Chart of the Week
When we compare 2 tech-based ETFs which track the NASDAQ it uncovers a major worry percolating beneath the surface of the current advance by tech stocks:
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Fund size
$475.32B
NOV 2026
Distributions
Quarterly
Since inception
27.7 yrs
MAR 1999
The investment seeks investment results that generally correspond to the price and yield performance of the NASDAQ-100 Index®. To maintain the correspondence between the composition and weights of the securities in the trust (the "securities") and the stocks in the NASDAQ-100 Index®, the adviser adjusts the securities from time to time to conform to periodic changes in the identity and/or relative weights of index securities. The composition and weighting of the securities portion of a portfolio deposit are also adjusted to conform to changes in the index.
US equity 97.18%Non-US equity 2.66%
| Asset class | Net % | Long % | Short % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Equity | 99.84 | 99.84 | — |
| Bond | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| Cash | 0.16 | 0.16 | — |
| Other | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
Cyclical 13.05%Sensitive 73.49%Defensive 13.46%
Developed markets 99.41%Emerging markets 0.59%
Size score
298
Value-growth score
219
Economic moat
Wide 67%Narrow 25%None 8%
Giant 57%Large 31%Mid 13%
| Holding | % Weight | First bought | Market value | Currency | Units held | Sector | Country | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple Inc AAPL | 8.16 | MAR 2002 | 37.90B | USD | 110.0M | Technology | United States | |
| NVIDIA Corp NVDA | 8.00 | JUN 2006 | 37.16B | USD | 181.6M | Technology | United States | |
| Microsoft Corp MSFT | 6.29 | MAR 2002 | 29.20B | USD | 56.0M | Technology | United States | |
| Micron Technology Inc MU | 4.47 | DEC 2010 | 20.79B | USD | 23.5M | Technology | United States | |
| Amazon.com Inc AMZN | 4.21 | MAR 2002 | 19.53B | USD | 81.3M | Consumer Cyclical | United States | |
| Advanced Micro Devices Inc AMD | 3.69 | DEC 2018 | 17.14B | USD | 34.0M | Technology | United States | |
| Tesla Inc TSLA | 3.41 | JUL 2013 | 15.83B | USD | 39.6M | Consumer Cyclical | United States | |
| Meta Platforms Inc Class A META | 2.97 | DEC 2012 | 13.78B | USD | 22.4M | Communication Services | United States | |
| Walmart Inc WMT | 2.69 | JAN 2026 | 12.49B | USD | 101.2M | Consumer Defensive | United States | |
| Alphabet Inc Class A GOOGL | 2.66 | JUN 2006 | 12.37B | USD | 44.2M | Communication Services | United States |
Fund (NAV) Market price
1M
-6.6
3M
0.5
6M
3.6
YTD
12.8
1Y
10.3
3Y
26.0
5Y
13.0
10Y
20.3
| Period | Fund (NAV) % | Market price % | Before fees % | Rank in category |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | -6.64 | -6.66 | -6.63 | 11 / 1,088 |
| 3 months | 0.49 | 0.47 | 0.54 | 64 / 1,075 |
| 6 months | 3.62 | 3.63 | 3.73 | 11 / 1,063 |
| Year to date | 12.80 | 12.78 | 12.99 | 8 / 1,058 |
| 1 year | 10.25 | 10.27 | 10.48 | 8 / 1,049 |
| 3 years p.a. | 26.01 | 26.02 | 26.26 | 16 / 965 |
| 5 years p.a. | 13.00 | 13.00 | 13.23 | 6 / 914 |
| 10 years p.a. | 20.26 | 20.26 | 20.50 | 4 / 744 |
Returns to 31 OCT 2026, periods of 3 years and longer annualised. Rank is the percentile in the Morningstar category at 30 SEP 2026 (1 = best) over the funds ranked.
Total Capital
2016
7.0
2017
32.7
2018
-0.1
2019
39.1
2020
48.6
2021
27.2
2022
-32.5
2023
54.8
2024
25.6
2025
20.8
| Year | Total % | Capital % | Rank in category |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20.77 | 20.22 | 16 / 1,080 |
| 2024 | 25.61 | 24.91 | 68 / 1,088 |
| 2023 | 54.76 | 53.81 | 4 / 1,200 |
| 2022 | -32.49 | -33.03 | 67 / 1,235 |
| 2021 | 27.24 | 26.70 | 20 / 1,237 |
| 2020 | 48.60 | 47.79 | 13 / 1,289 |
| 2019 | 39.12 | 38.09 | 5 / 1,360 |
| 2018 | -0.14 | -1.05 | 28 / 1,405 |
| 2017 | 32.70 | 31.59 | 19 / 1,363 |
| 2016 | 7.01 | 5.89 | 21 / 1,463 |
| 2015 | 9.54 | 8.47 | 8 / 1,681 |
| 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alpha | -4.84 | -1.16 | 1.25 | 4.03 |
| Beta | 1.57 | 1.25 | 1.20 | 1.09 |
| R-squared | 79.06 | 78.17 | 81.50 | 81.35 |
| Standard deviation | 23.19 | 17.82 | 20.90 | 19.16 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.36 | 1.14 | 0.50 | 0.93 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.72 | 2.29 | 0.79 | 1.57 |
| Tracking error | 13.02 | 8.88 | 9.46 | 8.40 |
| Information ratio | -0.14 | 0.33 | 0.22 | 0.64 |
| Upside capture % | 147.56 | 117.11 | 121.38 | 120.70 |
| Downside capture % | 230.78 | 130.32 | 122.38 | 108.37 |
| Maximum drawdown % | -7.92 | -10.09 | -32.36 | -32.36 |
Measured against Morningstar US Total Market TR USD with USTREAS T-Bill Auction Ave 3 Mon as the risk-free rate, to 31 OCT 2026. Maximum drawdown is on gross returns at the latest quarter end.
Risk score
85.3
Morningstar Portfolio Risk Score at 30 SEP 2026.
2024
2.8
2023
2.8
2022
2.5
2021
2.1
2020
1.7
2019
1.7
2018
1.6
2017
1.4
2016
1.3
2015
1.3
| Year | Per unit ($) |
|---|---|
| 2024 | 2.7949 |
| 2023 | 2.8465 |
| 2022 | 2.5358 |
| 2021 | 2.1351 |
| 2020 | 1.6968 |
| 2019 | 1.7365 |
| 2018 | 1.5816 |
| 2017 | 1.4053 |
| 2016 | 1.3014 |
| 2015 | 1.2533 |
| Ex Date | Per unit ($) |
|---|---|
| 21 SEP 2026 | 0.7514 |
| 22 JUN 2026 | 0.8135 |
| 23 MAR 2026 | 0.7328 |
| 22 DEC 2025 | 0.7941 |
| 22 SEP 2025 | 0.6940 |
| 23 JUN 2025 | 0.5911 |
| 24 MAR 2025 | 0.7157 |
| 23 DEC 2024 | 0.8347 |
| 23 SEP 2024 | 0.6769 |
| 24 JUN 2024 | 0.7615 |
| 18 MAR 2024 | 0.5735 |
| 27 DEC 2023 | 0.2158 |
Above Average
ESG risk score
17.24
8.83% of assets are in companies with high or severe controversies.
Carbon risk score
3.76
Announcements
Announcements are available for ASX-listed companies only.
When we compare 2 tech-based ETFs which track the NASDAQ it uncovers a major worry percolating beneath the surface of the current advance by tech stocks:
The ASX200 enjoyed a solid 60-point rally on Wednesday as investors weighed up what the Fed would both do & say this morning. Hopes have been rising that the Fed’s interest rate decision and accompanying minutes will address investors’ concerns of a potential meltdown across the global Banking Sector. The rescue of Credit Suisse by UBS had returned some order to financial markets but the interpretation of Jerome Powell’s statement over the next 24-48 hours is likely to dictate risk appetite over the coming weeks.
US stocks rallied overnight with the S&P500 finishing up +0.8%, even as bond yields nudged ever higher i.e. the market is gaining strength in our opinion when the S&P500 can make reasonable gains even when the US 2-year yields test 4.95%. Equities appeared to gain in confidence following comments from Atlanta Fed member Raphael Bostic that the central bank could be in a position to pause rate hikes sometime this summer.
US stocks drifted lower overnight following strength in bond yields i.e. the same playbook as the last 12 months. The catalyst last night was a gauge for manufacturing improving for the 1st time in 6-months plus we saw measurements of prices paid also rising i.e. not indicators the Fed are hoping for.
It would appear US stocks are becoming adjusted to higher bond yields, at least in the short term, with the NASDAQ outperforming overnight even as the interest rate sensitive 2-year bonds nudged up towards 4.8% - as we often say markets that can dismiss bad news are strong.
US stocks experienced another choppy session overnight recovering from their session lows as investors appeared to accept rates would be higher for longer i.e. nothing new at this stage although gains were dented by one Fed governor reiterating the central bank’s 2% inflation goal. US 2-year yield slipped back under 4.8% which saw the $US trade back below 105.
The tech-based NASDAQ has led the decline through February but considering that short-dated 2-year bond yields are trading at 16-year highs we believe the sector is gaining relative strength following its aggressive revaluation last year although of course, it regions vulnerable if yields surprise further on the upside.
US stocks experienced another choppy session overnight as traders weighed up the prospects for an economic soft-landing as the Fed becomes increasingly hawkish. Retail investors are one group who have taken a bearish view with the bull-bear spread at its most pessimistic stance since the start of 2023.
US tech stocks continue to rally even in the face of rising short-term bond yields which suggests an eventual Fed Cash Rate of ~5% is fully baked into today’s prices. MM is still overweight the sector although we are looking to take some profits into further strength.
We still think the Fed will hike rates above 5% and then refrain from cutting them until the picture is crystal clear hence investors may become disappointed further over the coming months, but in the short term, we still think most of the FANG stocks will enjoy some buying into dips.
MM is bullish on the QQQ Trust into weakness
MM is very cautious towards the current strength of the NASDAQ
MM is very cautious towards the current strength of the NASDAQ
MM is bullish tech over the short term as central banks approach their pivots
MM remains cautiously bullish on US equities through March
MM remains cautiously bullish on US equities through March
MM remains cautiously optimistic about US tech stocks through March
MM remains cautiously bullish on US equities through March
MM remains mildly bullish on the Tech Sector over the coming months
MM remains cautiously bullish on US equities through February/March
Invesco QQQ ETF (QQQ US) includes 100 of the largest US and international non financial companies listed on the Nasdaq Stock Market based on market capitalization. The Fund and the Index are re-balanced quarterly and reconstituted annually.
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