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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The bonds are back in town – ouch!

The ASX200 came down to earth with a thud on Tuesday as rising bond yields finally took their toll on stocks. The local 3-year yield is up 0.5% over recent weeks, reducing the appeal of equities compared to bonds. Economic data at home and abroad has remained buoyant, lessening the need for significant rate cuts over the coming year.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Is it time to tweak tech exposure as volatility lifts?

The ASX200 enjoyed a solid start to the week, with the index gaining 0.74% on broad-based buying, which ultimately saw ~70% of the main board close higher. On the sector level, only tech retreated, while the materials and energy stocks led the gains, with gold and uranium names dominating the “winners enclosure.”
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Morning report

Macro Monday: The bulls think they’re in Pamplona as the Trump trade resurfaces

The bookies suddenly have Donald Trump as a standout favourite for next month's election. With two weeks to go, he's rated ~58% chance to win - it's still a coin toss to us. However, over recent weeks, equity markets have weighed back into stocks benefitting from a Republican victory after previously swinging towards the Democrats following the Kamala Harris v Donald Trump debate.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Uranium stocks soar on Thursday; are they still a buy?

The ASX200 rallied 0.86% on Thursday, bringing the local index within striking distance of 8400 for the first time. Gains were broad-based, with ~75% of the main board closing higher, but the banks contributed the most points, with the “Big Four” closing up an average of 1.8% following a strong overnight result by Morgan Stanley (MS US) and stronger than expected employment data locally. We hate to be boring, but “the ASX doesn’t go down without the banks.”
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Morning report

What Matters Today: China has shown its hand, what stocks to own in FY25?

The ASX200 slipped 0.4% on Wednesday, rotating through the day to close at a similar level to where it opened. The banks advanced throughout the session, with the financial sector ultimately finishing up by +0.27%. Conversely, the other ten main sectors closed lower, led by tech, which fell -1.35%, following the weak overnight session by their peers on Wall Street. There were a couple of interesting moves within the resources sector, both of which are worth monitoring.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Don’t fight the bull as stocks surge to new highs

The ASX200 rallied +0.79% on Tuesday, taking the local index above 8300 for the first time. Buying was broad-based, with over 80% of the main board closing in positive territory, but it was financials, healthcare, and tech stocks that led the line, with all three sectors closing over +2.3% higher. The index opened on the front foot following gains on Wall Street and ground higher through the day on an absence of selling in a market that “feels” underweight, especially in some of the influential pockets.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Lan Fo’an might not have done enough on Saturday…

Finance Minister Lan Fo’an promised more support for China’s struggling property sector and hinted at more significant government borrowing to shore up the economy, but again, it lacked the granular details investors were looking for. The briefing didn’t produce a headline dollar figure for the fresh fiscal stimulus that the markets had sought.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Should we follow RIO further into the lithium space?

The ASX200 finished up just +0.1% in a choppy session on Wednesday, with the banks offsetting further weakness by the miners – a 6.67% plunge by Chinese stocks didn't help. A 1.8% surge in New Zealand’s equities after the RBNZ cut rates by 0.5% helped local sentiment. Still, it wasn’t enough to make meaningful gains as the heavyweight iron ore miners dragged the chain due to China's lack of further stimulus measures on Tuesday. However, we wouldn't fight Beijing, who announced yesterday evening AEST that further announcements will follow on Saturday when markets are closed—we “wouldn’t be short for quids.
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MM is bullish bonds (yields lower) from current levels
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MM is bullish toward the ASX200
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IVV
MM is cautiously bullish towards US equities’ short-term
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MM is bullish on precious metals
ILU
MM is cautiously bullish ILU below $6
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MM is neutral towards the ESG names short-term
MTS
MM intends to hold MTS for Income
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AD8
MM remains cautiously bullish AD8
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MM remains bullish on FSLR US in the medium-term
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Latest Reports

Morning report

What Matters Today: Is it time to tweak tech exposure as volatility lifts?

The ASX200 enjoyed a solid start to the week, with the index gaining 0.74% on broad-based buying, which ultimately saw ~70% of the main board close higher. On the sector level, only tech retreated, while the materials and energy stocks led the gains, with gold and uranium names dominating the “winners enclosure.”

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: The bulls think they’re in Pamplona as the Trump trade resurfaces

The bookies suddenly have Donald Trump as a standout favourite for next month's election. With two weeks to go, he's rated ~58% chance to win - it's still a coin toss to us. However, over recent weeks, equity markets have weighed back into stocks benefitting from a Republican victory after previously swinging towards the Democrats following the Kamala Harris v Donald Trump debate.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Uranium stocks soar on Thursday; are they still a buy?

The ASX200 rallied 0.86% on Thursday, bringing the local index within striking distance of 8400 for the first time. Gains were broad-based, with ~75% of the main board closing higher, but the banks contributed the most points, with the “Big Four” closing up an average of 1.8% following a strong overnight result by Morgan Stanley (MS US) and stronger than expected employment data locally. We hate to be boring, but “the ASX doesn’t go down without the banks.”

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: China has shown its hand, what stocks to own in FY25?

The ASX200 slipped 0.4% on Wednesday, rotating through the day to close at a similar level to where it opened. The banks advanced throughout the session, with the financial sector ultimately finishing up by +0.27%. Conversely, the other ten main sectors closed lower, led by tech, which fell -1.35%, following the weak overnight session by their peers on Wall Street. There were a couple of interesting moves within the resources sector, both of which are worth monitoring.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Don’t fight the bull as stocks surge to new highs

The ASX200 rallied +0.79% on Tuesday, taking the local index above 8300 for the first time. Buying was broad-based, with over 80% of the main board closing in positive territory, but it was financials, healthcare, and tech stocks that led the line, with all three sectors closing over +2.3% higher. The index opened on the front foot following gains on Wall Street and ground higher through the day on an absence of selling in a market that “feels” underweight, especially in some of the influential pockets.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Lan Fo’an might not have done enough on Saturday…

Finance Minister Lan Fo’an promised more support for China’s struggling property sector and hinted at more significant government borrowing to shore up the economy, but again, it lacked the granular details investors were looking for. The briefing didn’t produce a headline dollar figure for the fresh fiscal stimulus that the markets had sought.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Should we follow RIO further into the lithium space?

The ASX200 finished up just +0.1% in a choppy session on Wednesday, with the banks offsetting further weakness by the miners – a 6.67% plunge by Chinese stocks didn't help. A 1.8% surge in New Zealand’s equities after the RBNZ cut rates by 0.5% helped local sentiment. Still, it wasn’t enough to make meaningful gains as the heavyweight iron ore miners dragged the chain due to China's lack of further stimulus measures on Tuesday. However, we wouldn't fight Beijing, who announced yesterday evening AEST that further announcements will follow on Saturday when markets are closed—we “wouldn’t be short for quids.

what matters today Market Matters
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