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Morning report

What Matters Today: Should we buy the pullback in lithium stocks, or abandon ship?

The ASX200 started the week on a firm footing, closing up +0.4%, back within a few points of the psychological 8700 area. The catalyst for the solid day was news that the EU and the US had reached a trade agreement, and President Trump was looking to extend his tariff truce with China - the US S&P 500 futures buoyed sentiment, opening ~0.5% higher on the tariff news.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

ETF Friday: Is it too late to buy three “off the beaten track” Top Performing ETFs?

The ASX 200 keeps teasing us with a significant breakout on the upside before gains are tempered by macro &/or geopolitical news. On Thursday, it was the RBA with Michele Bullock delivering a less dovish speech than hoped by many, warning that underlying inflation may not fall as quickly as anticipated, signalling that an interest rate cut next month is not guaranteed - futures markets are still pricing it as a certainty, with a 40% chance of a third before Christmas.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Will the recovery by US homebuilders flow into the ASX?

The ASX200 rallied +0.7% on Wednesday, closing back above 8700 and within 0.4% of its all-time high. Buying was broad-based, with over 70% of the index closing higher. Although Paladin (PDN) and Telix Pharma (TLX) delivered a couple of negative surprises, bullish sentiment continued to prevail with all of the big names from banks to resources advancing.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Equities punch to new highs on a lack of negative news

Since April, global indices have shrugged off bad news almost with disdain, leaving many pundits looking for new reasons to justify a potential fall in stocks. Most importantly, for all the political noise and recession warnings, the linchpin US economy remains resilient, allowing markets to scale new heights.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Fed rate cut bets wane, even after a soft CPI

The ASX200 surged +0.7% on Tuesday following broad-based gains, which saw 70% of the mainboard close higher. The index posted a fresh record closing high for the second time in a fortnight, ignoring plenty of negative news along the way. Ironically, the only sector which slipped on the day was the materials even after China reported better-than-expected quarterly economic growth, although we wouldn't be surprised to see this translate to some buying in the miners into August.
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MM is now neutral towards the ASX200 short term
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IVV
MM is now neutral towards the S&P 500 Index short term
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MM is cautiously bullish towards the iron ore miners
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PDN
MM is cautiously long and bullish PDN
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DYL
MM is cautiously bullish DYL ~$1.65
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MM is bullish on the LIT ETF ~$US43
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PLS
MM is cautiously bullish towards PLS around $1.70
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MIN
MM is long and bullish towards MIN around $30
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IGO
MM is cautiously bullish towards IGO ~$4.75
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Latest Reports

Morning report

ETF Friday: Is it too late to buy three “off the beaten track” Top Performing ETFs?

The ASX 200 keeps teasing us with a significant breakout on the upside before gains are tempered by macro &/or geopolitical news. On Thursday, it was the RBA with Michele Bullock delivering a less dovish speech than hoped by many, warning that underlying inflation may not fall as quickly as anticipated, signalling that an interest rate cut next month is not guaranteed - futures markets are still pricing it as a certainty, with a 40% chance of a third before Christmas.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Will the recovery by US homebuilders flow into the ASX?

The ASX200 rallied +0.7% on Wednesday, closing back above 8700 and within 0.4% of its all-time high. Buying was broad-based, with over 70% of the index closing higher. Although Paladin (PDN) and Telix Pharma (TLX) delivered a couple of negative surprises, bullish sentiment continued to prevail with all of the big names from banks to resources advancing.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Equities punch to new highs on a lack of negative news

Since April, global indices have shrugged off bad news almost with disdain, leaving many pundits looking for new reasons to justify a potential fall in stocks. Most importantly, for all the political noise and recession warnings, the linchpin US economy remains resilient, allowing markets to scale new heights.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Fed rate cut bets wane, even after a soft CPI

The ASX200 surged +0.7% on Tuesday following broad-based gains, which saw 70% of the mainboard close higher. The index posted a fresh record closing high for the second time in a fortnight, ignoring plenty of negative news along the way. Ironically, the only sector which slipped on the day was the materials even after China reported better-than-expected quarterly economic growth, although we wouldn't be surprised to see this translate to some buying in the miners into August.

what matters today Market Matters
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