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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Volatility remains the only constant in 2022!

Local stocks got off to an encouraging start yesterday, with the index actually managing to edge higher early on ignoring the 800-point plunge by the Dow but things slowly but surely unwound throughout the day as aggressive selling hit the Resources Sector, perhaps some big players agree with MM that things have simply advanced too far too fast. Tuesday ultimately saw the ASX200 close down 0.8%, back under 7000, as profit taking appeared to roll through the energy stocks and miners while at the same time a number of the classic “risk off” areas such as healthcare...
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Putin sends commodity prices into orbit, are there switches afoot?

The ASX200 closed down 1% yesterday as the escalating Ukraine conflict continued to panic markets although we significantly outperformed other indices in the region due to our large resources exposure e.g. Japan, Hong Kong, India, and Korea all fell between 2% & 4%. We saw over 75% of stocks on the ASX200 decline on the day but when the influential energy and resource stocks rally strongly it undoubtedly helps shore up the local index.
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Russia is creating a huge squeeze in commodities

March kicked off with another week dominated by news around Russia’s invasion of the Ukraine while over the weekend we saw the Chinese Government set ambitious economic growth targets suggesting another bout of aggressive fiscal stimulus in an effort to offset both rising geopolitical tensions and their painful domestic property collapse – it was only back in the 2nd half of 2021 that China Evergrande’s debt woes made scary headlines but it already seems like an almost distant memory. The ramifications of Chinas 5.5% GDP target, which is well above the IMF’s 4.8%, suggests meaningful...
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Reviewing some often ignored ASX100 names

The ASX200 again tested the psychological 7200 area late yesterday morning before drifting lower and ultimately surrendering over half of its morning’s gains to close up just 35-points for the day. We may be only 2-months into 2022 but MM’s view that the year would be characterised by significant volatility on both the stock and sector level is looking even more on point than even we imagined, a quick scan of some of the major winners & losers over the last 9-weeks says it all:
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: MM lightens our oil & gold holdings into panic buying, what to buy?

The ASX200 delivered a stellar performance on Wednesday by rallying 20-points in the wake of a 600-point plunge by the Dow – as we said yesterday “MM still feels that stocks want to trade higher”. We may have seen 65% of stocks decline yesterday but the stellar gains across the Energy, Gold and Resources Sectors was enough to carry the index higher. Some subscribers may have been surprised to see our sell alerts cross their screens yesterday but I remind you of a couple of famous investing quotes plus a personal favourite of one of the MM team:
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Inflation fears are rising fast as Russia plunges into an economic abyss

Tuesday saw the ASX200 gain 0.7% but It was significantly higher at lunchtime before US futures started drifting lower reminding local investors that Eastern Europe is in the midst of a very scary war. Gains were still broad based with almost 70% of stocks closing up on the day but a reversal by the big miners reined in the markets gain even as the IT Sector surged well over 5% - with the current Ukraine crisis stock / sector rotation moves are struggling to be sustainable for more than a few days.
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Investors still feel underweight gold stocks

The ASX200 promised so much on Monday but ultimately delivered just a little as Ukraine tensions came back to the fore as Belarus entered the affray and the West continue to gear up sanctions against Russia – before the ASX even opened US stock futures were down over 2%, gold spiked almost $US40/oz higher and brent crude soared 7%, back above $US105/barrel. MM is looking for a few weeks choppy action across financial markets, which is hardly a grandiose call but if yesterday is anything to go by we feel smack on the money.
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Markets amazingly shrug off Putin as an irritant

The year is less than 2-months old but it feels like stocks have walked a path far longer, broad based US stocks have already corrected ~15% while the previously high flying tech sector has endured a painful 22% pullback primarily around fears that rising inflation / bond yields will see a major rerating of the growth sector – interestingly the last time equities experienced similar “bond jitters” was in late 2018 when the NASDAQ fell 23% just 3-months before soaring to fresh all-time highs.
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: It’s time to navigate a roller-coaster in Europe

The ASX200 was smashed 3% yesterday with sheer panic rolling through equities as Russia invaded the Ukraine, its been 67-years since World War 2 and many commentators have already started drawing comparisons as Vladimir Putin shows total disregard for the majority of people in the Eastern European nation, Joe Biden and NATO all in one resounding move. The rhetoric from Putin has also been very aggressive with the following statement catching many people’s attention – if anyone tries to stop us there will be “consequences as you have never before experienced”. The sea of red across our screens come 4pm...
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: MM’s current favourite 3 defensive stocks into weakness

The ASX200 enjoyed a strong recovery yesterday even after US stocks fell over 1%, the buying was broad based with less than 30% of stocks falling as the “risk on” button was re-engaged taking the market up 0.6% with tech stocks finally coming to the fore – time will tell but perhaps MM nailed it with Tuesdays report : “What Matters Today: Hold on tight but tech looks set for a decent bounce!“. More on some of the Australian tech stocks a little later but this note won’t be 1-way traffic even if we...
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what matters today Market Matters
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MM is neutral / positive the ASX200 while it trades under 7200
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RMD
MM is considering increasing our exposure to ResMed (RMD) and CSL Ltd (CSL)
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STO
MM is now neutral STO around $8
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MM is neutral nickel into current panic
IVV
MM remains mildly bullish US stocks through March
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MM is now neutral / bullish gold
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AWC
MM is considering cutting our AWC position
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SIQ
MM remains long & bullish SIQ
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TNT
MM has TNT on our Hit List
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MM is considering taking profit from FCX in the coming days
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MM still likes our holding our DBA ETF
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Latest Reports

Morning report

What Matters Today: Putin sends commodity prices into orbit, are there switches afoot?

The ASX200 closed down 1% yesterday as the escalating Ukraine conflict continued to panic markets although we significantly outperformed other indices in the region due to our large resources exposure e.g. Japan, Hong Kong, India, and Korea all fell between 2% & 4%. We saw over 75% of stocks on the ASX200 decline on the day but when the influential energy and resource stocks rally strongly it undoubtedly helps shore up the local index.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Russia is creating a huge squeeze in commodities

March kicked off with another week dominated by news around Russia’s invasion of the Ukraine while over the weekend we saw the Chinese Government set ambitious economic growth targets suggesting another bout of aggressive fiscal stimulus in an effort to offset both rising geopolitical tensions and their painful domestic property collapse – it was only back in the 2nd half of 2021 that China Evergrande’s debt woes made scary headlines but it already seems like an almost distant memory. The ramifications of Chinas 5.5% GDP target, which is well above the IMF’s 4.8%, suggests meaningful...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Reviewing some often ignored ASX100 names

The ASX200 again tested the psychological 7200 area late yesterday morning before drifting lower and ultimately surrendering over half of its morning’s gains to close up just 35-points for the day. We may be only 2-months into 2022 but MM’s view that the year would be characterised by significant volatility on both the stock and sector level is looking even more on point than even we imagined, a quick scan of some of the major winners & losers over the last 9-weeks says it all:

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: MM lightens our oil & gold holdings into panic buying, what to buy?

The ASX200 delivered a stellar performance on Wednesday by rallying 20-points in the wake of a 600-point plunge by the Dow – as we said yesterday “MM still feels that stocks want to trade higher”. We may have seen 65% of stocks decline yesterday but the stellar gains across the Energy, Gold and Resources Sectors was enough to carry the index higher. Some subscribers may have been surprised to see our sell alerts cross their screens yesterday but I remind you of a couple of famous investing quotes plus a personal favourite of one of the MM team:

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Inflation fears are rising fast as Russia plunges into an economic abyss

Tuesday saw the ASX200 gain 0.7% but It was significantly higher at lunchtime before US futures started drifting lower reminding local investors that Eastern Europe is in the midst of a very scary war. Gains were still broad based with almost 70% of stocks closing up on the day but a reversal by the big miners reined in the markets gain even as the IT Sector surged well over 5% - with the current Ukraine crisis stock / sector rotation moves are struggling to be sustainable for more than a few days.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Investors still feel underweight gold stocks

The ASX200 promised so much on Monday but ultimately delivered just a little as Ukraine tensions came back to the fore as Belarus entered the affray and the West continue to gear up sanctions against Russia – before the ASX even opened US stock futures were down over 2%, gold spiked almost $US40/oz higher and brent crude soared 7%, back above $US105/barrel. MM is looking for a few weeks choppy action across financial markets, which is hardly a grandiose call but if yesterday is anything to go by we feel smack on the money.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Markets amazingly shrug off Putin as an irritant

The year is less than 2-months old but it feels like stocks have walked a path far longer, broad based US stocks have already corrected ~15% while the previously high flying tech sector has endured a painful 22% pullback primarily around fears that rising inflation / bond yields will see a major rerating of the growth sector – interestingly the last time equities experienced similar “bond jitters” was in late 2018 when the NASDAQ fell 23% just 3-months before soaring to fresh all-time highs.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: It’s time to navigate a roller-coaster in Europe

The ASX200 was smashed 3% yesterday with sheer panic rolling through equities as Russia invaded the Ukraine, its been 67-years since World War 2 and many commentators have already started drawing comparisons as Vladimir Putin shows total disregard for the majority of people in the Eastern European nation, Joe Biden and NATO all in one resounding move. The rhetoric from Putin has also been very aggressive with the following statement catching many people’s attention – if anyone tries to stop us there will be “consequences as you have never before experienced”. The sea of red across our screens come 4pm...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: MM’s current favourite 3 defensive stocks into weakness

The ASX200 enjoyed a strong recovery yesterday even after US stocks fell over 1%, the buying was broad based with less than 30% of stocks falling as the “risk on” button was re-engaged taking the market up 0.6% with tech stocks finally coming to the fore – time will tell but perhaps MM nailed it with Tuesdays report : “What Matters Today: Hold on tight but tech looks set for a decent bounce!“. More on some of the Australian tech stocks a little later but this note won’t be 1-way traffic even if we...

what matters today Market Matters
more
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