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Morning report

What Matters Today: Which “cheap” Asian tech stocks do we like?

The ASX200 enjoyed a strong “Hump Day” to close up exactly 0.5% higher registering its highest close since mid-January – it’s now only 3.5% until local stocks challenge their fresh all-time highs. Again we saw the banks perform the heavy lifting with CBA rallying to within 2.6% of its December high, even after trading ex-dividend $2.00 fully franked in February, investors will receive this tasty morsel in the 1st week of May. The IT stocks were the standout over the session rallying 3.5% while the major miners slipped slightly lower, MM believes tech stocks will maintain this outperformance over at least the coming weeks – remember it’s only a bounce for growth stocks after an awful 6-months.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The ASX is even shrugging off a hawkish Fed

The ASX200 rallied another +0.86% on Tuesday helping it scale fresh 9-week highs, it might surprise many readers to know it’s now less than 4% below its 2021 all-time high – the markets literally had the kitchen sink thrown at it for the last 7-months but only the staunchest bears could argue it hasn’t performed admirably. We only saw 54% of stocks rally yesterday but when the banks remain firm and resources soar the ASX is going higher e.g. BHP Group (BHP) rallied +5.1%, perhaps some of the $10bn landing in shareholders accounts next Monday has already started filtering itself back into the miner.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Have the battered Pharmaceutical / Biotech names become cheap?

The ASX200 surrendered early solid gains yesterday as it took direction from the US futures slow meander lower, we finally ended the day down just 0.2%. Overall when compared to the last few weeks it felt like a pretty quiet session with a +2.5% gain by the Tech Sector the main standout on the day while the banks experienced a rare day in the red, less than 3% of the main index moving by over 5% told the tale of the day. Basically after surging +5.5% over just 9 sessions the market needed a well-earned rest and it took one!
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: The bulls are back in town!

Last week saw risk assets enjoy their best 5-days since 2020 as ongoing bad news from a number of corners was dismissed as largely irrelevant by equities, especially post the Feds rate hike. The ASX200 closed up an impressive 3.3% and we believe there’s a very good chance that a test of all-time highs is in the offing – it’s now less than 5% away. The only real laggards last week were the resources and if they can just take a rest on the downside the tech / growth sector feels poised to drag the market higher, as we keep saying the path of most pain is up:
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Considering what happened to stocks during the 1970’s energy crisis

The ASX200 rallied strongly yesterday to close up +1.1% enjoying further broad-based buying which saw 75% of the index close in positive territory for the day as we closed above the last 3-weeks high. Similar to US indices the ASX enjoyed some strong buying in the IT stocks following the Feds rate hike and hawkish comments which illustrated how crowded the anti-growth stance had become at the start of the week, remember the statistics we recently quoted from the Bank of America Fund Managers Survey:
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Is “profitable tech” the smart option?

The ASX200 rallied strongly yesterday to close +1.1% on broad based buying and importantly an absence of meaningful selling – even the embattled Mining & Energy sectors reversed early loses to close marginally higher. However its was the tech names that finally performed the heavy lifting for the ASX with over 90% of the stock’s closing up on the day, assisting the sector post a healthy +3.3% gain. MM has been looking for the growth stocks to recover some of their recent declines, perhaps its will be a classic case of “sell the rumour & buy the fact” after the Feds interest rate decision this morning.
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: A weeks a very long time in 2022!

The ASX200 fell 0.7% yesterday under the weight of aggressive selling across the resources sector, almost the complete opposite to how equities kicked off last week e.g. Tuesday saw Santos (STO) -4.1%, IGO Ltd (IGO) -6.8%, BHP Group (BHP) -4.2% and OZ Minerals (OZL) -3.5%. Fortunately the banks maintained their recent strength to limit the losses as the Big Four managed to collectively rally over 1%.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Australian fund managers are super cheap, if you’re brave

The ASX200 rallied strongly yesterday to close +1.2% with exactly 80% of the market closing up on the day, the Financials were again the standout rallying +2.5% while the resources continued to look a touch tired although not down and out at this stage. Historically the banks simply love this time of year with 3 of the “Big Four” trading ex-dividend over the coming weeks however its this exact same seasonal strong rally by the sector which often bears fruit to the “sell in May & go away” trade for the ASX , to be precise just before the end of April is when the ASX usually gets the...
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Has Russia created a blow-off top in commodities?

While the awful humanitarian news continues to flow out of the Ukraine last week saw financial markets focus on the potential risks towards commodities markets and by definition global inflation if we see a prolonged conflict / economic stalemate. History tells us that higher inflation leads to rising interest rates which is a significant headwind for equities, and risk assets generally. Petrol prices have already gone crazy in Sydney, the local station has standard 95 at $2.35, I remember back in the middle of the Coronavirus panic it actually dipped under $1, that’s a clear read on inflation. We’ve all heard how commodity prices...
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: is it time to load up on the banks?

The ASX200 rallied strongly yesterday to close up 1.1% with over 80% of the market closing up on the day, if it hadn’t been for some profit taking in the energy & mining stocks it would have undoubtedly been a rare triple digit gain for the local index. Much of the strength flowed down from a pullback in oil prices following comments from the Ukraine that’s it’s open to peace talks with Russia, travel stocks were not surprisingly the standout winners e.g. Qantas (QAN) +5.8%, Webjet (WEB) +5.8% & Fight Centre (FLT) +6.6%.
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MM remains mildly bullish the ASX while it’s above 7200
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FPH
MM is neutral/bearish FPH short-term
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CSR
MM remains long and bullish CSR targeting ~$6.50
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ALU
MM is looking for 10-20% upside from ALU
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IVV
MM remains mildly bullish US equities over the coming month (s)
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MM likes TSLA as a shorter-term trade
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MM likes ASIA under $8.00
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MM likes BABA under $US120
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MM likes TSM around $US105
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MM is bullish Tencent under $US400
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MM likes JD.com around $US65
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MM is bullish NTES around $US95
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Latest Reports

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The ASX is even shrugging off a hawkish Fed

The ASX200 rallied another +0.86% on Tuesday helping it scale fresh 9-week highs, it might surprise many readers to know it’s now less than 4% below its 2021 all-time high – the markets literally had the kitchen sink thrown at it for the last 7-months but only the staunchest bears could argue it hasn’t performed admirably. We only saw 54% of stocks rally yesterday but when the banks remain firm and resources soar the ASX is going higher e.g. BHP Group (BHP) rallied +5.1%, perhaps some of the $10bn landing in shareholders accounts next Monday has already started filtering itself back into the miner.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Have the battered Pharmaceutical / Biotech names become cheap?

The ASX200 surrendered early solid gains yesterday as it took direction from the US futures slow meander lower, we finally ended the day down just 0.2%. Overall when compared to the last few weeks it felt like a pretty quiet session with a +2.5% gain by the Tech Sector the main standout on the day while the banks experienced a rare day in the red, less than 3% of the main index moving by over 5% told the tale of the day. Basically after surging +5.5% over just 9 sessions the market needed a well-earned rest and it took one!

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: The bulls are back in town!

Last week saw risk assets enjoy their best 5-days since 2020 as ongoing bad news from a number of corners was dismissed as largely irrelevant by equities, especially post the Feds rate hike. The ASX200 closed up an impressive 3.3% and we believe there’s a very good chance that a test of all-time highs is in the offing – it’s now less than 5% away. The only real laggards last week were the resources and if they can just take a rest on the downside the tech / growth sector feels poised to drag the market higher, as we keep saying the path of most pain is up:

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Considering what happened to stocks during the 1970’s energy crisis

The ASX200 rallied strongly yesterday to close up +1.1% enjoying further broad-based buying which saw 75% of the index close in positive territory for the day as we closed above the last 3-weeks high. Similar to US indices the ASX enjoyed some strong buying in the IT stocks following the Feds rate hike and hawkish comments which illustrated how crowded the anti-growth stance had become at the start of the week, remember the statistics we recently quoted from the Bank of America Fund Managers Survey:

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Is “profitable tech” the smart option?

The ASX200 rallied strongly yesterday to close +1.1% on broad based buying and importantly an absence of meaningful selling – even the embattled Mining & Energy sectors reversed early loses to close marginally higher. However its was the tech names that finally performed the heavy lifting for the ASX with over 90% of the stock’s closing up on the day, assisting the sector post a healthy +3.3% gain. MM has been looking for the growth stocks to recover some of their recent declines, perhaps its will be a classic case of “sell the rumour & buy the fact” after the Feds interest rate decision this morning.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: A weeks a very long time in 2022!

The ASX200 fell 0.7% yesterday under the weight of aggressive selling across the resources sector, almost the complete opposite to how equities kicked off last week e.g. Tuesday saw Santos (STO) -4.1%, IGO Ltd (IGO) -6.8%, BHP Group (BHP) -4.2% and OZ Minerals (OZL) -3.5%. Fortunately the banks maintained their recent strength to limit the losses as the Big Four managed to collectively rally over 1%.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Australian fund managers are super cheap, if you’re brave

The ASX200 rallied strongly yesterday to close +1.2% with exactly 80% of the market closing up on the day, the Financials were again the standout rallying +2.5% while the resources continued to look a touch tired although not down and out at this stage. Historically the banks simply love this time of year with 3 of the “Big Four” trading ex-dividend over the coming weeks however its this exact same seasonal strong rally by the sector which often bears fruit to the “sell in May & go away” trade for the ASX , to be precise just before the end of April is when the ASX usually gets the...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Has Russia created a blow-off top in commodities?

While the awful humanitarian news continues to flow out of the Ukraine last week saw financial markets focus on the potential risks towards commodities markets and by definition global inflation if we see a prolonged conflict / economic stalemate. History tells us that higher inflation leads to rising interest rates which is a significant headwind for equities, and risk assets generally. Petrol prices have already gone crazy in Sydney, the local station has standard 95 at $2.35, I remember back in the middle of the Coronavirus panic it actually dipped under $1, that’s a clear read on inflation. We’ve all heard how commodity prices...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: is it time to load up on the banks?

The ASX200 rallied strongly yesterday to close up 1.1% with over 80% of the market closing up on the day, if it hadn’t been for some profit taking in the energy & mining stocks it would have undoubtedly been a rare triple digit gain for the local index. Much of the strength flowed down from a pullback in oil prices following comments from the Ukraine that’s it’s open to peace talks with Russia, travel stocks were not surprisingly the standout winners e.g. Qantas (QAN) +5.8%, Webjet (WEB) +5.8% & Fight Centre (FLT) +6.6%.

what matters today Market Matters
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