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Morning report

What Matters Today: Checking on our underperformers with Christmas cheer in the air!

The ASX200 roared higher on Wednesday, “hump day” to many but traders often refer to it as “drive day” as the market finally decides where it’s headed, this time the market enjoyed broad based buying with over 80% of stocks closing in positive territory, the index scaled fresh 3-week highs as Omicron fears seemed to vanish almost as fast as they arrived. The 1.25% gain took the local market within 3% of its all-time high only a few weeks after the doom and gloom merchants were focusing on either bond yields or Omicron. I feel...
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Its starting to feel like a Christmas Rally!

Tuesday saw the ASX200 rally strongly finally closing up just shy of 1% on broad based buying with strong gains enjoyed by most pockets of the market, however the standout performances largely came from stocks who were whacked in previous sessions around Omicron fears, as we’ve said over recent days the new variant emanating from South Africa doesn’t appear to be an economic or health game changer, the RBA concurs with our feeling here believing the Omicron variant is a source of uncertainty but no major risk to our economy. Overall the Australian central...
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Reviewing 4 stocks picked in yesterday’s webinar

The ASX200 fought hard yesterday to close marginally higher in the face of some aggressive selling across the tech space, it felt like many investors / traders who were long high valuation growth names decided to take a hint from Bitcoins 25% plunge over the weekend i.e. if in doubt get out! The were a number of prominent losers in these high Beta names including Zip (Z1P) -10.1%, HUB24 (HUB) -4.4%, Allkem (AKE) -7.2% (which is the old Orecobre), Kogan.com (KGN) -6.6%, Appen (APX) -5.4% and Afterpay...
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Omicron & inflation are leaning on equities

Omicrons impact on equities has been fairly muted since it arrived on the scene a few weeks ago, a 2% pullback by the ASX200 can only be described as a little more than noise, especially when compared to the last 2-years. Obviously we have seen a few roller coaster sessions on Wall Street but in our opinion stocks don’t feel too concerned around how the new variant is going to impact economic growth:
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Is David Teohs selling TPG a Telco warning?

The ASX200 continues to find buying support into decent dips but it’s not yet got the stamina / belief to make any headway on the upside, yesterday saw the local market bounce over 50-points from a weak open, following an aggressive late downturn by US markets, but once it returned to unchanged the buying almost instantly became far more passive. Currently markets are transfixed on any fresh news around the Omicron variant and until we see the market hold firm on bad news the likelihood is we haven’t yet seen the end...
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Assessing value in the Travel & Tourism Sector under the Omicron cloud

The ASX200 proved very resilient on Wednesday managing to largely ignore loses on overseas bourses , we finally closed down less than 0.3% although only 20% of stocks managed to close in positive territory. The influential Banking & Resources Sectors are finding some support into the recent weakness and these are 2 areas of the market which will need to perform if the bulls like ourselves are to be rewarded with a classic Christmas Rally. If we consider how far some of these big names have fallen in recent months it’s not...
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Don’t panic but be mindful sentiment swings are changing like the weather

Tuesday saw the ASX200 rally strongly into lunch only to fail badly in the last hour of trade after the Moderna CEO reminded us all that there remains significant unknowns / risks with the Omicron COVID strain – if the ASX can both rally & fall around 100-points in one session I feel like we should all brace ourselves for a volatile run into Christmas. The market has remained in a fairly tight trading range for the last 6-months although it certainly doesn’t feel like it this morning.
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: 3 portfolio moves MM are monitoring through current elevated volatility

The ASX200 felt strong yesterday even though it closed down over 0.5%, the local index managed to recoup half of the days early losses with 35% of stocks finally to closing in positive territory while the IT and Resources Sectors both closed up on the day - only 2 stocks fell by over 5% which illustrated the lack of aggressive selling, unlike Friday! However it’s one thing for the market to find support into weakness but we need a definite 360 about-face in market sentiment to make another assault on new highs, now over 5% away.
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: How should investors react to Omicron?

Omicron has been the subject on many people’s minds over the last few days, surely not another ruined Christmas etc. The social impact of lockdowns over the last few years has been simply awful and one comment I’ve heard numerous times over this weekend has been “I’m not sure I can cope with another lockdown” . Europe was already struggling under yet another winter wave of COVID and now we have a new variant thrown into the mix which has already described as “cause for concern”, although at this stage it does appear markets...
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: 5 ETF’s MM can see ourselves investing in over the next year

The ASX200 ground out a small 0.1% gain on Thursday leaving us marginally higher for both the week and month, it’s becoming boring on the index level but my “Gut Feeling” is movement is looming on the horizon. The Banks continue to weigh on the index but a strong 2.4% bounce by the IT Sector managed to keep us in positive territory – its been a long while since both of the value & growth names rose or fell together as sector rotation continues to dominate proceedings. December arrives in less than week and the bullish statistics keep on rolling e.g. over the last 40-years...
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what matters today Market Matters
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MM remains bullish the ASX targeting fresh highs into 2022
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CBA
MM is mildly bullish CBA into 2022
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RMD
MM is bullish RMD looking for over 10% upside at least
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CSL
MM remains long and bullish CSL
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IVV
MM remains mildly bullish US equities into 2022
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IEU
MM remains bullish European indices
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MM is mildly bullish stocks into 2022
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APX
MM is neutral to positive APX around $9.50 though we do not intend to average our position
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AWC
MM likes AWC under $1.90 and may average our position
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A2M
MM is positive A2M under $6 though we don’t intend to average our position
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NWH
MM is neutral to positive NWH though we don’t intend to average our position
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VUK
MM still likes VUK around $3.20
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Latest Reports

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Its starting to feel like a Christmas Rally!

Tuesday saw the ASX200 rally strongly finally closing up just shy of 1% on broad based buying with strong gains enjoyed by most pockets of the market, however the standout performances largely came from stocks who were whacked in previous sessions around Omicron fears, as we’ve said over recent days the new variant emanating from South Africa doesn’t appear to be an economic or health game changer, the RBA concurs with our feeling here believing the Omicron variant is a source of uncertainty but no major risk to our economy. Overall the Australian central...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Reviewing 4 stocks picked in yesterday’s webinar

The ASX200 fought hard yesterday to close marginally higher in the face of some aggressive selling across the tech space, it felt like many investors / traders who were long high valuation growth names decided to take a hint from Bitcoins 25% plunge over the weekend i.e. if in doubt get out! The were a number of prominent losers in these high Beta names including Zip (Z1P) -10.1%, HUB24 (HUB) -4.4%, Allkem (AKE) -7.2% (which is the old Orecobre), Kogan.com (KGN) -6.6%, Appen (APX) -5.4% and Afterpay...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Omicron & inflation are leaning on equities

Omicrons impact on equities has been fairly muted since it arrived on the scene a few weeks ago, a 2% pullback by the ASX200 can only be described as a little more than noise, especially when compared to the last 2-years. Obviously we have seen a few roller coaster sessions on Wall Street but in our opinion stocks don’t feel too concerned around how the new variant is going to impact economic growth:

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Is David Teohs selling TPG a Telco warning?

The ASX200 continues to find buying support into decent dips but it’s not yet got the stamina / belief to make any headway on the upside, yesterday saw the local market bounce over 50-points from a weak open, following an aggressive late downturn by US markets, but once it returned to unchanged the buying almost instantly became far more passive. Currently markets are transfixed on any fresh news around the Omicron variant and until we see the market hold firm on bad news the likelihood is we haven’t yet seen the end...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Assessing value in the Travel & Tourism Sector under the Omicron cloud

The ASX200 proved very resilient on Wednesday managing to largely ignore loses on overseas bourses , we finally closed down less than 0.3% although only 20% of stocks managed to close in positive territory. The influential Banking & Resources Sectors are finding some support into the recent weakness and these are 2 areas of the market which will need to perform if the bulls like ourselves are to be rewarded with a classic Christmas Rally. If we consider how far some of these big names have fallen in recent months it’s not...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Don’t panic but be mindful sentiment swings are changing like the weather

Tuesday saw the ASX200 rally strongly into lunch only to fail badly in the last hour of trade after the Moderna CEO reminded us all that there remains significant unknowns / risks with the Omicron COVID strain – if the ASX can both rally & fall around 100-points in one session I feel like we should all brace ourselves for a volatile run into Christmas. The market has remained in a fairly tight trading range for the last 6-months although it certainly doesn’t feel like it this morning.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: 3 portfolio moves MM are monitoring through current elevated volatility

The ASX200 felt strong yesterday even though it closed down over 0.5%, the local index managed to recoup half of the days early losses with 35% of stocks finally to closing in positive territory while the IT and Resources Sectors both closed up on the day - only 2 stocks fell by over 5% which illustrated the lack of aggressive selling, unlike Friday! However it’s one thing for the market to find support into weakness but we need a definite 360 about-face in market sentiment to make another assault on new highs, now over 5% away.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: How should investors react to Omicron?

Omicron has been the subject on many people’s minds over the last few days, surely not another ruined Christmas etc. The social impact of lockdowns over the last few years has been simply awful and one comment I’ve heard numerous times over this weekend has been “I’m not sure I can cope with another lockdown” . Europe was already struggling under yet another winter wave of COVID and now we have a new variant thrown into the mix which has already described as “cause for concern”, although at this stage it does appear markets...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: 5 ETF’s MM can see ourselves investing in over the next year

The ASX200 ground out a small 0.1% gain on Thursday leaving us marginally higher for both the week and month, it’s becoming boring on the index level but my “Gut Feeling” is movement is looming on the horizon. The Banks continue to weigh on the index but a strong 2.4% bounce by the IT Sector managed to keep us in positive territory – its been a long while since both of the value & growth names rose or fell together as sector rotation continues to dominate proceedings. December arrives in less than week and the bullish statistics keep on rolling e.g. over the last 40-years...

what matters today Market Matters
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