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Morning report

What Matters Today: The time for action is nigh

The ASX200 fell another -0.5% yesterday even with the number of winners & losers evenly balanced, however the influential Resources Sector was again smashed with heavyweights BHP Group (BHP), RIO Tinto (RIO), Independence Group (IGO) and Fortescue Metals (FMG) all falling by over 5%. Iron Ore and copper were down heavily during our time zone and not surprisingly this flowed into aggressive selling across ASX related stocks.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Is BHP Group (BHP) still the “go to” in Australian Resources?

The ASX200 opened lower yesterday but the “buy the dip” phenomenon that’s been prevalent post the initial coronavirus breakout played out through the morning, early losses turned into gains before the index drifted into 4pm, we ultimately closed down just 0.1% - its hard to argue with the bulls when they cite a mass of liquidity (money) sitting on the sidelines looking to accumulate / buy stocks into weakness. Wednesdays strength was broad based with well over 60% of stocks rallying and if it hadn’t been for a -7% drop in BHP, wiping 33-points from the index, we would have recovered half of Tuesdays aggressive down day.
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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: COVID’s unsettling markets albeit around all-time highs

The ASX200 experienced it’s worst day in 2 months yesterday finally closing down 71-points as the banks and resources again fell as confidence continues to wane towards the global economy. The RBA echoed the markets concern that the Delta Variant might push Australia back into a recession as they considered further stimulus during their August board meeting– “The board would be prepared...
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Our favorite 3 lithium plays

The ASX200 struggled yesterday as the two most influential sectors fell in tandem, Bendigo Bank (BEN) -9.9% led the Banking Sector lower while OZ Minerals (OZL) -3.9% took line honours for the major miners. The index itself fell only -0.6% although the selling felt more aggressive with 11 companies falling by over 4% while only one rallied by the same degree. . A couple of stocks which we hold in our Growth Portfolio and are hoping to add into weakness were on the ...
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Morning report

Macro Monday: Don’t fight this bull market just yet

The ASX200 continues to rise on a wave of strong corporate earnings, record low interest rates plus of course an almost tsunami of cash looking for some semblance of a decent return in todays challenging world. There are clear signs that investors are migrating up the risk curve looking to add value / alpha but it definitely doesn’t feel like panic buying leading to a classic “blow-off top”. I would describe the markets “look & feel” more that of a simple absence of sellers, which by definition forms...
Read more
Morning report

What Matters Today: Insurance stocks are “shooting the lights out”

The local market struggled to hold onto early gains yesterday as profit taking hit Commonwealth Bank (CBA) and the IT Sector, it felt like a weak day although we still managed to close marginally higher. Stock rotation was prevalent within the ASX200 yesterday as 15 stocks rallied by 3% or more, while 6 companies fell by the same degree, as we’ve flagged in a number of reports MM believes this will be opus operandi into Christmas, and probably well into 2022. Elsewhere across Asia, equities were on the back foot illustrating...
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Morning report

What Matters Today : 6 ASX examples of “fade” the pop and BUY the dip

The ASX200 continues to grind higher, we might often be closing well under the intra-day high but before we know it the index has again pushed through to post new all-time highs. On a day to day perspective this rally feels slow and steady, almost like 3 steps forward and 2 back, but when you stand back and look at the monthly chart of the local market its resembling a vertical line which could easily defy the bears and test 8,000 in the next 6-months...
Read more
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Fade the “pop” but BUY the dip

The ASX200 again posted new all-time highs yesterday, local stocks continue to march ever higher with IT and Banking the backbone of the Tuesdays +0.3% gain. The local market continues to follow the rhythm of the rally which commenced back in February, we’ve now seen the local market appreciate over 1000-points / 16% in just 7-months with our target for this August ~7650 but until further notice the most important...
Read more
Morning report

What Matters Today: As food prices rise will Chemical companies follow?

The ASX200 tried hard to rally yesterday but the selling across the “re-opening trade” and Resources Sector offset the strength in the Banking Sector, pretty much in line with our expectations flagged in yesterday’s report. MM has been bullish the banks for months and yesterday saw the Insurance Sector join the “rising bond yield” party, we like both the Banking & Insurance Sectors at this stage of the bond yield cycle although our medium-term target for Commonwealth Bank (CBA) is now only 5% away as we...
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Morning report

Macro Monday: the $US looks set to trigger further sector rotation

The ASX200 has surged out of the blocks to kick off August, following gains by the SPI on Friday it’s poised to open around 7570 this morning, up around 150-points / 2% after just 9-days - remember if we maintain the rhythm of 2021 the index should test 7650-7700 this month. Last weeks gains were broad based with only the Resources Sector closing lower while the combination of strong financials and soaring tech stocks contributed the most to our gains, we believe the banks et al will lead the performance this week assuming Commonwealth Bank (CBA) reports well on Wednesday.
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MM remains a buyer of weakness across most stock market sectors
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IPH
MM likes IPH
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CSL
MM remains bullish CSL
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MND
MM likes MND initially looking for a test of $13
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MM’s ideal area to increase exposure to US stocks remains around the June lows, or 6% lower
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MM is looking for a low for US & Australian Bond Yields
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MM believes value stocks will enjoy some performance catch up
BHP
MM likes BHP Plc ~GBP2,000
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STO
MM likes STO below $6.00
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OZL
MM is a keen buyer of OZL into weakness
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IGO
MM likes IGO under $9
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Latest Reports

Morning report

What Matters Today: Is BHP Group (BHP) still the “go to” in Australian Resources?

The ASX200 opened lower yesterday but the “buy the dip” phenomenon that’s been prevalent post the initial coronavirus breakout played out through the morning, early losses turned into gains before the index drifted into 4pm, we ultimately closed down just 0.1% - its hard to argue with the bulls when they cite a mass of liquidity (money) sitting on the sidelines looking to accumulate / buy stocks into weakness. Wednesdays strength was broad based with well over 60% of stocks rallying and if it hadn’t been for a -7% drop in BHP, wiping 33-points from the index, we would have recovered half of Tuesdays aggressive down day.

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: COVID’s unsettling markets albeit around all-time highs

The ASX200 experienced it’s worst day in 2 months yesterday finally closing down 71-points as the banks and resources again fell as confidence continues to wane towards the global economy. The RBA echoed the markets concern that the Delta Variant might push Australia back into a recession as they considered further stimulus during their August board meeting– “The board would be prepared...

Morning report

What Matters Today: Our favorite 3 lithium plays

The ASX200 struggled yesterday as the two most influential sectors fell in tandem, Bendigo Bank (BEN) -9.9% led the Banking Sector lower while OZ Minerals (OZL) -3.9% took line honours for the major miners. The index itself fell only -0.6% although the selling felt more aggressive with 11 companies falling by over 4% while only one rallied by the same degree. . A couple of stocks which we hold in our Growth Portfolio and are hoping to add into weakness were on the ...

Morning report

Macro Monday: Don’t fight this bull market just yet

The ASX200 continues to rise on a wave of strong corporate earnings, record low interest rates plus of course an almost tsunami of cash looking for some semblance of a decent return in todays challenging world. There are clear signs that investors are migrating up the risk curve looking to add value / alpha but it definitely doesn’t feel like panic buying leading to a classic “blow-off top”. I would describe the markets “look & feel” more that of a simple absence of sellers, which by definition forms...

Morning report

What Matters Today: Insurance stocks are “shooting the lights out”

The local market struggled to hold onto early gains yesterday as profit taking hit Commonwealth Bank (CBA) and the IT Sector, it felt like a weak day although we still managed to close marginally higher. Stock rotation was prevalent within the ASX200 yesterday as 15 stocks rallied by 3% or more, while 6 companies fell by the same degree, as we’ve flagged in a number of reports MM believes this will be opus operandi into Christmas, and probably well into 2022. Elsewhere across Asia, equities were on the back foot illustrating...

Morning report

What Matters Today : 6 ASX examples of “fade” the pop and BUY the dip

The ASX200 continues to grind higher, we might often be closing well under the intra-day high but before we know it the index has again pushed through to post new all-time highs. On a day to day perspective this rally feels slow and steady, almost like 3 steps forward and 2 back, but when you stand back and look at the monthly chart of the local market its resembling a vertical line which could easily defy the bears and test 8,000 in the next 6-months...

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Fade the “pop” but BUY the dip

The ASX200 again posted new all-time highs yesterday, local stocks continue to march ever higher with IT and Banking the backbone of the Tuesdays +0.3% gain. The local market continues to follow the rhythm of the rally which commenced back in February, we’ve now seen the local market appreciate over 1000-points / 16% in just 7-months with our target for this August ~7650 but until further notice the most important...

Morning report

What Matters Today: As food prices rise will Chemical companies follow?

The ASX200 tried hard to rally yesterday but the selling across the “re-opening trade” and Resources Sector offset the strength in the Banking Sector, pretty much in line with our expectations flagged in yesterday’s report. MM has been bullish the banks for months and yesterday saw the Insurance Sector join the “rising bond yield” party, we like both the Banking & Insurance Sectors at this stage of the bond yield cycle although our medium-term target for Commonwealth Bank (CBA) is now only 5% away as we...

Morning report

Macro Monday: the $US looks set to trigger further sector rotation

The ASX200 has surged out of the blocks to kick off August, following gains by the SPI on Friday it’s poised to open around 7570 this morning, up around 150-points / 2% after just 9-days - remember if we maintain the rhythm of 2021 the index should test 7650-7700 this month. Last weeks gains were broad based with only the Resources Sector closing lower while the combination of strong financials and soaring tech stocks contributed the most to our gains, we believe the banks et al will lead the performance this week assuming Commonwealth Bank (CBA) reports well on Wednesday.

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