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Morning report

What Matters Today: What’s the next step in the “Sector Tango”?

The ASX200 closed up 0.5% on Thursday although it struggled after 3pm giving back almost half of its gains as fairly heavy selling rolled through the SPI futures. Investors still enjoyed over 70% of the main index close up on the day but some weakness in the banks was enough to drag the market back towards 7300, historically the banks are strong from now through until November with ANZ, NAB and Westpac all trading ex-dividend in the first half of next month but after such a stellar advance over the last year it may be too much to ask for standout ongoing strength...
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Checking out a few new members of the ASX200

The ASX200 closed yesterday at the same level it reached in early June i.e. more than 3-months later the market remains unchanged albeit after a failed foray above 7600 in August. We’ve witnessed plenty of sector rotation in the last quarter even if the underlying index has failed to make any discernible headway, the choppy swings between various stocks and sectors has been consistent in its inconsistency but over the months there have been a couple of standouts:
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: MM’s still patiently bullish

The ASX200 had a fairly quiet Tuesday finally closing down 0.26% in a lackluster session which saw no stocks rally, or fall by more than 5%. The Tech Sector continued to struggle even on a day when the Energy names took a well-deserved breather. Over the day US S&P500 futures appeared to direct traffic on the local market i.e. when they rallied early in the morning the ASX200 advanced around 30-points only to reverse the early gains as the US futures followed Asian indices lower after Sinic Holdings (2103 HK) became the latest Chinese real estate firm...
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: How to “play” the current panic in commodities

On Monday the ASX200 again recovered strongly from early losses to end the session down less than 0.3%, when we take into account weak US S&P500 futures throughout much of our day and Star Entertainment (SGR) plunging almost 23% on more regulatory scrutiny for the sector, we felt it was another solid performance by the local market. It may sound myopic on our part considering we’re still bullish risk assets at current levels but stocks are still absorbing bad news and to us it has the overall feel that too many players are now short, or underweight equities.
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Should we worry more about the increasing number of clouds hovering over equities?

The ASX200 along with most global equity indices have had the proverbial kitchen sink thrown at them over recent weeks, if I was a “Bear” I would be extremely disappointed with the impact on equities to-date e.g. the ASX200 is only 4% below its all-time high while the US S&P500 has fared even better closing on Friday just 3.4% below its equivalent milestone. The following list of current market headwinds would have at sent all but the most resilient stock markets into official correction territory - a market correction is generally acknowledged to be 10%, or more. This morning’s snapshot list is...
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Where will MM turn when we become nervous the market?

The ASX200 rebounded nicely on Thursday as many stocks & sectors continue to rotate on an almost daily basis, on this occasion Tech was the standout winner while the Energy sector took a well-earned breather, almost the exact opposite to the respective moves on Wednesday. It doesn’t feel like “fresh money” is entering or leaving the market which overall makes sense as the index hasn’t moved since mid-June, investors appear to be simply looking for better places to lodge their funds within the market on an...
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Is it time to be brave & go “bargain hunting”?

The ASX200 disappointingly reversed lower yesterday after a promising early start following a strong night on Wall Street, however 3 major headwinds engulfed our market throughout the day, MM’s view is the plunge by US futures was key to the decline by local stocks but there wasn’t much good news crossing the news wires for investors:
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: MM feels the market’s found, or at least looking for a low

The ASX200 climbed impressively from its lunchtime low yesterday to end the session down just 0.3%, not a bad effort considering the weak leads from the US and Europe. Over 70% of the market closed in the red but the losses were concentrated in the less influential tech stocks enabling the major index to remain resilient as the “buy the dip” mentality remerged – one day doesn’t make a summer but MM believes the markets looking good for an October rally.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday (on Tuesday): The banks are making the ASX200 look good

The ASX200 kicked off the week with a bang even though many of us enjoyed a long weekend – a sunny one in Sydney. It’s not often you see CBA rally over 5% in one day but a heavily oversubscribed $6bn buyback, which represents 3.8% of the banks issued capital, was enough to the send the stock within a few percent of its all time high, there were a couple of simple but important points for investors to consider & enjoy:
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what matters today Market Matters
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MM remains bullish the ASX targeting fresh highs in the weeks / months ahead
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OZL
MM remains long and bullish OZL
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SLR
MM is bullish SLR targeting a test of $2
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SUN
MM is keen on SUN under $12, or 5% lower
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MM remains bullish US equities into 2022
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USD
MM remains net bearish the $US
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WTC
MM is bullish WTC targeting the $60 area
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XRO
MM is bullish XRO initially targeting $160
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CBA
MM likes CBA into weakness around $95
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Latest Reports

Morning report

What Matters Today: Checking out a few new members of the ASX200

The ASX200 closed yesterday at the same level it reached in early June i.e. more than 3-months later the market remains unchanged albeit after a failed foray above 7600 in August. We’ve witnessed plenty of sector rotation in the last quarter even if the underlying index has failed to make any discernible headway, the choppy swings between various stocks and sectors has been consistent in its inconsistency but over the months there have been a couple of standouts:

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: MM’s still patiently bullish

The ASX200 had a fairly quiet Tuesday finally closing down 0.26% in a lackluster session which saw no stocks rally, or fall by more than 5%. The Tech Sector continued to struggle even on a day when the Energy names took a well-deserved breather. Over the day US S&P500 futures appeared to direct traffic on the local market i.e. when they rallied early in the morning the ASX200 advanced around 30-points only to reverse the early gains as the US futures followed Asian indices lower after Sinic Holdings (2103 HK) became the latest Chinese real estate firm...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: How to “play” the current panic in commodities

On Monday the ASX200 again recovered strongly from early losses to end the session down less than 0.3%, when we take into account weak US S&P500 futures throughout much of our day and Star Entertainment (SGR) plunging almost 23% on more regulatory scrutiny for the sector, we felt it was another solid performance by the local market. It may sound myopic on our part considering we’re still bullish risk assets at current levels but stocks are still absorbing bad news and to us it has the overall feel that too many players are now short, or underweight equities.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Should we worry more about the increasing number of clouds hovering over equities?

The ASX200 along with most global equity indices have had the proverbial kitchen sink thrown at them over recent weeks, if I was a “Bear” I would be extremely disappointed with the impact on equities to-date e.g. the ASX200 is only 4% below its all-time high while the US S&P500 has fared even better closing on Friday just 3.4% below its equivalent milestone. The following list of current market headwinds would have at sent all but the most resilient stock markets into official correction territory - a market correction is generally acknowledged to be 10%, or more. This morning’s snapshot list is...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Where will MM turn when we become nervous the market?

The ASX200 rebounded nicely on Thursday as many stocks & sectors continue to rotate on an almost daily basis, on this occasion Tech was the standout winner while the Energy sector took a well-earned breather, almost the exact opposite to the respective moves on Wednesday. It doesn’t feel like “fresh money” is entering or leaving the market which overall makes sense as the index hasn’t moved since mid-June, investors appear to be simply looking for better places to lodge their funds within the market on an...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Is it time to be brave & go “bargain hunting”?

The ASX200 disappointingly reversed lower yesterday after a promising early start following a strong night on Wall Street, however 3 major headwinds engulfed our market throughout the day, MM’s view is the plunge by US futures was key to the decline by local stocks but there wasn’t much good news crossing the news wires for investors:

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: MM feels the market’s found, or at least looking for a low

The ASX200 climbed impressively from its lunchtime low yesterday to end the session down just 0.3%, not a bad effort considering the weak leads from the US and Europe. Over 70% of the market closed in the red but the losses were concentrated in the less influential tech stocks enabling the major index to remain resilient as the “buy the dip” mentality remerged – one day doesn’t make a summer but MM believes the markets looking good for an October rally.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday (on Tuesday): The banks are making the ASX200 look good

The ASX200 kicked off the week with a bang even though many of us enjoyed a long weekend – a sunny one in Sydney. It’s not often you see CBA rally over 5% in one day but a heavily oversubscribed $6bn buyback, which represents 3.8% of the banks issued capital, was enough to the send the stock within a few percent of its all time high, there were a couple of simple but important points for investors to consider & enjoy:

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: ASX to rise as most of the country enjoys a public holiday

The ASX is set to rise ~50 points this morning recouping about a 1/3rd  of Fridays aggressive 2% decline. Much of the country is enjoying a public Holiday Monday today although the ASX remains open. Market Matters is off today however we'll be back tomorrow with our usual Macro Monday Report (on Tuesday). 

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