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Morning report

Macro Monday: Chinese startup DeepSeek shakes up US Big Tech AI dominance

DeepSeek, a Chinese AI startup, has launched breakthrough AI models that offer comparable performance to the world's best chatbots at a fraction of the cost. The Hangzhou-based company, which was only launched in 2023, created a free, open-source large-language model in late December, claiming it was developed in just two months at the cost of under $6 million.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Weekend Q&A: Trump’s inauguration helps push equities higher

The ASX200 ended the penultimate week of January up +1.2%; the market took its lead from US indices, with the tech and financial sectors both advancing over 3% while the energy and materials stocks surrendered some of their earlier monthly gains. Overall excitement toward Trump’s pro-business policies largely pushed risk assets higher this week as investors focused on his inauguration.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Can Trump drive down oil prices and related stocks?

The ASX200 fell 0.6% on Thursday as the influence of miners rather than tech weighed on the local bourse. The local market slipped for the first time since Donald Trump's inauguration amid fears of what the US president's promised tariffs might do for trade with China. Investors remain scared of Trump's tariffs towards China, and despite a mention of a 10% cent tariff (only), it was enough to see buyers retreat on mass.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Trump’s President, let the games begin!

The ASX200 closed up +0.66% on Tuesday, but it was intra-day action that told the real story of Donald Trump's first day of his second term as President of the US. Local stocks surged over 100 points into a late-morning high - “risk-on” played out across the bourse as the index surged toward striking distance of its all-time high.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: US Banks love deregulation, how to play Trump’s Inauguration

The ASX200 rallied +0.45% on Monday, extending January's gain to +2.3%. Real estate and energy stocks have boosted the index, with both sectors already up over +5% in 2025. In the morning, iron ore goliaths, BHP and RIO contributed over 10 points to the market's gain, or more than 25%, as the miners slowly gather momentum, although most remain well below where they commenced 2024.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Is an expensive market destined to fall?

Donald Trump will become President of the United States tomorrow morning (our time), and as we know, since his victory in November, equities have embraced his return to the Whitehouse. This has pushed valuations higher as momentum moves dominated 2024 with many major stocks trading well above their average P/E’s of recent years, with the banks receiving significant coverage in the press.
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: ASX set to slide as bond yields march higher

Usual Market Matters reports will recommence on Monday the 20th January, however, a big move on Friday night in the U.S and a SPI Futures pricing a decline of 71 points / 0.86% this morning suggest an update is warranted. Markets begin 2025 with great expectations as anticipation of US tax cuts and pro-business deregulation, a continued economic soft landing, ongoing rate cuts in the US and the start of a cutting cycle in Australia.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Overnight, ASX Trading Hours & Market Matters Break

A positive (shortened) session overnight on Wall Street with the Dow Jones up +390pts/0.91% while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq advanced 1.1% and 1.4% respectively in quiet US trade. All 11 sectors were higher led by Consumer Discretionary and large cap technology, Tesla (TSLA US) the standout up 7.36%
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: A Christmas Eve snapshot on 4 hot topics for 2025!

The ASX200 surged +1.7% on Monday on broad-based buying and a classic Christmas absence of selling; it’s a shame we’d previously corrected over 5% from the all-time high earlier in the month, taking the index down to a fresh 3-month low on Friday. Monday saw over 90% of the main board close higher, but the financials and mining stocks led the advance, delivering the local markets' best day since the end of July.
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MM is neutral at best towards the US FANG+ Index
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MM is cautiously bullish toward the ASX200
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IVV
MM is now neutral towards US stock’s short-term
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MM is now neutral toward the UK FTSE
Add To Hit List
MM is cautiously bullish about Australian bonds, i.e. yields lower
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MM is cautiously bullish on US Bonds (yields lower)
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MM remains bullish on Uranium despite large falls overnight
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OOO
MM is neutral towards oil
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MM is cautiously bullish toward copper medium-term
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USD
MM is now neutral towards the $US short-term
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MM is now neutral to bearish towards the AUDUSD
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GMG
Buy GMG at $32 with stops initially below $30.
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MM is neutral towards NVDA short-term
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Latest Reports

Morning report

Weekend Q&A: Trump’s inauguration helps push equities higher

The ASX200 ended the penultimate week of January up +1.2%; the market took its lead from US indices, with the tech and financial sectors both advancing over 3% while the energy and materials stocks surrendered some of their earlier monthly gains. Overall excitement toward Trump’s pro-business policies largely pushed risk assets higher this week as investors focused on his inauguration.

Morning report

What Matters Today: Can Trump drive down oil prices and related stocks?

The ASX200 fell 0.6% on Thursday as the influence of miners rather than tech weighed on the local bourse. The local market slipped for the first time since Donald Trump's inauguration amid fears of what the US president's promised tariffs might do for trade with China. Investors remain scared of Trump's tariffs towards China, and despite a mention of a 10% cent tariff (only), it was enough to see buyers retreat on mass.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Trump’s President, let the games begin!

The ASX200 closed up +0.66% on Tuesday, but it was intra-day action that told the real story of Donald Trump's first day of his second term as President of the US. Local stocks surged over 100 points into a late-morning high - “risk-on” played out across the bourse as the index surged toward striking distance of its all-time high.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: US Banks love deregulation, how to play Trump’s Inauguration

The ASX200 rallied +0.45% on Monday, extending January's gain to +2.3%. Real estate and energy stocks have boosted the index, with both sectors already up over +5% in 2025. In the morning, iron ore goliaths, BHP and RIO contributed over 10 points to the market's gain, or more than 25%, as the miners slowly gather momentum, although most remain well below where they commenced 2024.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Is an expensive market destined to fall?

Donald Trump will become President of the United States tomorrow morning (our time), and as we know, since his victory in November, equities have embraced his return to the Whitehouse. This has pushed valuations higher as momentum moves dominated 2024 with many major stocks trading well above their average P/E’s of recent years, with the banks receiving significant coverage in the press.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: ASX set to slide as bond yields march higher

Usual Market Matters reports will recommence on Monday the 20th January, however, a big move on Friday night in the U.S and a SPI Futures pricing a decline of 71 points / 0.86% this morning suggest an update is warranted. Markets begin 2025 with great expectations as anticipation of US tax cuts and pro-business deregulation, a continued economic soft landing, ongoing rate cuts in the US and the start of a cutting cycle in Australia.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Overnight, ASX Trading Hours & Market Matters Break

A positive (shortened) session overnight on Wall Street with the Dow Jones up +390pts/0.91% while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq advanced 1.1% and 1.4% respectively in quiet US trade. All 11 sectors were higher led by Consumer Discretionary and large cap technology, Tesla (TSLA US) the standout up 7.36%

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: A Christmas Eve snapshot on 4 hot topics for 2025!

The ASX200 surged +1.7% on Monday on broad-based buying and a classic Christmas absence of selling; it’s a shame we’d previously corrected over 5% from the all-time high earlier in the month, taking the index down to a fresh 3-month low on Friday. Monday saw over 90% of the main board close higher, but the financials and mining stocks led the advance, delivering the local markets' best day since the end of July.

what matters today Market Matters
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