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Morning report

What Matters Today: Should we avoid stocks that experience large Block Trades?

The ASX200 closed up +0.15% on Thursday in an ultimately lacklustre session, which promised more in the morning before surrendering two-thirds of its gains through the afternoon. Tech and consumer discretionary names advanced over 1% while real estate lagged, slipping -1.4%. On the commodities front, the story remains the same, and it’s starting to get a little bit monotonous as we head into Christmas, less than three weeks away.
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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The ASX200 breaks 8500, and major sellers surface

After yesterday's close, China Investment Corporation (CIC) launched a massive $1.9 billion selldown of market darling Goodman Group (GMG). Citi’s equities desk was looking to place 50.4 million GMG shares or about 2.6% of the company; to put things into perspective, only 3.7 million shares exchanged hands on Tuesday.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Are insurance stocks better value than banks into 2025?

The ASX200 closed up +0.45% on Thursday, but again, after nudging a fresh all-time high, it drifted lower into the close, this time surrendering almost half of its late afternoon gains. The advance was patchy, with over 40% of the main board closing lower, but when the “Big Four Banks,” BHP, and CSL all rally, it's going to be a tough session for the bears.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Could Trump cause a washout of oil prices?

The ASX200 rebounded +0.6% on Wednesday, retracing more than 50% of Tuesday's sell-off following Trump’s tariff threats, although we believe he simply reiterated his campaigning rhetoric. Gains were broad-based in the session, with all 11 sectors finishing higher and over 65% of the main board rose.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Trump rattles the tariff sabre, and markets take notice

At 10:30 a.m. on Tuesday, Donald Trump reminded us that the next few months, potentially years, will likely deliver plenty of volatility and opportunity. Just 24 hours beforehand, markets had welcomed Scott Bessent’s selection as the next U.S. Treasury Secretary with open arms in the hope of a more gradual layering of economic tariffs.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: How MM will maximise four of its biggest winners into 2025

The ASX200 closed up +0.3% on Monday, but it was a somewhat lacklustre session, with the index surrendering ~65% of its early morning gains. With 40% of the main board closing lower along with 3 of the Big 4 Banks, it was always going to be tough for the local index to make meaningful headway, although it did register another all-time high early in the morning.
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MM believes the tech sector will underperform in 2025
MM is cautiously bullish toward the ASX200
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IVV
MM is cautiously bullish towards US stocks
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IZZ
MM is cautiously bullish towards Chinese equities
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MM is looking for one RBA rate cut this financial year
MM is cautiously bullish about Australian bonds, i.e. yields lower
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MM is bearish toward Japanese JGBs (yields higher)
MM is bullish towards gold medium-term
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OOO
MM is neutral toward crude oil
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USD
MM is neutral towards the $US short-term
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MM is bearish on the AUDJPY
RMS
Buy RMS below $2.30 with stops below $2.15; our initial target is a breakout above $2.60.
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MM is neutral toward the KOSPI

Latest Reports

Morning report

What Matters Today: Should we avoid stocks that experience large Block Trades?

The ASX200 closed up +0.15% on Thursday in an ultimately lacklustre session, which promised more in the morning before surrendering two-thirds of its gains through the afternoon. Tech and consumer discretionary names advanced over 1% while real estate lagged, slipping -1.4%. On the commodities front, the story remains the same, and it’s starting to get a little bit monotonous as we head into Christmas, less than three weeks away.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The ASX200 breaks 8500, and major sellers surface

After yesterday's close, China Investment Corporation (CIC) launched a massive $1.9 billion selldown of market darling Goodman Group (GMG). Citi’s equities desk was looking to place 50.4 million GMG shares or about 2.6% of the company; to put things into perspective, only 3.7 million shares exchanged hands on Tuesday.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Where does MM anticipate ongoing M&A in the gold space?

The ASX200 closed up +0.1% on Monday in a fairly lacklustre session, which again saw the local index unable to build on early gains. Over 50% of the main board closed higher, with interesting moves in the resources sector after Chinese manufacturing data beat estimates.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: ASX200 to test highs as the housing market softens

The ASX200 is set to test new highs early this week after US equities hit new milestones on Friday, even though it was only a half-day following Thanksgiving holiday. The path of least resistance remains on the upside, even on quiet days.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Are insurance stocks better value than banks into 2025?

The ASX200 closed up +0.45% on Thursday, but again, after nudging a fresh all-time high, it drifted lower into the close, this time surrendering almost half of its late afternoon gains. The advance was patchy, with over 40% of the main board closing lower, but when the “Big Four Banks,” BHP, and CSL all rally, it's going to be a tough session for the bears.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Could Trump cause a washout of oil prices?

The ASX200 rebounded +0.6% on Wednesday, retracing more than 50% of Tuesday's sell-off following Trump’s tariff threats, although we believe he simply reiterated his campaigning rhetoric. Gains were broad-based in the session, with all 11 sectors finishing higher and over 65% of the main board rose.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Trump rattles the tariff sabre, and markets take notice

At 10:30 a.m. on Tuesday, Donald Trump reminded us that the next few months, potentially years, will likely deliver plenty of volatility and opportunity. Just 24 hours beforehand, markets had welcomed Scott Bessent’s selection as the next U.S. Treasury Secretary with open arms in the hope of a more gradual layering of economic tariffs.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: How MM will maximise four of its biggest winners into 2025

The ASX200 closed up +0.3% on Monday, but it was a somewhat lacklustre session, with the index surrendering ~65% of its early morning gains. With 40% of the main board closing lower along with 3 of the Big 4 Banks, it was always going to be tough for the local index to make meaningful headway, although it did register another all-time high early in the morning.

what matters today Market Matters
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