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Morning report

What Matters Today: Does MM see any value in the ASX200’s worst stocks of the last financial year?

A new financial year is upon us and if its only half as good as FY20/21’s it will still be well above the average performance of recent decades but with the tailwind of huge fiscal and monetary stimulus diminishing fast MM believes the next year is likely to be very different to the last one. Already in 2021 we’ve seen a noticeable migration back towards the value sector and in particular the banks which has helped the ASX200 rally +11% since January 1st i.e. the average gain of the “Big Four” banks has been +23.7% as they’ve embraced the prospect of higher bond yields.
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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The “shenanigans hour” approaches.

The ASX200 fell early yesterday only to recover virtually all of the losses after midday to close down just 0.1% - how many times have we written that in the last 12-months! Almost 50% of the Australian population being thrown back into a COVID lockdown has been taken in its stride by the local market illustrating the inherent buying into any weakness.
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Morning report

Macro Monday: COVID’s back, will opportunities present themselves?

Today’s report as its name suggests usually focuses on the macro-economic factors driving financial markets both today and into the future, however as Sydney goes into a 2-week full lockdown and the rest of Australia feels in danger of following suit the deteriorating local virus picture looks highly likely to dominate both the end of the this financial year, & the start of FY22 - NSW represents ~30% of Australia’s GDP.
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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Forget the rest, watch the $US.

The ASX200 reminded us again on Tuesday that there’s a lot of life left in this post GFC bull market as it recovered over 100-points of Mondays plunge to close only marginally down for the week after 2 very volatile sessions. Tuesday saw over 80% of stocks rally with most areas of standout strength almost mirroring where the selling was focused on Monday.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Reviewing MM’s local IT holdings into the current sector strength

The ASX200 followed Fridays weak lead from global indices finally closing down -1.8% with the heavyweight Banking Sector surrendering some of their recent impressive gains, it felt like a session of aggressive profit taking with the stronger performers over the last 3-months suffering the most e.g. Commonwealth Bank (CBA) fell -5.4% after rallying over +15% over the last 3-months.
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Morning report

Macro Monday: The prospect of higher rates rattles equities

The ASX200 pushed ever higher last week taking its advance to ~12% year to date but following sharp losses in the US on Friday this week’s going to start off on a very different footing, the SPI futures are calling the local market to open down -1.5% this morning, wiping out over half of the months gains in one fell swoop.
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MM remains a very keen buyer of stocks into pullbacks
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APX
MM is considering APX under $13
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CKF
MM is neutral CKF around $11.50
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MM remains a keen buyer of US stocks into any meaningful weakness
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MM believes US bond yields are “looking for a low”
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MM remains long and bullish WHC
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MSB
MM is neutral MSB
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SBM
MM likes SBM as an aggressive play into weakness
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APA
MM is neutral APA
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Latest Reports

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The “shenanigans hour” approaches.

The ASX200 fell early yesterday only to recover virtually all of the losses after midday to close down just 0.1% - how many times have we written that in the last 12-months! Almost 50% of the Australian population being thrown back into a COVID lockdown has been taken in its stride by the local market illustrating the inherent buying into any weakness.

Morning report

Macro Monday: COVID’s back, will opportunities present themselves?

Today’s report as its name suggests usually focuses on the macro-economic factors driving financial markets both today and into the future, however as Sydney goes into a 2-week full lockdown and the rest of Australia feels in danger of following suit the deteriorating local virus picture looks highly likely to dominate both the end of the this financial year, & the start of FY22 - NSW represents ~30% of Australia’s GDP.

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Forget the rest, watch the $US.

The ASX200 reminded us again on Tuesday that there’s a lot of life left in this post GFC bull market as it recovered over 100-points of Mondays plunge to close only marginally down for the week after 2 very volatile sessions. Tuesday saw over 80% of stocks rally with most areas of standout strength almost mirroring where the selling was focused on Monday.

Morning report

What Matters Today: Reviewing MM’s local IT holdings into the current sector strength

The ASX200 followed Fridays weak lead from global indices finally closing down -1.8% with the heavyweight Banking Sector surrendering some of their recent impressive gains, it felt like a session of aggressive profit taking with the stronger performers over the last 3-months suffering the most e.g. Commonwealth Bank (CBA) fell -5.4% after rallying over +15% over the last 3-months.

Morning report

Macro Monday: The prospect of higher rates rattles equities

The ASX200 pushed ever higher last week taking its advance to ~12% year to date but following sharp losses in the US on Friday this week’s going to start off on a very different footing, the SPI futures are calling the local market to open down -1.5% this morning, wiping out over half of the months gains in one fell swoop.

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