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Morning report

Macro Monday: Should we worry more about the increasing number of clouds hovering over equities?

The ASX200 along with most global equity indices have had the proverbial kitchen sink thrown at them over recent weeks, if I was a “Bear” I would be extremely disappointed with the impact on equities to-date e.g. the ASX200 is only 4% below its all-time high while the US S&P500 has fared even better closing on Friday just 3.4% below its equivalent milestone. The following list of current market headwinds would have at sent all but the most resilient stock markets into official correction territory - a market correction is generally acknowledged to be 10%, or more. This morning’s snapshot list is...
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Where will MM turn when we become nervous the market?

The ASX200 rebounded nicely on Thursday as many stocks & sectors continue to rotate on an almost daily basis, on this occasion Tech was the standout winner while the Energy sector took a well-earned breather, almost the exact opposite to the respective moves on Wednesday. It doesn’t feel like “fresh money” is entering or leaving the market which overall makes sense as the index hasn’t moved since mid-June, investors appear to be simply looking for better places to lodge their funds within the market on an...
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Is it time to be brave & go “bargain hunting”?

The ASX200 disappointingly reversed lower yesterday after a promising early start following a strong night on Wall Street, however 3 major headwinds engulfed our market throughout the day, MM’s view is the plunge by US futures was key to the decline by local stocks but there wasn’t much good news crossing the news wires for investors:
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: MM feels the market’s found, or at least looking for a low

The ASX200 climbed impressively from its lunchtime low yesterday to end the session down just 0.3%, not a bad effort considering the weak leads from the US and Europe. Over 70% of the market closed in the red but the losses were concentrated in the less influential tech stocks enabling the major index to remain resilient as the “buy the dip” mentality remerged – one day doesn’t make a summer but MM believes the markets looking good for an October rally.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday (on Tuesday): The banks are making the ASX200 look good

The ASX200 kicked off the week with a bang even though many of us enjoyed a long weekend – a sunny one in Sydney. It’s not often you see CBA rally over 5% in one day but a heavily oversubscribed $6bn buyback, which represents 3.8% of the banks issued capital, was enough to the send the stock within a few percent of its all time high, there were a couple of simple but important points for investors to consider & enjoy:
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Can the banks drag the ASX to fresh highs?

The ASX200 finally found its mojo on the last day of September rallying 1.88% on broad based buying which ultimately saw 86% of stocks close in positive territory, the “Big 4” banks caught my attention gaining an average of 2.4% - perhaps we have a clue as to what sector could drag the index to fresh highs, as we said yesterday moving forward the heavy liftings likely to be relatively concentrated. COVID has already become old news as far as financial markets are concerned, Thursday saw awful...
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: 3 ASX stocks who should benefit from rising food prices

As we approach Q4 the question being asked by many is can the AX200 again rise from the ashes, yesterday it was battered for the 2nd successive day as September looks set to live up to its bearish reputation, the index is sitting down 4.5% with just today’s session remaining. Stocks have been caught with a classic “1-2 combination” as the deteriorating macro picture threatens to derail the liquidity driven bull market:
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Now bond yields are unnerving equities

MM talked about the ASX200 rotating around the 7400 area in Tuesdays “What Matters Today” Report only for it close under 7300 just 7-hours later as broad based selling rolled through the index – in hindsight the local index again called the overnight drop in US stocks perfectly . The losses were focused in the interest rate sensitive growth stocks such as Healthcare -3.6% and Tech -2.9%, importantly if MM is correct and bond yields are going to maintain their upward momentum into 2022 the rotation out of growth into value names should be ongoing – our portfolios which...
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Gladys puts her pedal to the metal!

The ASX200 enjoyed a solid start to the week although it did experience some pretty aggressive selling into the close which aligns with our view that the strong post COVID rally is maturing i.e. some sellers are appearing into strength. While the banks led the charge on Monday they were very well supported by the “re-opening trade” as Gladys looks to put COVID well and truly into the rear view mirror – as she said “living with COVID won’t be easy but its manageable”. At this stage we continue to believe the...
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MM remains bullish equities while they continue to ignore bad news
MM remains bullish Australian equities looking for the 7700-7800 area by the ASX200 into Christmas
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MM’s remains bullish US equities into Christmas, & 2022
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IEU
MM remains bullish European equities
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MM remains bullish bond yields from current levels into 2022
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USD
MM’s remains bearish the $US into 2022
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MM is bullish the Euro into 2022
MM remains bullish crude oil
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MM is looking for iron ore to rotate between $US100-140/MT short-term
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MM is now bullish Bitcoin
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MM’s remains bullish the Energy Sector
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Latest Reports

Morning report

What Matters Today: Where will MM turn when we become nervous the market?

The ASX200 rebounded nicely on Thursday as many stocks & sectors continue to rotate on an almost daily basis, on this occasion Tech was the standout winner while the Energy sector took a well-earned breather, almost the exact opposite to the respective moves on Wednesday. It doesn’t feel like “fresh money” is entering or leaving the market which overall makes sense as the index hasn’t moved since mid-June, investors appear to be simply looking for better places to lodge their funds within the market on an...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Is it time to be brave & go “bargain hunting”?

The ASX200 disappointingly reversed lower yesterday after a promising early start following a strong night on Wall Street, however 3 major headwinds engulfed our market throughout the day, MM’s view is the plunge by US futures was key to the decline by local stocks but there wasn’t much good news crossing the news wires for investors:

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: MM feels the market’s found, or at least looking for a low

The ASX200 climbed impressively from its lunchtime low yesterday to end the session down just 0.3%, not a bad effort considering the weak leads from the US and Europe. Over 70% of the market closed in the red but the losses were concentrated in the less influential tech stocks enabling the major index to remain resilient as the “buy the dip” mentality remerged – one day doesn’t make a summer but MM believes the markets looking good for an October rally.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday (on Tuesday): The banks are making the ASX200 look good

The ASX200 kicked off the week with a bang even though many of us enjoyed a long weekend – a sunny one in Sydney. It’s not often you see CBA rally over 5% in one day but a heavily oversubscribed $6bn buyback, which represents 3.8% of the banks issued capital, was enough to the send the stock within a few percent of its all time high, there were a couple of simple but important points for investors to consider & enjoy:

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: ASX to rise as most of the country enjoys a public holiday

The ASX is set to rise ~50 points this morning recouping about a 1/3rd  of Fridays aggressive 2% decline. Much of the country is enjoying a public Holiday Monday today although the ASX remains open. Market Matters is off today however we'll be back tomorrow with our usual Macro Monday Report (on Tuesday). 

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Can the banks drag the ASX to fresh highs?

The ASX200 finally found its mojo on the last day of September rallying 1.88% on broad based buying which ultimately saw 86% of stocks close in positive territory, the “Big 4” banks caught my attention gaining an average of 2.4% - perhaps we have a clue as to what sector could drag the index to fresh highs, as we said yesterday moving forward the heavy liftings likely to be relatively concentrated. COVID has already become old news as far as financial markets are concerned, Thursday saw awful...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: 3 ASX stocks who should benefit from rising food prices

As we approach Q4 the question being asked by many is can the AX200 again rise from the ashes, yesterday it was battered for the 2nd successive day as September looks set to live up to its bearish reputation, the index is sitting down 4.5% with just today’s session remaining. Stocks have been caught with a classic “1-2 combination” as the deteriorating macro picture threatens to derail the liquidity driven bull market:

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Now bond yields are unnerving equities

MM talked about the ASX200 rotating around the 7400 area in Tuesdays “What Matters Today” Report only for it close under 7300 just 7-hours later as broad based selling rolled through the index – in hindsight the local index again called the overnight drop in US stocks perfectly . The losses were focused in the interest rate sensitive growth stocks such as Healthcare -3.6% and Tech -2.9%, importantly if MM is correct and bond yields are going to maintain their upward momentum into 2022 the rotation out of growth into value names should be ongoing – our portfolios which...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Gladys puts her pedal to the metal!

The ASX200 enjoyed a solid start to the week although it did experience some pretty aggressive selling into the close which aligns with our view that the strong post COVID rally is maturing i.e. some sellers are appearing into strength. While the banks led the charge on Monday they were very well supported by the “re-opening trade” as Gladys looks to put COVID well and truly into the rear view mirror – as she said “living with COVID won’t be easy but its manageable”. At this stage we continue to believe the...

what matters today Market Matters
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