Downer EDI (DOW) $7.81
DOW +1%: The market has been looking for signs that Downer’s simplified, core-services strategy is translating into more consistent profitability – this result covered that off.
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Undervalued
Morningstar Quantitative Rating as of 5 NOV 2026.
Quantitative Equity Rating Methodology – view here
Five-star price 7.39 Fair value 8.15 One-star price 8.99
Morningstar Quantitative Rating as of 5 NOV 2026.
Morningstar Quantitative Rating as of 5 NOV 2026. The slider runs from the five-star price (7.39) to the one-star price (8.99).
| Ratios |
|---|
| Currency (Price/reporting): AUD/AUD |
| Exchange Rate: 1.0000 |
| Price - closing or last bid | 7.10 |
| Price - 12 month high | 8.66 |
| Price - 12 month low | 6.25 |
| Pricing date | 5 NOV 2026 |
| Volume - avg. trading volume for the last ten days | 1.82 |
| Market capitalization | 4,635.03 |
| 12 Month High price date | 2 MAR 2026 |
| 12 Month Low price date | 2 SEP 2026 |
| Volume - avg. trading volume for the last 3 months | 2.28 |
| Price - 1 Day % Change | -0.98% |
| Price - 13 week price percent change | -11.03% |
| Price - 26 week price percent change | -7.67% |
| Price - 5 Day % Change | 0.28% |
| Price - 52 week price percent change | -8.03% |
| Price - YTD price percent change | -10.69% |
| Price % Change Month To Date | 5.50% |
| EPS excluding extraordinary items - most recent fiscal year | 0.326 |
| EPS excluding extraordinary items - trailing 12 month | 0.326 |
| EPS Normalized - most recent fiscal year | 0.461 |
| Revenue/share - most recent fiscal year | 14.600 |
| Revenue/share - trailing 12 month | 14.600 |
| Book value per share - most recent fiscal year | 2.977 |
| Book value per share - most recent half-year | 2.977 |
| Book value (tangible) per share - most recent fiscal year | 0.224 |
| Book value (tangible) per share - most recent half-year | 0.224 |
| Cash per share - most recent fiscal year | 1.163 |
| Cash per share - most recent half-year | 1.163 |
| Cash Flow per share - most recent fiscal year | 0.757 |
| Cash Flow per share - trailing 12 month | 0.757 |
| Dividend per share - most recent fiscal year | — |
| Dividends per share - trailing 12 month | 0.292 |
| EBITD per share - trailing 12 month | 1.005 |
| EPS Basic excluding extraordinary items - most recent fiscal year | 0.326 |
| EPS Basic excluding extraordinary items - trailing 12 month | 0.326 |
| EPS including extraordinary items - most recent fiscal year | 0.326 |
| EPS including extraordinary items - trailing 12 month | 0.326 |
| Free Cash Flow per share - trailing 12 month | 0.539 |
| P/E excluding extraordinary items, most recent fiscal year | 21.78 |
| P/E Normalized, most recent fiscal year | 15.39 |
| Price to sales - most recent fiscal year | 0.49 |
| Price to Tangible Book - most fiscal year | — |
| Price to Free Cash Flow per Share - most recent fiscal year | 13.17 |
| Price to Cash Flow per share - trailing 12 month | 9.38 |
| Price to Book - most recent fiscal year | 2.39 |
| P/E excluding extraordinary items high, trailing 12 months | 39.95 |
| P/E excluding extraordinary items low, trailing 12 months | 19.42 |
| Net Debt, LFI | 634.70 |
| Net Debt, LFY | 596.50 |
| Dividend Yield - 5 Year Average | 3.62% |
| Dividend Yield - indicated annual dividend divided by closing price | 4.11% |
| Current Dividend Yield - Common Stock Primary Issue, LTM | 4.11% |
| Free Cash Flow - most recent fiscal year | 358.40 |
| LT debt/equity - most recent fiscal year | 59.47% |
| Payout ratio - most recent fiscal year | — |
| Total debt/total equity - most recent fiscal year | 64.26% |
| LT debt/equity - most recent half-year | 33.50% |
| Total debt/total equity - most recent half-year | 61.84% |
| Free Cash Flow - trailing 12 month | 358.40 |
| Payout ratio - trailing 12 month | — |
| Revenue - most recent fiscal year | 9,704.80 |
| Revenue - trailing 12 month | 9,704.80 |
| EBITD - most recent fiscal year | 667.80 |
| EBITD - trailing 12 month | 667.80 |
| Earnings before taxes - most recent fiscal year | 318.30 |
| Earnings before taxes - trailing 12 month | 318.30 |
| Net Income available to common - most recent fiscal year | 216.50 |
| Net Income available to common - trailing 12 months | 216.50 |
| Earnings before taxes Normalized - most recent fiscal year | 339.00 |
| Net Income Available to Common, Normalized - most recent fiscal year | 306.70 |
| Earnings per Share, Normalized, Excluding Extraordinary Items, Avg. Diluted Shares Outstanding, TTM | 0.46 |
| Net Profit Margin % - 1st historical fiscal year | 2.32% |
| Net Profit Margin % - trailing 12 month | 2.32% |
| Operating margin - 1st historical fiscal year | 3.63% |
| Operating margin - trailing 12 month | 3.63% |
| Pretax margin - trailing 12 month | 3.28% |
| Pretax margin - 1st historical fiscal year | 3.28% |
| Operating Margin - 5 year average | 2.05% |
| Pretax Margin - 5 year average | 1.05% |
| Free Operating Cash Flow/Revenue, 5 Year Average | 2.72% |
| Free Operating Cash Flow/Revenue, TTM | 3.69% |
| Net Profit Margin - 5 year average | 0.51% |
| Return on average assets - most recent fiscal year | 3.56% |
| Return on average assets - trailing 12 month | 3.56% |
| Return on average equity - most recent fiscal year | 11.28% |
| Return on average equity - trailing 12 month | 11.28% |
| Return on average assets - 5 year average | 0.67% |
| Return on average equity - 5 year average | 2.10% |
| Net Income/employee - most recent fiscal year | 8,669.23 |
| Revenue/employee - most recent fiscal year | 373,261.54 |
| Revenue growth rate, 5 year | -3.36% |
| EPS growth rate, 5 year | 5.58% |
| Growth rate% - dividend, 3 year | 16.67% |
| Revenue/share (5 yr growth) | -1.51% |
| Growth rate% - Revenue, 3 year | -5.87% |
| Growth rate% - EPS, 3 year | — |
| Book value per share growth rate, 5 year | -6.82% |
| Capital Spending growth rate, 5 year | -12.67% |
| Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation & Amortization, 5 Year CAGR | -4.24% |
Financial forecast (AUD, millions except per share)
| Actuals | Estimates | |||||||
| 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | |||||
| Estimate breakdown | ||||||||
Financials (AUD, millions)
| Period end: | JUN 22 | JUN 23 | JUN 24 | JUN 25 | JUN 26 |
| Fiscal year: | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
| Period length: | 12 months | 12 months | 12 months | 12 months | 12 months |
Announcements
| DATE | TIME | HEADING | PAGES |
| Price sensitive |
DOW +1%: The market has been looking for signs that Downer’s simplified, core-services strategy is translating into more consistent profitability – this result covered that off.
DOW is a large Australian integrated services company that designs, builds, and maintains infrastructure across transport, utilities, facilities, and energy sectors – so not as directly linked to mining as the others. On Monday, the stock closed only +0.9% higher, even after hearing they'd won a 15-year $750mn services contract from Chevron, which begins in January.
DOW has rallied strongly in 2025, with the engineering and infrastructure stock up over 20% year-to-date, even more than CBA! A clear standout in the group, more than doubling from its 2023 lows delivering a strong 1H for FY25, including cutting costs by a whopping $180mn.
VNT -22.56% & DOW -5.95%: A tough day for both, though Ventia was the harder hit given the allegations are more influential to them. The ACCC announced civil proceedings against divisions of both companies as well as targeting four senior executives, for “alleged price fixing relating to estate maintenance and operation services for the Department of Defence. Both firms provide services to Department of Defence under separate billion-dollar contracts.
DOW +11.14%: the services contractor posted strong 1H numbers, helping to stock crack 52-week highs. Management has been focussing on margins, so while revenue climbed 7%, Earnings (EBITDA) was up 13% to $151m, around 3% ahead of consensus.
DOW -23.74%: a brutal reaction to a poor 1H result for the facilities contractor as contract losses and a restructure weighed on the outlook. Profit fell 20% to $68m while a $12m post-tax hit will be taken in the 2H following a revenue recognition error on an ongoing contract.
DOW -20.42%: The contractor came clean this morning about an accounting issue, having incorrectly recognised revenue from a long-term, maintenance contract to the tune of $40m. As a result, they cut FY earnings guidance by $8-10m and had to explain away issues with their internal systems that led to the embarrassing mess. While it will have...
Telstra (TLS) FY21 Result: The headline act today and it looks a solid one, plus the commentary from CEO Andy Penn is bullish. At the top line, revenue of $23.1bn was a shade below expectations for $23.5bn, EBITDA of $7.4bn as expected, NPAT of $1.9bn inline with expectations and the dividend confirmed at 16cps. EPS was better at 15.4c v 13.5c expected and they announced a $1.35bn on market buy back. FY22 guidance is for underlying EBITDA of $7-7.3bn, the market is already at $7.4bn so slightly below in terms of guidance, but should be okay.
DOW +7.33%: The global contractor Downer was higher today after announcing it would buy back up to 10% of its stock.
MM is cautiously bullish DOW ~$7.80
MM is cautiously bullish towards DOW
MM is cautiously bullish DOW
MM is bullish DOW, a turn around story gaining momentum
MM has no interest in DOW
MM has no interest in DOW, not just a result of today’s debacle
MM is bullish DOW
Downer conducts construction and maintenance in the transport, technology and communications, utilities, rail, and defense segments. The future of Downer is focused on urban services, with mining and higher-risk construction businesses exited. Downer has strong relationships with local and state governments that outsource operational and management activities, ensuring a relatively consistent stream of recurring contract work. The transport segment contributes the majority of earnings.
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