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Morning report

What Matters Today : Monitoring the resources boom

Yesterday saw the ASX200 surge to within touching distance of both its all-time high and the psychological 7200 area but this was not a typical 90-point rally because almost 30% of stocks closed down on the day.
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Morning report

Macro Monday : Keep watching bond yields & the $US

So far in May the ASX200 has maintained both Aprils underlying strength and its polarization of gains with the banks and resources powering ahead while growth stocks and in particular the IT Sector remaining under the proverbial pump.
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Morning report

What Matters Today : 3 local stocks we believe can fall 10-15%

The ASX200 marched ever higher on Wednesday closing less than 1.5% below its all-time high, the heavy lifting was performed by the big 3 of the local index - Commonwealth Bank (CBA), CSL Ltd (CSL) and BHP Group (BHP). Again, gains weren’t broad based with under 50% of the market closing positive but its hard to argue with “higher highs” even if the advance is relatively subdued from a momentum perspective.
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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The RBA maintains its stock market support

The ASX200 continues to oscillate between 7000 and 7100 as ongoing stock & sector rotation maintains the market equilibrium – yesterday saw only 55% of the index rally but when the resources rally strongly plus CBA / CSL post gains the index is almost guaranteed to be well supported.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Can the banks keep charging ahead?

The ASX200 closed marginally higher yesterday as stock & sector rotation remained the main game in town, yesterday was all about the banks and although only 30% of the index closed positive enthusiastic bank buying was enough to keep the indexes head above water.
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Morning report

What Matters Today : Whose correct, iron ore or RIO, BHP et al?

The ASX200 closed up 0.25% yesterday as it continued to grind higher, the speed of its ascent is reminiscent of my kids getting ready for school but there’s no signs of failure at this point in time – our preferred scenario remains a classic seasonal pullback through May & June but the bulls still remain in control at this juncture with 55% of stock rallying on Thursday, led by strength in Healthcare & IT stocks both of which prefer a lower bond yield environment.
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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Market fails to embrace M&A activity

The ASX200 continues to oscillate around the psychological 7000 level ignoring both good and bad news over recent sessions. Yesterday we saw further positive M&A news from both Bingo (BIN) & Tabcorp (TAH) plus an iron ore sector continuing to recover strongly but disappointingly with over half of the ASX falling the underlying index was unable to register a gain for the day – the stock / sector rotation continues.
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No major change, MM remains cautious the ASX200 around current levels
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CWN
MM is contemplating taking profit on our CWN position into current strength
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A2M
MM is not looking to average A2M in the coming days
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MM remains bearish US tech stocks
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MM is looking for iron ore to consolidate around 1300-1400 CNY/MT area
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USD
MM is bearish the $US eventually targeting the 88 area
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MM can see another 10% correction looming on the horizon for Vale (VALE US)
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FMG
MM can see FMG at fresh all-time highs short-term
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BHP
MM is considering lightening our BHP exposure when the $US makes fresh 2021 lows
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RIO
Again MM is considering lightening our RIO exposure when the $US makes fresh 2021 lows
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Latest Reports

Morning report

Macro Monday : Keep watching bond yields & the $US

So far in May the ASX200 has maintained both Aprils underlying strength and its polarization of gains with the banks and resources powering ahead while growth stocks and in particular the IT Sector remaining under the proverbial pump.

Morning report

What Matters Today : 3 local stocks we believe can fall 10-15%

The ASX200 marched ever higher on Wednesday closing less than 1.5% below its all-time high, the heavy lifting was performed by the big 3 of the local index - Commonwealth Bank (CBA), CSL Ltd (CSL) and BHP Group (BHP). Again, gains weren’t broad based with under 50% of the market closing positive but its hard to argue with “higher highs” even if the advance is relatively subdued from a momentum perspective.

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The RBA maintains its stock market support

The ASX200 continues to oscillate between 7000 and 7100 as ongoing stock & sector rotation maintains the market equilibrium – yesterday saw only 55% of the index rally but when the resources rally strongly plus CBA / CSL post gains the index is almost guaranteed to be well supported.

Morning report

What Matters Today: Can the banks keep charging ahead?

The ASX200 closed marginally higher yesterday as stock & sector rotation remained the main game in town, yesterday was all about the banks and although only 30% of the index closed positive enthusiastic bank buying was enough to keep the indexes head above water.

Morning report

What Matters Today : Whose correct, iron ore or RIO, BHP et al?

The ASX200 closed up 0.25% yesterday as it continued to grind higher, the speed of its ascent is reminiscent of my kids getting ready for school but there’s no signs of failure at this point in time – our preferred scenario remains a classic seasonal pullback through May & June but the bulls still remain in control at this juncture with 55% of stock rallying on Thursday, led by strength in Healthcare & IT stocks both of which prefer a lower bond yield environment.

Morning report

What Matters Today: Real Estate loves low interest rates

The ASX200 rallied solidly on Wednesday embracing what was surprisingly benign inflation data which suggests the RBA will be able to hold off longer than expected before it pulls the trigger on rate hikes.

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Market fails to embrace M&A activity

The ASX200 continues to oscillate around the psychological 7000 level ignoring both good and bad news over recent sessions. Yesterday we saw further positive M&A news from both Bingo (BIN) & Tabcorp (TAH) plus an iron ore sector continuing to recover strongly but disappointingly with over half of the ASX falling the underlying index was unable to register a gain for the day – the stock / sector rotation continues.

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