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Morning report

What Matters Today: Did MM turn neutral towards Gold too early?

The ASX 200 performed well on Wednesday, considering US NASDAQ Futures were down over 2% by 4pm AEST, courtesy of poor news from both sides of the Atlantic before the respective bourses even opened. Global Tech stocks sank on a one-two of bad news for tech goliaths Nvidia and ASML, the last thing the embattled semiconductor sector needed.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Trump blinks first in tariff war against China

President Donald Trump announced over the weekend that smartphones, computers, and other electronics would be exempted from his reciprocal tariffs. This represents a significant reprieve for global technology manufacturers, including Apple (AAPL US) and Nvidia (NVDA US), whose shares had plunged over 25% at their worst since late March.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: A bottom or a bounce, that is the question

The ASX200 closed up more than 2% on Tuesday, with the market enjoying broad-based buying. All 11 major sectors advanced, led by Tech, while the defensives were the laggards. In yesterday's report, we discussed volatility, but a few subscribers who liked the piece felt it was lost being too far into the daily missive; hence, here’s a follow-up summary, arguably even more pertinent after the last 24 hours.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: The combination of tariffs & no “Fed Put” sends stocks plunging

In the Rose Garden on Wednesday, Trump declared, “Jobs and factories will come roaring back into our country” and predicted a new “golden age” in America – financial markets do not agree. On Friday night, he compounded market fears by stating that his decision to hike US tariffs to their highest levels in over a century would not change, despite sparking a global market meltdown.
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MM is cautiously bullish on local equities through 2025
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MM is cautiously bullish on US Tech through 2025
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IVV
MM is cautiously bullish toward the S&P 500 below 5200
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MM remains cautiously bullish about Australian 3-Year Bonds (yields lower)
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OOO
MM is neutral Brent Crude ~$US66
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MM is bullish towards Copper (Cu) medium-term
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MM is bullish toward gold in the medium term
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USD
MM remains bearish towards the $US medium/long term
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MM remains bullish towards the Pound
NDQ
Trade Idea: Buy the BetaShares NASDAQ 100 ETF (NDQ) at 42.50 with a stop loss at 40 – a 6% risk.
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Latest Reports

Morning report

What Matters Today: Did MM turn neutral towards Gold too early?

The ASX 200 performed well on Wednesday, considering US NASDAQ Futures were down over 2% by 4pm AEST, courtesy of poor news from both sides of the Atlantic before the respective bourses even opened. Global Tech stocks sank on a one-two of bad news for tech goliaths Nvidia and ASML, the last thing the embattled semiconductor sector needed.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Can the Australian “Big Banks” deliver like their US peers?

The ASX200 surged over 100 points on Monday, taking a positive lead after President Trump paused import duties on various consumer electronics. However, he warned markets on Sunday that tariffs are still coming in a social media post shortly after he finished his Sunday golf game: “NOBODY is getting off the hook”.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Trump blinks first in tariff war against China

President Donald Trump announced over the weekend that smartphones, computers, and other electronics would be exempted from his reciprocal tariffs. This represents a significant reprieve for global technology manufacturers, including Apple (AAPL US) and Nvidia (NVDA US), whose shares had plunged over 25% at their worst since late March.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: A bottom or a bounce, that is the question

The ASX200 closed up more than 2% on Tuesday, with the market enjoying broad-based buying. All 11 major sectors advanced, led by Tech, while the defensives were the laggards. In yesterday's report, we discussed volatility, but a few subscribers who liked the piece felt it was lost being too far into the daily missive; hence, here’s a follow-up summary, arguably even more pertinent after the last 24 hours.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Four stocks we like as indiscriminate selling hammers Equities

The ASX200 fell another 4.2% on Monday, its largest one-day drop since 2020, as concerns continue to escalate that Trump's aggressive tariff policies will send the world into recession. The moves across a range of financial markets on Monday were pricing in a recession as “un fait accompli”, especially in the morning.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: The combination of tariffs & no “Fed Put” sends stocks plunging

In the Rose Garden on Wednesday, Trump declared, “Jobs and factories will come roaring back into our country” and predicted a new “golden age” in America – financial markets do not agree. On Friday night, he compounded market fears by stating that his decision to hike US tariffs to their highest levels in over a century would not change, despite sparking a global market meltdown.

what matters today Market Matters
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