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Morning report

Macro Monday: The prospect of higher rates rattles equities

The ASX200 pushed ever higher last week taking its advance to ~12% year to date but following sharp losses in the US on Friday this week’s going to start off on a very different footing, the SPI futures are calling the local market to open down -1.5% this morning, wiping out over half of the months gains in one fell swoop.
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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: It’s all about Australia!

The ASX200 continues to rally steadily with the index challenging the psychological 7400 area in the early afternoon as the +0.9% gain took Junes advance to +218-points / 3%, and we’re still only half way through the month, although I would caution the bulls that we’ve reached MM’s target for June assuming the markets going to maintain the same momentum of the last 4-months.
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Morning report

Macro Monday (on a Tuesday): Keep riding the wave

The ASX200 again posted all-time highs last week as a little profit taking in the banks was more than offset by broad based buying across the market led by the IT Sector as bond yields slipped lower removing the headwind which has been suppressing the growth stocks through most of 2021 – our focus today will be on these very same bond yields which have dictated the sector rotation over the last 6-months.
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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Stay long but tweak stock / sector exposure.

The ASX200 continues to rally steadily with the seasonal concerns around May well and truly behind us, since Februarys low ~6500 the index has gained well over 3% p.m. with no obvious end in sight, if anything the moves gathering momentum after clearing the 7000 hurdle. Tuesdays 10-point gain wasn’t particularly exciting but with meaningful sellers remaining firmly on the sidelines it’s more a matter of which sectors drag us higher with the IT & Healthcare stocks more recently best on ground i.e. the growth plays.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: 3 M&A targets on our radar

The ASX200 again scaled fresh all-time highs on Monday but on a day when the banks struggled following regulator AUSTRAC’s investigation into money laundering at National Australia Bank (NAB) it was one step too far for the index to close above 7300.
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Morning report

Macro Monday: MM believes it’s almost time to buy the tech stocks

This morning the ASX200 appears poised to again test the 7300 area, if we assume the local index has already seen its low for June and the last couple of months have set the benchmark for the current breakout by Australian stocks investors should expect to see a test of 7400 in the coming weeks, a move that shouldn’t be hard to comprehend as the banks maintain their bullish charge, the average gain of the “Big 4” in 2021 is already over 28%, and that’s before we even consider their attractive dividends.
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MM remains a happy buyer of weakness over the coming weeks
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MM’s ideal downside Dow is around the 32,000 area, or just ~4% lower
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IVV
MM is a keen buyer of the S&P500 ~7% lower
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MM feels the IT stocks will continue to outperform the resources for a few more weeks / months
MM is looking for a buying opportunity in yields / sell in bonds over the next 1-2 months
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MM will migrate back towards the resources stocks from tech over the coming weeks / months
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MM is ultimately looking for both yields to rise and the 3 & 10-years to converge
MM feels economic activity is looking for a new level equilibrium level
MM is looking for areas to buy the industrial metals
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USD
MM is a seller of the $US in the 93 and 94 area
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MM is neutral / bearish Bitcoin
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MM remains bullish volatility from current levels
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MM is targeting another 10% upside for the ATEC
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Latest Reports

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: It’s all about Australia!

The ASX200 continues to rally steadily with the index challenging the psychological 7400 area in the early afternoon as the +0.9% gain took Junes advance to +218-points / 3%, and we’re still only half way through the month, although I would caution the bulls that we’ve reached MM’s target for June assuming the markets going to maintain the same momentum of the last 4-months.

Morning report

Macro Monday (on a Tuesday): Keep riding the wave

The ASX200 again posted all-time highs last week as a little profit taking in the banks was more than offset by broad based buying across the market led by the IT Sector as bond yields slipped lower removing the headwind which has been suppressing the growth stocks through most of 2021 – our focus today will be on these very same bond yields which have dictated the sector rotation over the last 6-months.

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Stay long but tweak stock / sector exposure.

The ASX200 continues to rally steadily with the seasonal concerns around May well and truly behind us, since Februarys low ~6500 the index has gained well over 3% p.m. with no obvious end in sight, if anything the moves gathering momentum after clearing the 7000 hurdle. Tuesdays 10-point gain wasn’t particularly exciting but with meaningful sellers remaining firmly on the sidelines it’s more a matter of which sectors drag us higher with the IT & Healthcare stocks more recently best on ground i.e. the growth plays.

Morning report

What Matters Today: 3 M&A targets on our radar

The ASX200 again scaled fresh all-time highs on Monday but on a day when the banks struggled following regulator AUSTRAC’s investigation into money laundering at National Australia Bank (NAB) it was one step too far for the index to close above 7300.

Morning report

Macro Monday: MM believes it’s almost time to buy the tech stocks

This morning the ASX200 appears poised to again test the 7300 area, if we assume the local index has already seen its low for June and the last couple of months have set the benchmark for the current breakout by Australian stocks investors should expect to see a test of 7400 in the coming weeks, a move that shouldn’t be hard to comprehend as the banks maintain their bullish charge, the average gain of the “Big 4” in 2021 is already over 28%, and that’s before we even consider their attractive dividends.

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