of the market - yesterday it clearly wasn’t limited to healthcare names. The market would have managed a positive close if it hadn’t been for CSL and interestingly most other stocks in the sector closed up, it felt to us that any...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Should we lighten healthcare due to CSL’s huge raise?

The ASX200 was clobbered 0.7% yesterday as it was unable to withstand the “Fed Jitters” – nobody’s questioning whether interest rates are headed higher both in Australia and the US but markets have become fixated with the potential speed of such hikes which will challenge many high valuation stocks and sectors. Hence it was no surprise that the IT Sector was worst on ground yesterday falling 2.6% in a session when only the Utilities stocks managed to advance. The logic is simple to comprehend...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The 7400 magnet maintains control for now

Yesterday saw the Australian market recover strongly from a 0.5% dip early in the session but the stocks again lacked the strength to forge ahead into positive territory, the market ultimately closed down less than 1-point – as we’ve said before “The song remains the same” with investors happy to buy dips but sellers emerging into strength as the ASX200 continues to rotate around the 7400 area which it first reached back in mid-June, now around 6-months ago.

what matters today Market Matters
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