The ASX200 endured one of its worst days for months on Monday with broad-based selling washing through the main board although it was the banks and IT stocks which caught our eye on the downside. Buyers of the dip evaporated as concerns around inflation & rate hikes returned to haunt the recent bulls of tech/growth names not helped by Australian 10-year bond yields testing their 1-month high, back above 3.5%.
Last week saw some cracks appearing in the recent advance by risk assets as bond yields continued to rise and recession concerns increased, noticeably in the European region, not a great backdrop for stocks but the ASX still managed to edge higher helped by a strong +7% rally by market heavyweight BHP Group (BHP):
The ASX200 experienced broad-based selling on Thursday with less than 25% of the index up on the day but the market heavyweights helped avoid any meaningful weakness on the index level i.e. Commonwealth Bank (CBA) +1.4%, BHP Group (BHP) +0.7% and CSL Ltd (CSL) +2.3%. Thursdays -0.2% decline hardly made a dent in the market’s recent advance, again we saw the market rally well from its early lows reducing the losses by ~70% in the process as the path of least resistance is still clearly up!
The ASX200 again made fresh 10-week highs yesterday helped by strength from the consumer-facing stocks but the buying was broad-based in nature with almost 70% of stocks on the main board advancing. The sector which stood out the most to MM were the retailers with all 8 in the ASX 200 Retailing Sector advancing. While we own discretionary retail stocks across three of Market Matters portfolios, our Flagship Growth portfolio doesn’t which feels like an omission given the better than feared outcomes being...
Yesterday we said that it was unlikely the ASX200 could breach the psychological 7100 area before CBA trades ex-dividend this morning but we didn’t count on BHP hitting the ball out of the park with its FY’22 result – Tuesday saw the index rally 41-points to close at 7105 with BHP contributing almost 60% of the market’s advance. However, Commonwealth Bank (CBA) will trade ex-dividend this morning, $2.10 fully franked, which if all else is equal is like to take the market back towards 7050 in a quick fashion.
The ASX200 knocked on the door of its August high yesterday before finally closing up +0.45% on broad based buying which saw over 67% of the main board close in positive territory. If it hadn’t been for a disappointing report from Bendigo Bank (BEN) which fell over 8% dragging much of the sector down in sympathy we could have been testing 7100 but with Commonwealth Bank (CBA) trading ex-dividend $2 fully franked on Wednesday it may prove a touch too much to ask this week.
Last week saw some inconsistencies / fascinating moves across financial markets which we believe were largely driven by investor positioning & sentiment but this might not continue if MM’s preferred scenario unfolds for bond yields. Last week was all about the US CPI and Wednesday’s number showed a much-welcomed slowdown in inflation which sent most indices soaring to their highest levels in over 3-months:
The ASX200 roared higher on Thursday on optimism that peak inflation is behind us but not all parts of this fascinating puzzle are currently in alignment:
The ASX200 struggled on Wednesday with many traders taking a back seat ahead of last night’s important US CPI (inflation) data, the index ultimately closed down -0.5% basically at the same level we started August. Selling was broad-based with 70% of the main index closing in the red but with the influential Banking Sector closing higher, even as Commonwealth Bank (CBA) slipped -0.3%, losses were limited i.e. for fireworks to be lit under the index we generally need to see the Resources & Banks run in one direction.
On Friday we saw an extremely strong set of US Employment numbers increase expectations of a 75bp hike at the September FOMC meeting but tonight’s CPI and the plethora of Fed speakers enjoying the limelight in coming weeks are likely to see opinions swing between 75bp, and back towards 50bp. The markets have taken a definite shift towards a more hawkish stance since Friday and another strong CPI print could easily see US 10 years back above 3% which will pressure equities and especially the Tech Sector.
Last week saw some cracks appearing in the recent advance by risk assets as bond yields continued to rise and recession concerns increased, noticeably in the European region, not a great backdrop for stocks but the ASX still managed to edge higher helped by a strong +7% rally by market heavyweight BHP Group (BHP):
The ASX200 experienced broad-based selling on Thursday with less than 25% of the index up on the day but the market heavyweights helped avoid any meaningful weakness on the index level i.e. Commonwealth Bank (CBA) +1.4%, BHP Group (BHP) +0.7% and CSL Ltd (CSL) +2.3%. Thursdays -0.2% decline hardly made a dent in the market’s recent advance, again we saw the market rally well from its early lows reducing the losses by ~70% in the process as the path of least resistance is still clearly up!
The ASX200 again made fresh 10-week highs yesterday helped by strength from the consumer-facing stocks but the buying was broad-based in nature with almost 70% of stocks on the main board advancing. The sector which stood out the most to MM were the retailers with all 8 in the ASX 200 Retailing Sector advancing. While we own discretionary retail stocks across three of Market Matters portfolios, our Flagship Growth portfolio doesn’t which feels like an omission given the better than feared outcomes being...
Yesterday we said that it was unlikely the ASX200 could breach the psychological 7100 area before CBA trades ex-dividend this morning but we didn’t count on BHP hitting the ball out of the park with its FY’22 result – Tuesday saw the index rally 41-points to close at 7105 with BHP contributing almost 60% of the market’s advance. However, Commonwealth Bank (CBA) will trade ex-dividend this morning, $2.10 fully franked, which if all else is equal is like to take the market back towards 7050 in a quick fashion.
The ASX200 knocked on the door of its August high yesterday before finally closing up +0.45% on broad based buying which saw over 67% of the main board close in positive territory. If it hadn’t been for a disappointing report from Bendigo Bank (BEN) which fell over 8% dragging much of the sector down in sympathy we could have been testing 7100 but with Commonwealth Bank (CBA) trading ex-dividend $2 fully franked on Wednesday it may prove a touch too much to ask this week.
Last week saw some inconsistencies / fascinating moves across financial markets which we believe were largely driven by investor positioning & sentiment but this might not continue if MM’s preferred scenario unfolds for bond yields. Last week was all about the US CPI and Wednesday’s number showed a much-welcomed slowdown in inflation which sent most indices soaring to their highest levels in over 3-months:
The ASX200 roared higher on Thursday on optimism that peak inflation is behind us but not all parts of this fascinating puzzle are currently in alignment:
The ASX200 struggled on Wednesday with many traders taking a back seat ahead of last night’s important US CPI (inflation) data, the index ultimately closed down -0.5% basically at the same level we started August. Selling was broad-based with 70% of the main index closing in the red but with the influential Banking Sector closing higher, even as Commonwealth Bank (CBA) slipped -0.3%, losses were limited i.e. for fireworks to be lit under the index we generally need to see the Resources & Banks run in one direction.
On Friday we saw an extremely strong set of US Employment numbers increase expectations of a 75bp hike at the September FOMC meeting but tonight’s CPI and the plethora of Fed speakers enjoying the limelight in coming weeks are likely to see opinions swing between 75bp, and back towards 50bp. The markets have taken a definite shift towards a more hawkish stance since Friday and another strong CPI print could easily see US 10 years back above 3% which will pressure equities and especially the Tech Sector.
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