The ASX200 closed up +0.66% on Tuesday, but it was intra-day action that told the real story of Donald Trump's first day of his second term as President of the US. Local stocks surged over 100 points into a late-morning high - “risk-on” played out across the bourse as the index surged toward striking distance of its all-time high.
The ASX200 rallied +0.45% on Monday, extending January's gain to +2.3%. Real estate and energy stocks have boosted the index, with both sectors already up over +5% in 2025. In the morning, iron ore goliaths, BHP and RIO contributed over 10 points to the market's gain, or more than 25%, as the miners slowly gather momentum, although most remain well below where they commenced 2024.
Donald Trump will become President of the United States tomorrow morning (our time), and as we know, since his victory in November, equities have embraced his return to the Whitehouse. This has pushed valuations higher as momentum moves dominated 2024 with many major stocks trading well above their average P/E’s of recent years, with the banks receiving significant coverage in the press.
Usual Market Matters reports will recommence on Monday the 20th January, however, a big move on Friday night in the U.S and a SPI Futures pricing a decline of 71 points / 0.86% this morning suggest an update is warranted. Markets begin 2025 with great expectations as anticipation of US tax cuts and pro-business deregulation, a continued economic soft landing, ongoing rate cuts in the US and the start of a cutting cycle in Australia.
A positive (shortened) session overnight on Wall Street with the Dow Jones up +390pts/0.91% while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq advanced 1.1% and 1.4% respectively in quiet US trade. All 11 sectors were higher led by Consumer Discretionary and large cap technology, Tesla (TSLA US) the standout up 7.36%
The ASX200 surged +1.7% on Monday on broad-based buying and a classic Christmas absence of selling; it’s a shame we’d previously corrected over 5% from the all-time high earlier in the month, taking the index down to a fresh 3-month low on Friday. Monday saw over 90% of the main board close higher, but the financials and mining stocks led the advance, delivering the local markets' best day since the end of July.
The ASX200 was thumped 2.76% last week after the Fed side-swiped credit markets on Wednesday when, after cutting rates 0.25%, they delivered a less dovish outlook for interest rates than was expected;
• The Fed revised its outlook for rate cuts in 2025, indicating that there will be two reductions, down from the four forecasted in September – a reasonable change in just three months.
• Credit markets have already become sceptical towards the two cuts and are now pricing in a 50-50 chance that the 2nd won't be forthcoming before next Christmas.
• Markets have been concerned that Trump's policies will lift inflation. The Fed appears to be getting ahead of the curve, just in case.
The ASX200 was thumped 141 points, or 1.7% on Thursday courtesy of Jerome Powell's change of tune, which saw the forecasted path of US interest rates shift.
The ASX200 ended down -0.1 % on Wednesday; the market looked excellent around midday, but the bears took over in the afternoon, with the Treasurer’s mid-year economic update potentially weighing on the confidence of the local market.
Yesterday, an index of Asian currencies retreated to a two-year low. Pessimism towards China's economic outlook, coupled with the belief that Trump would support the Greenback, has sent the Bloomberg Asia Dollar Index (ADXY) down more than 4% since late September.
The ASX200 rallied +0.45% on Monday, extending January's gain to +2.3%. Real estate and energy stocks have boosted the index, with both sectors already up over +5% in 2025. In the morning, iron ore goliaths, BHP and RIO contributed over 10 points to the market's gain, or more than 25%, as the miners slowly gather momentum, although most remain well below where they commenced 2024.
Donald Trump will become President of the United States tomorrow morning (our time), and as we know, since his victory in November, equities have embraced his return to the Whitehouse. This has pushed valuations higher as momentum moves dominated 2024 with many major stocks trading well above their average P/E’s of recent years, with the banks receiving significant coverage in the press.
Usual Market Matters reports will recommence on Monday the 20th January, however, a big move on Friday night in the U.S and a SPI Futures pricing a decline of 71 points / 0.86% this morning suggest an update is warranted. Markets begin 2025 with great expectations as anticipation of US tax cuts and pro-business deregulation, a continued economic soft landing, ongoing rate cuts in the US and the start of a cutting cycle in Australia.
A positive (shortened) session overnight on Wall Street with the Dow Jones up +390pts/0.91% while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq advanced 1.1% and 1.4% respectively in quiet US trade. All 11 sectors were higher led by Consumer Discretionary and large cap technology, Tesla (TSLA US) the standout up 7.36%
The ASX200 surged +1.7% on Monday on broad-based buying and a classic Christmas absence of selling; it’s a shame we’d previously corrected over 5% from the all-time high earlier in the month, taking the index down to a fresh 3-month low on Friday. Monday saw over 90% of the main board close higher, but the financials and mining stocks led the advance, delivering the local markets' best day since the end of July.
The ASX200 was thumped 2.76% last week after the Fed side-swiped credit markets on Wednesday when, after cutting rates 0.25%, they delivered a less dovish outlook for interest rates than was expected;
• The Fed revised its outlook for rate cuts in 2025, indicating that there will be two reductions, down from the four forecasted in September – a reasonable change in just three months.
• Credit markets have already become sceptical towards the two cuts and are now pricing in a 50-50 chance that the 2nd won't be forthcoming before next Christmas.
• Markets have been concerned that Trump's policies will lift inflation. The Fed appears to be getting ahead of the curve, just in case.
The ASX200 was thumped 141 points, or 1.7% on Thursday courtesy of Jerome Powell's change of tune, which saw the forecasted path of US interest rates shift.
The ASX200 ended down -0.1 % on Wednesday; the market looked excellent around midday, but the bears took over in the afternoon, with the Treasurer’s mid-year economic update potentially weighing on the confidence of the local market.
Yesterday, an index of Asian currencies retreated to a two-year low. Pessimism towards China's economic outlook, coupled with the belief that Trump would support the Greenback, has sent the Bloomberg Asia Dollar Index (ADXY) down more than 4% since late September.
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