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Morning report

Macro Monday: Can the ASX make new highs into the EOFY?

Yet again, the “sell in May & go away” catchphrase played out as the myth that the statistics foretold. Although the stellar 3.8% gain was the second-best of the last decade. The most critical point when it comes to considering the seasonality of the ASX200 is to “Keep it Simple, Stupid” (KISS) with our favourite three factors looking forward towards Christmas.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: ETF Friday focuses on Fixed Income ETFs

The ASX 200 closed marginally higher on Thursday, and as we enter the last trading day of May, the index is up +3.5% with only the utilities sector dragging the chain. Although it's been a stellar month, yesterday's performance was a touch disappointing considering the global tailwinds.
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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The Path of least resistance remains up

The ASX200 advanced +0.6%, closing at a three-month high, on Tuesday. The index was trading lower into lunchtime before the S&P 500 futures got the proverbial “bit between its teeth,” pushing higher after Japan indicated it’s considering a reduction in bond issuance.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: ETF Friday focuses on Currency offerings

The ASX 200 retreated on Thursday following a bond-induced weak session on Wall Street; the Dow ultimately closed down over 800 points. However, while the local bond market remains buoyant, following the dovish RBA commentary earlier in the week, with three cuts expected before Christmas, it wasn’t enough to support a market with over 60% of the main board closing lower.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Finding order in today’s disorder

Monday saw the ASX200 fail to notch its 9th consecutive gain following Moody's US credit rating downgrade. The index finished down -0.6%, with over 65% of the main board retreating in line with US S&P 500 futures ahead of the night's fascinating session.
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MM is cautiously bullish on the ASX200 through 2025
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IVV
MM remains bullish on the S&P 500 into Christmas
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MM remains bullish on UK and European stocks
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MM is bullish on JGB bond yields, medium/long-term
MM is cautiously bullish on US bonds (yields lower)
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MM remains cautiously bullish about Australian 10-Year Bonds (yields lower)
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OOO
MM is neutral Brent Crude ~$US60
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MM is neutral to slightly bearish towards aluminium
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MM is bullish towards gold, medium/long term
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USD
MM remains bearish towards the $US medium/long term
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MM is neutral towards the Yen in the short-term
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S32
Trade Idea: Buy South32 (S32) at $2.45 with stops at $2.30 – a 6% risk.
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OOO
MM is cautiously bullish on crude oil through 2025
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Latest Reports

Morning report

What Matters Today: ETF Friday focuses on Fixed Income ETFs

The ASX 200 closed marginally higher on Thursday, and as we enter the last trading day of May, the index is up +3.5% with only the utilities sector dragging the chain. Although it's been a stellar month, yesterday's performance was a touch disappointing considering the global tailwinds.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: The Energy Sector is warming up nicely

The ASX 200 failed to build on a strong session on Wall Street, finishing down 0.1% on Wednesday, with weakness in the banks more than offsetting broader buying, as over 55% of the main board closed higher.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The Path of least resistance remains up

The ASX200 advanced +0.6%, closing at a three-month high, on Tuesday. The index was trading lower into lunchtime before the S&P 500 futures got the proverbial “bit between its teeth,” pushing higher after Japan indicated it’s considering a reduction in bond issuance.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: ETF Friday focuses on Currency offerings

The ASX 200 retreated on Thursday following a bond-induced weak session on Wall Street; the Dow ultimately closed down over 800 points. However, while the local bond market remains buoyant, following the dovish RBA commentary earlier in the week, with three cuts expected before Christmas, it wasn’t enough to support a market with over 60% of the main board closing lower.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Can the other banks follow CBA to new highs?

The ASX 200 extended May's advance to +3.2%, taking the index within striking distance of its February all-time high. However, although the market finished up 0.5%, gains were far from broad-based, with over 45% of the ASX200 closing lower.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The RBA delivers the “Goldilocks scenario” for stocks

The ASX200 advanced +0.6% on Tuesday following the 0.25% rate cut by the RBA and a far more dovish outlook from Michele Bullock. Bond yields plunged on commentary about inflation, now within the RBA target band both in terms of the headline rate and the trimmed mean, with RBA forecasts expecting it to stay that way.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Finding order in today’s disorder

Monday saw the ASX200 fail to notch its 9th consecutive gain following Moody's US credit rating downgrade. The index finished down -0.6%, with over 65% of the main board retreating in line with US S&P 500 futures ahead of the night's fascinating session.

what matters today Market Matters
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