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Morning report

What Matters Today: Three Companies that missed the mark, but has the market hit them too hard?

The ASX200 wobbled on Monday, as was largely expected, following Trump's tariff tantrum over the weekend, which created uncertainty around US trade policy. The local bourse slipped 0.6%, with over 70% of the main board retreating, but another strong session from the miners stemmed the losses, with heavyweight BHP again posting a fresh all-time high, closing up +19% year-to-date.
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Morning report

Macro Monday: Don’t panic around Trumps 15% tariffs

On Friday, the US Supreme Court struck down most of Trump’s sweeping tariff policy under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, ruling in a 6-3 vote that the law does not authorise the president to impose tariffs. Markets reacted positively to the ruling, with stocks rising, including Amazon, up more than 2%, alongside gains in retailers Home Depot and Five Below, amid hopes of relief from tariff-driven cost pressures and sticky inflation.
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Morning report

ETF Friday: Looking at Energy ETFs as Oil breaks above $US70/barrel

The ASX 200 posted a new intra-day high on Thursday before slipping into the close, ending a strong day up 79 points, or 0.9%. As reporting season gathers pace, yesterday’s session delivered another round of outsized moves from companies both beating and missing expectations.
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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: CBA last week, BHP yesterday, will things happen in threes?

The ASX200 surrendered much of its early gains on Tuesday but still ended the day up 0.2%. We almost felt like a one-stock index at times yesterday with BHP at one stage popping above $54, up more than 7%, for the first time. Even with the “Big Australian” closing back under $53, up +4.7% on the day, it still added 40-points to the ASX200, basically double its net gain on the day
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Are ASX Utilities stocks winners in the age of AI?

Monday saw the ASX200 experience a choppy day, which came as no surprise, with Chinese markets closed for the Lunar New Year and the US closed overnight for Presidents Day - it’s the year of the horse in China, which has a bullish feel to it, being associated with energy, independence and drive.
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Morning report

ETF Friday: Are ETFs the way to invest for a bottom in the software sector?

The ASX 200 tested its all-time high at lunchtime yesterday before peeling away to close up just +0.3% as the dramatic polarisation across the ASX continues in earnest - already in 2026, we’ve witnessed the Tech Sector hammered by over -20% while the Materials have gained more than +12%, compounding the dramatic rotation through FY26. It's becoming almost monotonous to quote how far the major tech names have fallen day to day. However, it's hard to ignore; it felt like capitulation on Thursday, but there's already been a few chapters in that particular scary book - on the day, SiteMinder (SDR) -12.9%, Xero (XRO) -8.4%, Life360 (360) -8.3%, and Technology One (TNE) -6.9%.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: CBA puts the banks on centre stage

The ASX 200 soared +1.7%, enjoying its best day since October, posting 3-month highs in the process. Rallies by the heavyweight financials and materials sectors drove the move, led by strong earnings beats from Commonwealth Bank (CBA) and James Hardie (JHX). Although 8 of the main 11 sectors closed higher, the financials dominated the day, contributing 70% of the main boards' gain following the storming performance by CBA after its 1H profit topped expectations - more on the banks later.
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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Eyes down as reporting season kicks into gear

The ASX200 surrendered its early gains on Tuesday to end marginally lower after being up almost 60-points early in the session. Eight of 11 local sectors ended the session higher, as strong miners, energy, and IT stocks offset a 1.1% slump in the financial sector, with the insurers weak and bank selling gathering momentum during the day.
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MM is now neutral towards the ASX200, around 9000
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IVV
MM is neutral towards the S&P 500 around 6800
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MM is cautiously bullish towards the IGV ETF around $US76
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MM is bullish towards lithium from the $US1900/MT area
MM is now neutral (but still long) NVO in the International Equities Portfolio
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PLS
MM is now neutral PLS around $4.50
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MIN
MM is neutral towards MIN ~$54
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IGO
MM is neutral towards IGO around $8
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ING
MM is bullish ING around $2.10
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NCK
MM is bullish on NCK around $18
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ALL
MM is bullish towards ALL around $47
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Latest Reports

Morning report

Macro Monday: Don’t panic around Trumps 15% tariffs

On Friday, the US Supreme Court struck down most of Trump’s sweeping tariff policy under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, ruling in a 6-3 vote that the law does not authorise the president to impose tariffs. Markets reacted positively to the ruling, with stocks rising, including Amazon, up more than 2%, alongside gains in retailers Home Depot and Five Below, amid hopes of relief from tariff-driven cost pressures and sticky inflation.

Morning report

ETF Friday: Looking at Energy ETFs as Oil breaks above $US70/barrel

The ASX 200 posted a new intra-day high on Thursday before slipping into the close, ending a strong day up 79 points, or 0.9%. As reporting season gathers pace, yesterday’s session delivered another round of outsized moves from companies both beating and missing expectations.

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: CBA last week, BHP yesterday, will things happen in threes?

The ASX200 surrendered much of its early gains on Tuesday but still ended the day up 0.2%. We almost felt like a one-stock index at times yesterday with BHP at one stage popping above $54, up more than 7%, for the first time. Even with the “Big Australian” closing back under $53, up +4.7% on the day, it still added 40-points to the ASX200, basically double its net gain on the day

Morning report

What Matters Today: Are ASX Utilities stocks winners in the age of AI?

Monday saw the ASX200 experience a choppy day, which came as no surprise, with Chinese markets closed for the Lunar New Year and the US closed overnight for Presidents Day - it’s the year of the horse in China, which has a bullish feel to it, being associated with energy, independence and drive.

Morning report

ETF Friday: Are ETFs the way to invest for a bottom in the software sector?

The ASX 200 tested its all-time high at lunchtime yesterday before peeling away to close up just +0.3% as the dramatic polarisation across the ASX continues in earnest - already in 2026, we’ve witnessed the Tech Sector hammered by over -20% while the Materials have gained more than +12%, compounding the dramatic rotation through FY26. It's becoming almost monotonous to quote how far the major tech names have fallen day to day. However, it's hard to ignore; it felt like capitulation on Thursday, but there's already been a few chapters in that particular scary book - on the day, SiteMinder (SDR) -12.9%, Xero (XRO) -8.4%, Life360 (360) -8.3%, and Technology One (TNE) -6.9%.

Morning report

What Matters Today: CBA puts the banks on centre stage

The ASX 200 soared +1.7%, enjoying its best day since October, posting 3-month highs in the process. Rallies by the heavyweight financials and materials sectors drove the move, led by strong earnings beats from Commonwealth Bank (CBA) and James Hardie (JHX). Although 8 of the main 11 sectors closed higher, the financials dominated the day, contributing 70% of the main boards' gain following the storming performance by CBA after its 1H profit topped expectations - more on the banks later.

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Eyes down as reporting season kicks into gear

The ASX200 surrendered its early gains on Tuesday to end marginally lower after being up almost 60-points early in the session. Eight of 11 local sectors ended the session higher, as strong miners, energy, and IT stocks offset a 1.1% slump in the financial sector, with the insurers weak and bank selling gathering momentum during the day.

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