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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The RBA remains convinced rate hikes won’t be until 2023/24

The ASX200 succumbed to broad based selling on Tuesday, only the IT Sector managed to close in positive territory while the resources led the declines - the stock and sector rotation continues almost day to day, anybody attempting to identify a clear trend looks destined for disappointment. As we often say the market will be there tomorrow and it usually tells us where it wants to go hence be patient and don’t force an opinion too firmly on this market while its treading water i.e. MM is still bullish while being conscious...
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Does MM like the latest plays by big hitter George Soros?

On Monday the ASX200 tried and failed yet again to break through the 7480 barrier, perhaps it will be 8th time lucky. By lunchtime yesterday it actually felt like the local market was going to break out above its October / November high but the buyers aggressive morning appetite faded after lunch although we still managed to close within 10-points of MM’s technical breakout level. We are mid-way through November and its range is less than half of the monthly average through 2021 which implies a break above 7480...
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: The ASX is like a fashion statement, if you’re in you’re in!!

The ASX200 saw some standout sector reversion yesterday plus some rare selling in the futures market following weak local employment data, ultimately we saw the index fall 0.57% as the broad based selling led to almost 70% of the index close in the red. The iron ore stocks offered some rare strength to the index while weakness was noticeably endured in the Healthcare, Energy and IT Sectors. The choppy price action continues with the index trading in an almost 100-point range on Thursday before closing almost smack bang in the middle of the day’s action while sectors that have been...
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Should we throw in the towel with iron ore?

The ASX200 again succumbed to selling into early morning strength as we followed US S&P500 futures lower throughout the day, considering their 0.4% decline by 4pm AEST a small 0.1% dip by the local market was fairly encouraging, especially as iron ore plunged almost 8% at one stage weighing on both sentiment and related stocks. Fortunately from an index perspective the influential banks were strong and 40% of the market still managed to close in positive territory. The markets look and feel remains the same which is no surprise considering the ASX remains unchanged...
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The ASX struggles to keep pace with its peers

The ASX200 faded away yesterday following a common path over recent weeks, every time the ASX200 knocks on the 7475 door it gets sold off, no longer surprising or new – at yesterdays close the local index had only bounced 4% from its October low compared to the US S&P500’s impressive 10% rally to fresh highs. The US feels like it’s now due a rest posing the question can we buck any weakness after ignoring the strength, it does happen sometimes. The problem was 2-fold yesterday:
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Will everybody want an electric car (EV) sooner rather than later?

The ASX200 again faltered at the 7475 level yesterday, from a technical perspective the pictures getting clearer by the day – when / if the ASX200 closes above 7475 it’s a great buy targeting fresh highs with stops under 7440, excellent risk / reward for the trader. However at MM we are “Active Investors” and as such we’re more focused staying fully committed to stocks until we lose our bullish stance and advocate moving further down the risk curve. The price action yesterday felt more like a lack of buying into strength as opposed to meaningful selling as a number of stocks, courtesy of low volumes, swung around in a fairly exaggerated manner for a day when the index fell less than 0.1%:
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: As the bad news dissipates can the ASX200 match its peers?

Australian stocks are knocking on the door of our technical breakout level and as subscribers know we believe fresh highs are likely into Christmas, our best guess is around 5% higher. However subscribers also know we like to look into the future, especially in today’s rapidly evolving market – its amazing what the ASX has already delivered in 2021 e.g. BNPL stocks moved out of favour while lithium returned back to the limelight, crude oil surprised everyone on the upside but iron ore halved in a few weeks while bond yields had some of their most explosive weekly moves in history. What we feel comes next is both exciting and potentially scary for those not prepared.
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: should we follow CBA into Crypto’s?

The ASX200 rallied 0.5% on Thursday as the Financial & IT Sectors teamed up to drag the index towards fresh 4th quarter highs, it doesn’t feel like it but we’re now only 2.7% away from new all-time highs and its slowly starting to feel like when, not if, we reach that milestone. The stock and sector rotation might be dominating the tape day to day and week to week but there’s a distinct absence of sustained selling unless a company, or sector, receives some meaningful bad news e.g. Dominos (DMP)...
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: 3 rarely discussed stocks that look interesting into Christmas

The ASX200 rallied 0.9% yesterday although as has often been the case recently it peaked at midday before drifting 40-points through the afternoon following a nervous lead from US futures – unfortunately at the moment we’re embracing weakness in the US with far more enthusiasm than strength. Gains were encouragingly broad-based on Wednesday with over 70% of stocks closing up on the day with line honours going to the recently under pressure resources and financial stocks, it was also...
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
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MM remains bullish the ASX targeting fresh highs in the weeks / months ahead
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ILU
MM remains a buyer of ILU around $8
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AMP
MM is tempted by AMP under $1.10
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PNV
MM is neutral PNV at best
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IVV
No change, MM is mildly bullish US stocks into Christmas
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MM is bullish US bond yields into 2022
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MM is bullish MIN around $40
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DXS
MM is now more neutral / marginally bullish DXS
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ABB
MM is bullish ABB
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MM likes TSCO around GBP280
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MM is bullish the uranium space and the U-U CN ETF
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Latest Reports

Morning report

What Matters Today: Does MM like the latest plays by big hitter George Soros?

On Monday the ASX200 tried and failed yet again to break through the 7480 barrier, perhaps it will be 8th time lucky. By lunchtime yesterday it actually felt like the local market was going to break out above its October / November high but the buyers aggressive morning appetite faded after lunch although we still managed to close within 10-points of MM’s technical breakout level. We are mid-way through November and its range is less than half of the monthly average through 2021 which implies a break above 7480...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Equities are running their own race – for now

Global stocks are hovering around their all-time highs impressively ignoring a sharp move higher by inflation and subsequent surge in global bond yields, most subscribers probably have a handle on the numbers by now:

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: The ASX is like a fashion statement, if you’re in you’re in!!

The ASX200 saw some standout sector reversion yesterday plus some rare selling in the futures market following weak local employment data, ultimately we saw the index fall 0.57% as the broad based selling led to almost 70% of the index close in the red. The iron ore stocks offered some rare strength to the index while weakness was noticeably endured in the Healthcare, Energy and IT Sectors. The choppy price action continues with the index trading in an almost 100-point range on Thursday before closing almost smack bang in the middle of the day’s action while sectors that have been...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Should we throw in the towel with iron ore?

The ASX200 again succumbed to selling into early morning strength as we followed US S&P500 futures lower throughout the day, considering their 0.4% decline by 4pm AEST a small 0.1% dip by the local market was fairly encouraging, especially as iron ore plunged almost 8% at one stage weighing on both sentiment and related stocks. Fortunately from an index perspective the influential banks were strong and 40% of the market still managed to close in positive territory. The markets look and feel remains the same which is no surprise considering the ASX remains unchanged...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The ASX struggles to keep pace with its peers

The ASX200 faded away yesterday following a common path over recent weeks, every time the ASX200 knocks on the 7475 door it gets sold off, no longer surprising or new – at yesterdays close the local index had only bounced 4% from its October low compared to the US S&P500’s impressive 10% rally to fresh highs. The US feels like it’s now due a rest posing the question can we buck any weakness after ignoring the strength, it does happen sometimes. The problem was 2-fold yesterday:

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Will everybody want an electric car (EV) sooner rather than later?

The ASX200 again faltered at the 7475 level yesterday, from a technical perspective the pictures getting clearer by the day – when / if the ASX200 closes above 7475 it’s a great buy targeting fresh highs with stops under 7440, excellent risk / reward for the trader. However at MM we are “Active Investors” and as such we’re more focused staying fully committed to stocks until we lose our bullish stance and advocate moving further down the risk curve. The price action yesterday felt more like a lack of buying into strength as opposed to meaningful selling as a number of stocks, courtesy of low volumes, swung around in a fairly exaggerated manner for a day when the index fell less than 0.1%:

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: As the bad news dissipates can the ASX200 match its peers?

Australian stocks are knocking on the door of our technical breakout level and as subscribers know we believe fresh highs are likely into Christmas, our best guess is around 5% higher. However subscribers also know we like to look into the future, especially in today’s rapidly evolving market – its amazing what the ASX has already delivered in 2021 e.g. BNPL stocks moved out of favour while lithium returned back to the limelight, crude oil surprised everyone on the upside but iron ore halved in a few weeks while bond yields had some of their most explosive weekly moves in history. What we feel comes next is both exciting and potentially scary for those not prepared.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: should we follow CBA into Crypto’s?

The ASX200 rallied 0.5% on Thursday as the Financial & IT Sectors teamed up to drag the index towards fresh 4th quarter highs, it doesn’t feel like it but we’re now only 2.7% away from new all-time highs and its slowly starting to feel like when, not if, we reach that milestone. The stock and sector rotation might be dominating the tape day to day and week to week but there’s a distinct absence of sustained selling unless a company, or sector, receives some meaningful bad news e.g. Dominos (DMP)...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: 3 rarely discussed stocks that look interesting into Christmas

The ASX200 rallied 0.9% yesterday although as has often been the case recently it peaked at midday before drifting 40-points through the afternoon following a nervous lead from US futures – unfortunately at the moment we’re embracing weakness in the US with far more enthusiasm than strength. Gains were encouragingly broad-based on Wednesday with over 70% of stocks closing up on the day with line honours going to the recently under pressure resources and financial stocks, it was also...

what matters today Market Matters
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