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Morning report

What Matters Today: Are insurance stocks better value than banks into 2025?

The ASX200 closed up +0.45% on Thursday, but again, after nudging a fresh all-time high, it drifted lower into the close, this time surrendering almost half of its late afternoon gains. The advance was patchy, with over 40% of the main board closing lower, but when the “Big Four Banks,” BHP, and CSL all rally, it's going to be a tough session for the bears.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Could Trump cause a washout of oil prices?

The ASX200 rebounded +0.6% on Wednesday, retracing more than 50% of Tuesday's sell-off following Trump’s tariff threats, although we believe he simply reiterated his campaigning rhetoric. Gains were broad-based in the session, with all 11 sectors finishing higher and over 65% of the main board rose.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Trump rattles the tariff sabre, and markets take notice

At 10:30 a.m. on Tuesday, Donald Trump reminded us that the next few months, potentially years, will likely deliver plenty of volatility and opportunity. Just 24 hours beforehand, markets had welcomed Scott Bessent’s selection as the next U.S. Treasury Secretary with open arms in the hope of a more gradual layering of economic tariffs.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: How MM will maximise four of its biggest winners into 2025

The ASX200 closed up +0.3% on Monday, but it was a somewhat lacklustre session, with the index surrendering ~65% of its early morning gains. With 40% of the main board closing lower along with 3 of the Big 4 Banks, it was always going to be tough for the local index to make meaningful headway, although it did register another all-time high early in the morning.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Delving into the Trump-China Conundrum

The banks and resources hugely influence the ASX200, with the latter in the doldrums through most of 2024. Trump's emphatic victory earlier this month exacerbated this underperformance. This morning, we’ve reconsidered what comes next as Beijing fails to deliver the bazooka-style stimulus many anticipated.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Is the AI/Data Centre trade poised for a pullback?

The ASX200 surrendered early gains on Thursday to finish the session down just 3 points, holding above 8320 technical support. How the US would react to Nvidia’s (NVDA US) result, delivered yesterday morning our time, was a hot topic of conversation that kept many players on the sidelines as the early reaction was muted, the stock initially dipping 5% in after-market trade.
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MM is looking for one 0.25% rate cut by the RBA in this Financial Year
MM is cautiously bullish towards the ASX200
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IVV
MM is cautiously bullish towards US stocks
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MM is bullish toward the UK FTSE
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MM is cautiously bullish about Australian bonds, i.e. yields lower
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MM is cautiously bullish on US Bonds (yields lower)
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MM is cautiously bullish towards iron ore
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OOO
MM is neutral toward crude oil
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USD
MM is now neutral towards the $US short-term
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MM is bullish on the Yen (bearish the USDJPY)
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NHF
New trade idea: Buy NHF ~$5.70 with stops below $5.40; with an initial target ~$6.60.
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MM remains a supporter of nuclear power

Latest Reports

Morning report

What Matters Today: Are insurance stocks better value than banks into 2025?

The ASX200 closed up +0.45% on Thursday, but again, after nudging a fresh all-time high, it drifted lower into the close, this time surrendering almost half of its late afternoon gains. The advance was patchy, with over 40% of the main board closing lower, but when the “Big Four Banks,” BHP, and CSL all rally, it's going to be a tough session for the bears.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Could Trump cause a washout of oil prices?

The ASX200 rebounded +0.6% on Wednesday, retracing more than 50% of Tuesday's sell-off following Trump’s tariff threats, although we believe he simply reiterated his campaigning rhetoric. Gains were broad-based in the session, with all 11 sectors finishing higher and over 65% of the main board rose.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Trump rattles the tariff sabre, and markets take notice

At 10:30 a.m. on Tuesday, Donald Trump reminded us that the next few months, potentially years, will likely deliver plenty of volatility and opportunity. Just 24 hours beforehand, markets had welcomed Scott Bessent’s selection as the next U.S. Treasury Secretary with open arms in the hope of a more gradual layering of economic tariffs.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: How MM will maximise four of its biggest winners into 2025

The ASX200 closed up +0.3% on Monday, but it was a somewhat lacklustre session, with the index surrendering ~65% of its early morning gains. With 40% of the main board closing lower along with 3 of the Big 4 Banks, it was always going to be tough for the local index to make meaningful headway, although it did register another all-time high early in the morning.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Delving into the Trump-China Conundrum

The banks and resources hugely influence the ASX200, with the latter in the doldrums through most of 2024. Trump's emphatic victory earlier this month exacerbated this underperformance. This morning, we’ve reconsidered what comes next as Beijing fails to deliver the bazooka-style stimulus many anticipated.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Is the AI/Data Centre trade poised for a pullback?

The ASX200 surrendered early gains on Thursday to finish the session down just 3 points, holding above 8320 technical support. How the US would react to Nvidia’s (NVDA US) result, delivered yesterday morning our time, was a hot topic of conversation that kept many players on the sidelines as the early reaction was muted, the stock initially dipping 5% in after-market trade.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: MM ponders the 3 “dogs” in our Active Growth Portfolio

The ASX200 drifted lower throughout Wednesday to finish a disappointing session down -0.57%, with over 80% of the main board closing lower. It was a “risk-off” day for the local bourse, with concerns around Trump's looming tariffs and the Ukraine-Russia War weighing on sentiment.

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