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Morning report

Overseas Wednesday – International Equities & Global Macro Portfolio.

The ASX200 enjoyed an excellent rally yesterday as the Resources & Banking Sectors continued to drag a begrudging index higher although this time there were also some decent gains in the Real Estate & Industrial stocks which combined to take the index up almost 1%, less impressively only 60% of the stocks managed to close in positive territory. The short-term “value-growth” elastic band continues to stretch and the likelihood is when the surge higher by bond yields takes a breather growth stocks like IT and Healthcare will find some buying, how sustainable it can be is of course the million dollar question.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: The recovery / reflation trade is gathering momentum

The ASX200 drifted lower yesterday but the action under the hood remains very pronounced with 10 members of the index rallying by more than 5% but less than 40% of the index actually managed to close in positive territory i.e. it’s all about backing the right horse or in this case thematic / sector. Monday saw the travel stocks come back into favour while copper continued its acceleration higher conversely yield sensitive stocks like the Healthcare, Real Estate, Utilities and IT Sectors continued to struggle.
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Morning report

Subscribers questions

No major market news over the weekend as the COVID vaccine is rolled out from today in Australia, hopefully meaning no more state lockdowns, tennis remained the main topic of conversation both in the press and in our household and it was a bit of an anticlimax I’ve got to say! The ASX200 feels like its “wobbling” around the 6800 area but as we discussed in the Weekend Report all the actions unfolding beneath the hood. So far in 2021 the sectors catching my eye in 2021 are:
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Will the Resources Sector mirror the CBA to Westpac rotation?

I often quote that “what defines us is how we deal with adversity” and the market certainly gave us a big right cross to recover from yesterday, mining and construction business NRW Holdings (NWH) tumbled -17% after delivering a disappointing half-year profit although we felt the market was too harsh on the stock – I felt like it was Friday when the bell rang yesterday, not Thursday.
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Morning report

Looking for opportunities as Reporting Season elevates volatility

The ASX200 enjoyed a great start to the week eventually closing almost 1% higher, stocks opened strongly after global markets posted fresh all-time highs on Friday with the gains then compounded by some excellent advances on the stock level as company reports added to the markets positive tone e.g. Nearmap (NEA) +19% and Bendigo Bank (BEN) +11.3%. On the sector level the “risk on” theme remained very dominant with the Resources & IT Sectors strong while the defensive Utilities / Real Estate Sectors again slipped.
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Morning report

5 currently volatile / interesting stocks as 2021 heats up

The ASX200 regained most of Tuesdays losses yesterday with some positive reports helping the overall sentiment, overall a good performance considering CBA reversed down -1.5%. Australia’s largest bank actually rallied early in the day following their announcement of a larger than expected dividend which should put the bank in good stead to deliver a yield in excess of 5% when grossed up for franking, not bad when many term deposits are struggling to pay a tenth of this – CBA may need a “rest” after rallying over 20% in the last 3-months but the tailwinds remain in play leading to upgrades to CBA earnings forecasts from analysts this morning.
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Morning report

Overseas Wednesday – International Equities & Global Macro Portfolio

The ASX200 gave back a little ground yesterday as reporting season became the main game in town, 70% of stocks closed in the red and it currently feels like the market has started the week with elevated expectations towards company performance which unfortunately leaves plenty room for disappointment. The selling was indiscriminatory with all 11 sectors of the ASX200 closing lower but the worst on ground were generally stocks that have shone through most of 2021.
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MM remains bullish the ASX200 through 2021.
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LLC
MM remains bullish and long LLC.
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AWC
MM is watching our AWC position very closely, we’re not married to it!
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IGO
MM remains bullish IGO targeting ~$8.
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MM remains bullish global stocks through 2021 albeit in an increasing volatile manner.
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MM is now neutral / bearish Bitcoin.
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MM remains bullish bond yields.
IVV
MM likes global equities through 2021.
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MM will consider buying the SQQQ when we the S&P500 tests trendline mentioned earlier.
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MM may consider taking profit on Google around the $US2200 area.
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MM likes the reflation viewpoint through 2021.
MM is looking to take profit on our QQQ positions ~$US340.
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MM is considering taking profit on our FUEL position ~$US4.50.
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Latest Reports

Morning report

What Matters Today: The recovery / reflation trade is gathering momentum

The ASX200 drifted lower yesterday but the action under the hood remains very pronounced with 10 members of the index rallying by more than 5% but less than 40% of the index actually managed to close in positive territory i.e. it’s all about backing the right horse or in this case thematic / sector. Monday saw the travel stocks come back into favour while copper continued its acceleration higher conversely yield sensitive stocks like the Healthcare, Real Estate, Utilities and IT Sectors continued to struggle.

Morning report

Subscribers questions

No major market news over the weekend as the COVID vaccine is rolled out from today in Australia, hopefully meaning no more state lockdowns, tennis remained the main topic of conversation both in the press and in our household and it was a bit of an anticlimax I’ve got to say! The ASX200 feels like its “wobbling” around the 6800 area but as we discussed in the Weekend Report all the actions unfolding beneath the hood. So far in 2021 the sectors catching my eye in 2021 are:

Morning report

What Matters Today: Will the Resources Sector mirror the CBA to Westpac rotation?

I often quote that “what defines us is how we deal with adversity” and the market certainly gave us a big right cross to recover from yesterday, mining and construction business NRW Holdings (NWH) tumbled -17% after delivering a disappointing half-year profit although we felt the market was too harsh on the stock – I felt like it was Friday when the bell rang yesterday, not Thursday.

Morning report

Looking for opportunities as Reporting Season elevates volatility

The ASX200 enjoyed a great start to the week eventually closing almost 1% higher, stocks opened strongly after global markets posted fresh all-time highs on Friday with the gains then compounded by some excellent advances on the stock level as company reports added to the markets positive tone e.g. Nearmap (NEA) +19% and Bendigo Bank (BEN) +11.3%. On the sector level the “risk on” theme remained very dominant with the Resources & IT Sectors strong while the defensive Utilities / Real Estate Sectors again slipped.

Morning report

Can MM find any value in the outperforming Media Sector

The ASX200 experienced a lacklustre Thursday in what’s been a very quiet week on the index level – with today’s trading still to go we’ve only seen a meagre 80-point range over the last 4-days.

Morning report

5 currently volatile / interesting stocks as 2021 heats up

The ASX200 regained most of Tuesdays losses yesterday with some positive reports helping the overall sentiment, overall a good performance considering CBA reversed down -1.5%. Australia’s largest bank actually rallied early in the day following their announcement of a larger than expected dividend which should put the bank in good stead to deliver a yield in excess of 5% when grossed up for franking, not bad when many term deposits are struggling to pay a tenth of this – CBA may need a “rest” after rallying over 20% in the last 3-months but the tailwinds remain in play leading to upgrades to CBA earnings forecasts from analysts this morning.

Morning report

Overseas Wednesday – International Equities & Global Macro Portfolio

The ASX200 gave back a little ground yesterday as reporting season became the main game in town, 70% of stocks closed in the red and it currently feels like the market has started the week with elevated expectations towards company performance which unfortunately leaves plenty room for disappointment. The selling was indiscriminatory with all 11 sectors of the ASX200 closing lower but the worst on ground were generally stocks that have shone through most of 2021.

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