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Morning report

Macro Monday: The US-China $US Trillion Dollar report “Substantial Progress”

Senior US and Chinese negotiators resumed the high-stakes talks on Sunday in an attempt to de-escalate their trade war/embargo. President Donald Trump called Saturday's discussions a “very good” meeting. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng were leading the negotiations expected to span two days in Switzerland, the first publicised, in-person talks since President Donald Trump imposed 145% levies on China and Beijing retaliated with 125% tariffs on many American goods and new export controls on rare earth minerals.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Are Real Estate stocks still a Buy?

The ASX200 embraced the rumours that Trump's much-awaited “good news” was a trade deal with the UK, which, on top of the previous day’s announcement that the US and China would sit down and talk this week in Switzerland, was enough to lift the local index up +0.16% after a soft opening.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The ASX200 takes a rest as Fund Managers camp out at Macquarie

The ASX200 slipped 0.1% on Tuesday, posting its second consecutive negative session, although it's hardly made a dent in the aggressive 15% recovery from the early April panic lows. Trading was relatively subdued with fund managers focused on the Macquarie Australia Conference, which is often regarded as an early confession opportunity. Results were mixed on Tuesday, but the presentations continue to move markets as investors look for clues around what comes next, outside of the chatter around Trump and the weekend Federal Election.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Can oil stocks eventually follow the gold sector?

The ASX200 struggled on Monday following a mildly softer report from Westpac (WBC), the first influential bank to face the music this month. Their headline first-half miss on profit, a flat dividend (76c) when the market was looking for an increase and a slight net interest margin (NIM) contraction sent the 4th largest stock on the bourse down 3% on the day.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Earnings & tariff optimism continues to drive recovery

The S&P 500 has extended its post “Liberation Day” rally to the longest winning streak in two decades, with worries around tariffs being replaced by “Fear of Missing Out” (FOMO) for cashed-up investors. A strong jobs report on Friday compounded optimism that the US and China’s dialogue around tariffs would prove fruitful.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Meta (Facebook) reignites the AI trade

Different month, same ASX200, the local market opened down before slowly climbing higher throughout the day to ultimately end the session up +0.2%, near the intraday high. The tech sector led the gains, surging over 4% following strong results overnight from Meta Platforms (META US) and Microsoft (MSFT US) – more on the AI & Data Centre stocks later. It was the sixth consecutive daily gain for the ASX200, although it was the weakest session since the advance began, and some consolidation is feeling close at hand.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Uranium shorts are enormous, a dramatic “squeeze” could be in the offing

The ASX 200 popped higher in the last hour of April trade, taking the local index up 3.6% for the month. This has been a dramatic and impressive turnaround considering the carnage following “Liberation Day.” Similarly, global stocks were sitting up +0.5% ahead of overnight trade with the US reporting season set to take the markets' focus, at least for a week or two.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The ASX200 makes 9-week highs, and people are still bearish

The ASX200 rallied strongly throughout Tuesday, hardly taking a backwards step all day to close up +0.9% on broad-based buying that saw almost 90% of the main board close higher. Local stocks are benefiting from some overseas money finding its way into the ASX, which has outperformed the US in 2025, although a few months doesn’t make a year.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Three ASX stocks very exposed to a global slowdown

The ASX200 struggled to hold onto early gains on Monday, not helped by weakness across US Futures and local heavyweights CBA and BHP. The market ultimately finished up 28-points after surrendering ~65% of the early gains, but over 70% of the main board closed higher, led by strong moves across the energy and tech sectors.
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MM is cautiously bullish on the ASX200 through 2025
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IEU
MM remains bullish on German and European stocks
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MM remains cautiously bullish about Australian 3-Year Bonds (yields lower)
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OOO
MM is neutral Brent Crude ~$US62
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MM is bullish towards Copper (Cu) medium-term
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MM is bullish towards gold in the medium term
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USD
MM remains bearish towards the $US medium/long term
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MM is neutral towards the Pound in the short-term
Trade Idea: Buy BetaShares Uranium ETF (URNM) at $7.50, with a stop loss at $6.80 – a 9% risk.
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MM is bullish on Bitcoin, looking for new highs through 2025
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NDQ
MM is bullish on tech stocks through 2025
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Latest Reports

Morning report

What Matters Today: Are Real Estate stocks still a Buy?

The ASX200 embraced the rumours that Trump's much-awaited “good news” was a trade deal with the UK, which, on top of the previous day’s announcement that the US and China would sit down and talk this week in Switzerland, was enough to lift the local index up +0.16% after a soft opening.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The ASX200 takes a rest as Fund Managers camp out at Macquarie

The ASX200 slipped 0.1% on Tuesday, posting its second consecutive negative session, although it's hardly made a dent in the aggressive 15% recovery from the early April panic lows. Trading was relatively subdued with fund managers focused on the Macquarie Australia Conference, which is often regarded as an early confession opportunity. Results were mixed on Tuesday, but the presentations continue to move markets as investors look for clues around what comes next, outside of the chatter around Trump and the weekend Federal Election.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Can oil stocks eventually follow the gold sector?

The ASX200 struggled on Monday following a mildly softer report from Westpac (WBC), the first influential bank to face the music this month. Their headline first-half miss on profit, a flat dividend (76c) when the market was looking for an increase and a slight net interest margin (NIM) contraction sent the 4th largest stock on the bourse down 3% on the day.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Earnings & tariff optimism continues to drive recovery

The S&P 500 has extended its post “Liberation Day” rally to the longest winning streak in two decades, with worries around tariffs being replaced by “Fear of Missing Out” (FOMO) for cashed-up investors. A strong jobs report on Friday compounded optimism that the US and China’s dialogue around tariffs would prove fruitful.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Meta (Facebook) reignites the AI trade

Different month, same ASX200, the local market opened down before slowly climbing higher throughout the day to ultimately end the session up +0.2%, near the intraday high. The tech sector led the gains, surging over 4% following strong results overnight from Meta Platforms (META US) and Microsoft (MSFT US) – more on the AI & Data Centre stocks later. It was the sixth consecutive daily gain for the ASX200, although it was the weakest session since the advance began, and some consolidation is feeling close at hand.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Uranium shorts are enormous, a dramatic “squeeze” could be in the offing

The ASX 200 popped higher in the last hour of April trade, taking the local index up 3.6% for the month. This has been a dramatic and impressive turnaround considering the carnage following “Liberation Day.” Similarly, global stocks were sitting up +0.5% ahead of overnight trade with the US reporting season set to take the markets' focus, at least for a week or two.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The ASX200 makes 9-week highs, and people are still bearish

The ASX200 rallied strongly throughout Tuesday, hardly taking a backwards step all day to close up +0.9% on broad-based buying that saw almost 90% of the main board close higher. Local stocks are benefiting from some overseas money finding its way into the ASX, which has outperformed the US in 2025, although a few months doesn’t make a year.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Three ASX stocks very exposed to a global slowdown

The ASX200 struggled to hold onto early gains on Monday, not helped by weakness across US Futures and local heavyweights CBA and BHP. The market ultimately finished up 28-points after surrendering ~65% of the early gains, but over 70% of the main board closed higher, led by strong moves across the energy and tech sectors.

what matters today Market Matters
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