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Morning report

What Matters Today: Is Metcash ringing alarm bells for the Supermarkets?

The ASX 200 opened firmer on Monday, but bank-led selling aided by softer US futures reversed early gains, with the index finishing 0.6% lower. The Australian Stock Exchange suffered another embarrassing episode, potentially adding to the intra-day selling that saw almost 70% of the main board closing in negative territory at the final bell.
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Morning report

Macro Monday: The RBA weighs on the ASX compared to its peers

The expected policy path of central banks, especially the RBA and the Fed, has been the main driver of the ASX’s relative performance in recent weeks. The chart below of US and Australian short-dated bond yields illustrates the divergence that weighed on local risk assets - Australian 3-year bond yields increased ~0.5% from their recent lows while the US 2s edged down towards fresh multi-year lows.
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Morning report

ETF Friday: Looking at Four “new age” ETFs

The ASX 200 drifted lower yesterday afternoon, surrendering most of the day's early gains to close up just +0.1%. The winners and losers arm wrestle was a close affair, but the bulls eventually triumphed, marking the index's longest daily winning streak since May, as renewed strength in the tech sector and the growing probability of a December interest rate cut from the US Fed put investors in a buying mood the day before Thanksgiving holiday, albeit tentatively.
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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Equities are getting a Thanksgiving lift

The ASX200 limped into the close on Tuesday finishing the day up +0.1%, after spending most of the day swinging between positive and negative territory. A sell-off in the banking sector all but wiped-out the markets initial gain with a ~7% plunge by Bendigo Bank leading the decline.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Could BHP cast its M&A net closer to home?

The ASX 200 opened strongly on Monday, buoyed by Friday’s dovish commentary from the Feds John Williams, and encouragingly it held those gains throughout the session. The index closed near its highs, up 1.3%, with 85% of the main board advancing. It was the local markets largest gain in 4-months with positive sentiment reinforced after Macquarie Asset Management offered to buy Qube Holdings (QUB) in a $11.6 billion deal, sending the logistics company up more than 19%.
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Morning report

Macro Monday: Hopes of a December Fed cut stem the blood on Wall Street

Division within the Fed has increased in recent weeks, as policymakers deliver increasingly divergent positions ahead of the central bank’s December meeting — all while Chair Jerome Powell remains conspicuously silent. The situation escalated on Friday when New York Fed President John Williams — often viewed as a bellwether for Powell’s thinking — signalled support for a rate cut, even as several other officials argued against easing policy.
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Morning report

ETF Friday: Five ETFs to lessen the dependence on the “AI Trade”

The ASX 200 surged over 100-points on Thursday, embracing the “risk on” thematic which cascaded through global markets after Nvidia beat expectations to reignite the “AI Trade”. It was the upbeat nature of the world's largest stock that got the tech sector excited, with Nvidia trading up ~5% in post market trade pushing NASDAQ Futures +1.5% following the result and bullish outlook:
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Where do earnings meet valuations in the ASX tech sector?

The ASX 200 posted another 5-month low on Wednesday as the banks dragged the index down by 0.25%, offsetting further gains in the materials and energy sectors. Concerns over upcoming US jobs data and Nvidia’s earnings, now the world’s largest stock, cast a long shadow over an otherwise comparatively quiet Australian market, which saw less than 3% of the main board move in either direction by more than 5%.
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MM is cautiously bullish towards the ASX into Christmas
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IVV
MM is bullish towards the S&P 500 into Christmas
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MM is neutral towards Bitcoin as we head into Christmas
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MM is bullish towards iron ore into 2026
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MTS
MM likes MTS for yield around $3.40
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WOW
MM are bullish on WOW around the $29 area
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COL
MM prefers WOW v COL at current levels
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Latest Reports

Morning report

Macro Monday: The RBA weighs on the ASX compared to its peers

The expected policy path of central banks, especially the RBA and the Fed, has been the main driver of the ASX’s relative performance in recent weeks. The chart below of US and Australian short-dated bond yields illustrates the divergence that weighed on local risk assets - Australian 3-year bond yields increased ~0.5% from their recent lows while the US 2s edged down towards fresh multi-year lows.

Morning report

ETF Friday: Looking at Four “new age” ETFs

The ASX 200 drifted lower yesterday afternoon, surrendering most of the day's early gains to close up just +0.1%. The winners and losers arm wrestle was a close affair, but the bulls eventually triumphed, marking the index's longest daily winning streak since May, as renewed strength in the tech sector and the growing probability of a December interest rate cut from the US Fed put investors in a buying mood the day before Thanksgiving holiday, albeit tentatively.

Morning report

What Matters Today: The music’s on full blast at the M&A party – who could be next?

The ASX200 advanced +0.8% on Wednesday, although another hot CPI reading took the edge off the strong performance. Well over 70% of the main board closed higher, with the miners again the shining light while the banks reversed early gains with two closing lower as the influential sector struggles in the face of no further rate cuts by the RBA.

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Equities are getting a Thanksgiving lift

The ASX200 limped into the close on Tuesday finishing the day up +0.1%, after spending most of the day swinging between positive and negative territory. A sell-off in the banking sector all but wiped-out the markets initial gain with a ~7% plunge by Bendigo Bank leading the decline.

Morning report

What Matters Today: Could BHP cast its M&A net closer to home?

The ASX 200 opened strongly on Monday, buoyed by Friday’s dovish commentary from the Feds John Williams, and encouragingly it held those gains throughout the session. The index closed near its highs, up 1.3%, with 85% of the main board advancing. It was the local markets largest gain in 4-months with positive sentiment reinforced after Macquarie Asset Management offered to buy Qube Holdings (QUB) in a $11.6 billion deal, sending the logistics company up more than 19%.

Morning report

Macro Monday: Hopes of a December Fed cut stem the blood on Wall Street

Division within the Fed has increased in recent weeks, as policymakers deliver increasingly divergent positions ahead of the central bank’s December meeting — all while Chair Jerome Powell remains conspicuously silent. The situation escalated on Friday when New York Fed President John Williams — often viewed as a bellwether for Powell’s thinking — signalled support for a rate cut, even as several other officials argued against easing policy.

Morning report

ETF Friday: Five ETFs to lessen the dependence on the “AI Trade”

The ASX 200 surged over 100-points on Thursday, embracing the “risk on” thematic which cascaded through global markets after Nvidia beat expectations to reignite the “AI Trade”. It was the upbeat nature of the world's largest stock that got the tech sector excited, with Nvidia trading up ~5% in post market trade pushing NASDAQ Futures +1.5% following the result and bullish outlook:

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Where do earnings meet valuations in the ASX tech sector?

The ASX 200 posted another 5-month low on Wednesday as the banks dragged the index down by 0.25%, offsetting further gains in the materials and energy sectors. Concerns over upcoming US jobs data and Nvidia’s earnings, now the world’s largest stock, cast a long shadow over an otherwise comparatively quiet Australian market, which saw less than 3% of the main board move in either direction by more than 5%.

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