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Morning report

What Matters Today: Depressed earnings & share price but good assets = gold!

Monday morning should have reminded us all that M&A is alive and well in 2021 as an infrastructure consortium bid $22.6bn for the embattled Sydney Airports (SYD), the 42% premium to Fridays close would have sent a sigh of relief through much of the local investment community who have been major supporters of this classic “yield play” stock since the GFC.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Are gold stocks starting to turn?

It already feels like a long week and its only Friday morning, the combination of being in lockdown and EOFY has been exhausting, the market itself is only down -0.6% so it’s certainly not any wild gyrations in stocks draining our energy levels.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Does MM see any value in the ASX200’s worst stocks of the last financial year?

A new financial year is upon us and if its only half as good as FY20/21’s it will still be well above the average performance of recent decades but with the tailwind of huge fiscal and monetary stimulus diminishing fast MM believes the next year is likely to be very different to the last one. Already in 2021 we’ve seen a noticeable migration back towards the value sector and in particular the banks which has helped the ASX200 rally +11% since January 1st i.e. the average gain of the “Big Four” banks has been +23.7% as they’ve embraced the prospect of higher bond yields.
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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The “shenanigans hour” approaches.

The ASX200 fell early yesterday only to recover virtually all of the losses after midday to close down just 0.1% - how many times have we written that in the last 12-months! Almost 50% of the Australian population being thrown back into a COVID lockdown has been taken in its stride by the local market illustrating the inherent buying into any weakness.
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Morning report

Macro Monday: COVID’s back, will opportunities present themselves?

Today’s report as its name suggests usually focuses on the macro-economic factors driving financial markets both today and into the future, however as Sydney goes into a 2-week full lockdown and the rest of Australia feels in danger of following suit the deteriorating local virus picture looks highly likely to dominate both the end of the this financial year, & the start of FY22 - NSW represents ~30% of Australia’s GDP.
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MM remains a keen buyer of market dips with the 7000 area the first technical support area
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MM believes the Australian bond yields are set to rally
MM is looking for a trigger to buy US bond yields
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MM feels risk markets may be too optimistic around COVID
USD
MM is looking for more upside from the $US
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MM is neutral / bearish copper short-term
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MM is neutral precious metals short-term
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IVV
MM’s ideal short-term pullback target for the S&P500 is now ~3,975
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IEU
MM likes European stocks into weakness
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OSH
MM is bullish OSH
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MP1
MM is neutral MP1 after its 10% correction
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IGL
MM remains bullish IGL
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SRG
MM is bullish SRG
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Latest Reports

Morning report

What Matters Today: Depressed earnings & share price but good assets = gold!

Monday morning should have reminded us all that M&A is alive and well in 2021 as an infrastructure consortium bid $22.6bn for the embattled Sydney Airports (SYD), the 42% premium to Fridays close would have sent a sigh of relief through much of the local investment community who have been major supporters of this classic “yield play” stock since the GFC.

Morning report

What Matters Today: Are gold stocks starting to turn?

It already feels like a long week and its only Friday morning, the combination of being in lockdown and EOFY has been exhausting, the market itself is only down -0.6% so it’s certainly not any wild gyrations in stocks draining our energy levels.

Morning report

What Matters Today: Does MM see any value in the ASX200’s worst stocks of the last financial year?

A new financial year is upon us and if its only half as good as FY20/21’s it will still be well above the average performance of recent decades but with the tailwind of huge fiscal and monetary stimulus diminishing fast MM believes the next year is likely to be very different to the last one. Already in 2021 we’ve seen a noticeable migration back towards the value sector and in particular the banks which has helped the ASX200 rally +11% since January 1st i.e. the average gain of the “Big Four” banks has been +23.7% as they’ve embraced the prospect of higher bond yields.

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The “shenanigans hour” approaches.

The ASX200 fell early yesterday only to recover virtually all of the losses after midday to close down just 0.1% - how many times have we written that in the last 12-months! Almost 50% of the Australian population being thrown back into a COVID lockdown has been taken in its stride by the local market illustrating the inherent buying into any weakness.

Morning report

Macro Monday: COVID’s back, will opportunities present themselves?

Today’s report as its name suggests usually focuses on the macro-economic factors driving financial markets both today and into the future, however as Sydney goes into a 2-week full lockdown and the rest of Australia feels in danger of following suit the deteriorating local virus picture looks highly likely to dominate both the end of the this financial year, & the start of FY22 - NSW represents ~30% of Australia’s GDP.

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