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Morning report

What Matters Today: Are gold stocks simply too cheap?

The ASX200 struggled throughout yesterday finally closing down -0.9% although it did recover a third of the morning’s losses through a relatively unconvincing afternoon bounce. Considering over 80% of the market fell it wasn’t a bad result aided by a relatively steady Banking Sector. Under the hood, it was another tough session for tech, real estate and healthcare stocks, three sectors that keep looking for a low with very little success. Overall yesterday was a quiet day bar the sharp drop on the opening, EOFY portfolio tweaks feel like they’ve already been actioned i.e. investors have become much smarter over recent years with regards to tax-loss selling now commencing much earlier.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: July feels like it could be a choppy month

The ASX200 enjoyed another strong day on Tuesday rallying +0.9%, although over 40% of the main board closed down on the day – it was a stellar performance from the Resources Sector that dragged the index higher e.g. BHP Group (BHP) +4.3%, Fortescue Metals (FMG) +3.8% and South32 (S32) +3.7%. One of the main themes over the last 6-months has been the huge gyrations across the relative stock/sector performances which definitely remains in play today:
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Are fund managers a good way to play a market bounce?

The ASX200 enjoyed an explosive start to the week with over 80% of the main board advancing led by the banks, energy and tech stocks, if we take the gold sector out of the mix it was almost a clean sweep for the bulls. There are only 3 trading days left of this financial year hence the easiest call for the next few sessions is we should expect plenty of volatility under the hood of the market, in both directions. Second-guessing which stocks will surge or plunge is akin to a game of two-up hence we would rather step back and see if anything becomes too cheap or expensive and then we can act accordingly i.e. don’t be surprised if you receive another trading alert over the coming week.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Here comes the bounce!

Equities are struggling as free money is withdrawn from the financial system and many stocks appear to be going on sale, recession led market corrections have only occurred roughly every 6-years since WW2 and while a little more downside wouldn’t surprise MM considering how much economic stimulus supported stocks through the GFC and COVID these should be exciting times for the informed investors not a time to panic – remember US stocks have already endured over 75% of their average recession led correction.
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Will lithium stocks follow Bitcoin into the abyss?

The ASX200 edged higher on Thursday as the broad market managed to successfully offset pockets of aggressive selling in the Resources Sector courtesy of some very tough commentary from Fed Chair Powell around the potential for a recession in the year ahead. The commodities markets have certainly been paying attention with both crude oil and copper plumbing multi-week lows over recent days:
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Have travel stocks fallen too far when people want to holiday?

The ASX200 slipped back into its recent bad habits yesterday with investors prepared to chase a few bargains into weakness but unfortunately, there remains a clear absence of buyers into any meaningful degree of strength – it appears we need some improvement on the macro level before some real confidence returns to stocks but this can often occur when least expected. However, through Wednesday’s session, it was a sharp decline by the S&P500 futures that changed the initial positive sentiment for the local market as recession fears intensified dragging down influential commodities like crude oil and copper, both were down well over...
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Equities are trying to deliver their seasonal bounce

The ASX200 opened strongly on Tuesday as anticipated but it was pleasant change compared to the rest of June that we managed to hold onto these gains although a surging S&P500 Futures market certainly helped the sentiment. The main Australian bourse ended the day up +1.4% with over 70% of the main board closing in positive territory. The Financials & Resources Sectors combined to lead the gains with many energy stocks reversing much of Mondays weakness, although a number of the miners struggled to maintain their gains through the afternoon implying they could experience further downside into July e.g. yesterday saw iron ore experience...
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: The Resources Sector is saying a recession is coming, what are MM’s favourite 4 stocks into current weakness

The ASX200 came under renewed pressure on Monday only from a different sector this time as the miners were smacked in line with their underlying commodities e.g. iron ore plunged 11% at one stage yesterday taking Fortescue Metals (FMG) down -8.6% in sympathy. Over 55% of the main board’s stocks rallied over the day but when the heavyweight resource stocks fall ~5% it’s always going to be tough going for the broad market. It feels like different market pockets/sectors are taking it in turns to attract sellers’ attention almost like dominos falling one at a time:
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Are there any stocks MM is particularly wary of as energy costs surge?

The ASX200 struggled again on Thursday as it failed to embrace the bounce by overseas bourses following the 0.75% interest rate hike by the Fed, or maybe it was simply smarter expecting the recent equities downtrend to continue over the coming weeks – it would appear so this morning! Overall the session was another lacklustre performance which may have seen the winners and losers evenly matched but when the banks struggle the local index tends to follow suit, Westpac (WBC) for example has now tumbled -20% in just 2-weeks.
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MM is mildly bullish the ASX200 short-term
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STO
MM is bearish STO medium term
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SUN
MM likes SUN around $11
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REA
MM likes REA into further weakness $100 below
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IVV
MM is mildly bullish US equities over the coming weeks
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MM is bearish crude oil over the coming weeks/months
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EVN
MM is neutral/negative EVN ~$2.50
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MM is bullish gold over the next 3-months
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NCM
MM likes NCM around $21
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NST
MM is neutral NST
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SLR
MM is neutral SLR
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Latest Reports

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: July feels like it could be a choppy month

The ASX200 enjoyed another strong day on Tuesday rallying +0.9%, although over 40% of the main board closed down on the day – it was a stellar performance from the Resources Sector that dragged the index higher e.g. BHP Group (BHP) +4.3%, Fortescue Metals (FMG) +3.8% and South32 (S32) +3.7%. One of the main themes over the last 6-months has been the huge gyrations across the relative stock/sector performances which definitely remains in play today:

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Are fund managers a good way to play a market bounce?

The ASX200 enjoyed an explosive start to the week with over 80% of the main board advancing led by the banks, energy and tech stocks, if we take the gold sector out of the mix it was almost a clean sweep for the bulls. There are only 3 trading days left of this financial year hence the easiest call for the next few sessions is we should expect plenty of volatility under the hood of the market, in both directions. Second-guessing which stocks will surge or plunge is akin to a game of two-up hence we would rather step back and see if anything becomes too cheap or expensive and then we can act accordingly i.e. don’t be surprised if you receive another trading alert over the coming week.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Here comes the bounce!

Equities are struggling as free money is withdrawn from the financial system and many stocks appear to be going on sale, recession led market corrections have only occurred roughly every 6-years since WW2 and while a little more downside wouldn’t surprise MM considering how much economic stimulus supported stocks through the GFC and COVID these should be exciting times for the informed investors not a time to panic – remember US stocks have already endured over 75% of their average recession led correction.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Will lithium stocks follow Bitcoin into the abyss?

The ASX200 edged higher on Thursday as the broad market managed to successfully offset pockets of aggressive selling in the Resources Sector courtesy of some very tough commentary from Fed Chair Powell around the potential for a recession in the year ahead. The commodities markets have certainly been paying attention with both crude oil and copper plumbing multi-week lows over recent days:

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Have travel stocks fallen too far when people want to holiday?

The ASX200 slipped back into its recent bad habits yesterday with investors prepared to chase a few bargains into weakness but unfortunately, there remains a clear absence of buyers into any meaningful degree of strength – it appears we need some improvement on the macro level before some real confidence returns to stocks but this can often occur when least expected. However, through Wednesday’s session, it was a sharp decline by the S&P500 futures that changed the initial positive sentiment for the local market as recession fears intensified dragging down influential commodities like crude oil and copper, both were down well over...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Equities are trying to deliver their seasonal bounce

The ASX200 opened strongly on Tuesday as anticipated but it was pleasant change compared to the rest of June that we managed to hold onto these gains although a surging S&P500 Futures market certainly helped the sentiment. The main Australian bourse ended the day up +1.4% with over 70% of the main board closing in positive territory. The Financials & Resources Sectors combined to lead the gains with many energy stocks reversing much of Mondays weakness, although a number of the miners struggled to maintain their gains through the afternoon implying they could experience further downside into July e.g. yesterday saw iron ore experience...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: The Resources Sector is saying a recession is coming, what are MM’s favourite 4 stocks into current weakness

The ASX200 came under renewed pressure on Monday only from a different sector this time as the miners were smacked in line with their underlying commodities e.g. iron ore plunged 11% at one stage yesterday taking Fortescue Metals (FMG) down -8.6% in sympathy. Over 55% of the main board’s stocks rallied over the day but when the heavyweight resource stocks fall ~5% it’s always going to be tough going for the broad market. It feels like different market pockets/sectors are taking it in turns to attract sellers’ attention almost like dominos falling one at a time:

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday on a Tuesday: People are getting scared, is the bottom near?

Global stocks have been smacked in 2022 with losses accelerating over the last few weeks primarily in our opinion because investors have simply lost confidence that central banks can / will balance inflation with economic growth, let’s just consider the RBA and some factors close to home:

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Are there any stocks MM is particularly wary of as energy costs surge?

The ASX200 struggled again on Thursday as it failed to embrace the bounce by overseas bourses following the 0.75% interest rate hike by the Fed, or maybe it was simply smarter expecting the recent equities downtrend to continue over the coming weeks – it would appear so this morning! Overall the session was another lacklustre performance which may have seen the winners and losers evenly matched but when the banks struggle the local index tends to follow suit, Westpac (WBC) for example has now tumbled -20% in just 2-weeks.

what matters today Market Matters
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