G8 Education (GEM) 70c
G8 Education shares were hammered yesterday, falling as much as 18%, the sharpest single-day fall since COVID first rattled the market in March 2020.
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Undervalued
Morningstar Quantitative Rating as of 23 OCT 2026.
Quantitative Equity Rating Methodology – view here
Five-star price 0.10 Fair value 0.15 One-star price 0.23
Morningstar Quantitative Rating as of 23 OCT 2026.
Morningstar Quantitative Rating as of 23 OCT 2026. The slider runs from the five-star price (0.10) to the one-star price (0.23).
| Ratios |
|---|
| Currency (Price/reporting): AUD/AUD |
| Exchange Rate: 1.0000 |
| Price - closing or last bid | 0.09 |
| Price - 12 month high | 0.85 |
| Price - 12 month low | 0.09 |
| Pricing date | 23 OCT 2026 |
| Volume - avg. trading volume for the last ten days | 3.06 |
| Market capitalization | 70.98 |
| 12 Month High price date | 24 OCT 2025 |
| 12 Month Low price date | 22 OCT 2026 |
| Volume - avg. trading volume for the last 3 months | 4.44 |
| Price - 1 Day % Change | 1.10% |
| Price - 13 week price percent change | -31.85% |
| Price - 26 week price percent change | -61.67% |
| Price - 5 Day % Change | 0.00% |
| Price - 52 week price percent change | -89.05% |
| Price - YTD price percent change | -86.67% |
| Price % Change Month To Date | 1.10% |
| EPS excluding extraordinary items - most recent fiscal year | -0.392 |
| EPS excluding extraordinary items - trailing 12 month | -0.471 |
| EPS Normalized - most recent fiscal year | 0.076 |
| Revenue/share - most recent fiscal year | 1.225 |
| Revenue/share - trailing 12 month | 1.194 |
| Book value per share - most recent fiscal year | 0.694 |
| Book value per share - most recent half-year | 0.643 |
| Book value (tangible) per share - most recent fiscal year | -0.229 |
| Book value (tangible) per share - most recent half-year | -0.281 |
| Cash per share - most recent fiscal year | 0.050 |
| Cash per share - most recent half-year | 0.048 |
| Cash Flow per share - most recent fiscal year | 0.217 |
| Cash Flow per share - trailing 12 month | 0.177 |
| Dividend per share - most recent fiscal year | — |
| Dividends per share - trailing 12 month | 0.020 |
| EBITD per share - trailing 12 month | -0.296 |
| EPS Basic excluding extraordinary items - most recent fiscal year | -0.392 |
| EPS Basic excluding extraordinary items - trailing 12 month | -0.471 |
| EPS including extraordinary items - most recent fiscal year | -0.392 |
| EPS including extraordinary items - trailing 12 month | -0.471 |
| Free Cash Flow per share - trailing 12 month | 0.097 |
| P/E excluding extraordinary items, most recent fiscal year | — |
| P/E Normalized, most recent fiscal year | 1.31 |
| Price to sales - most recent fiscal year | 0.08 |
| Price to Tangible Book - most fiscal year | — |
| Price to Free Cash Flow per Share - most recent fiscal year | 0.95 |
| Price to Cash Flow per share - trailing 12 month | 0.52 |
| Price to Book - most recent fiscal year | 0.14 |
| P/E excluding extraordinary items high, trailing 12 months | 9.66 |
| P/E excluding extraordinary items low, trailing 12 months | 5.32 |
| Net Debt, LFI | 741.49 |
| Net Debt, LFY | 780.99 |
| Dividend Yield - 5 Year Average | 4.11% |
| Dividend Yield - indicated annual dividend divided by closing price | 21.98% |
| Current Dividend Yield - Common Stock Primary Issue, LTM | 21.74% |
| Free Cash Flow - most recent fiscal year | 116.37 |
| LT debt/equity - most recent fiscal year | 142.47% |
| Payout ratio - most recent fiscal year | — |
| Total debt/total equity - most recent fiscal year | 155.81% |
| LT debt/equity - most recent half-year | 143.96% |
| Total debt/total equity - most recent half-year | 159.92% |
| Free Cash Flow - trailing 12 month | 72.18 |
| Payout ratio - trailing 12 month | — |
| Revenue - most recent fiscal year | 946.84 |
| Revenue - trailing 12 month | 891.27 |
| EBITD - most recent fiscal year | -128.22 |
| EBITD - trailing 12 month | -220.70 |
| Earnings before taxes - most recent fiscal year | -284.16 |
| Earnings before taxes - trailing 12 month | -371.43 |
| Net Income available to common - most recent fiscal year | -303.31 |
| Net Income available to common - trailing 12 months | -364.56 |
| Earnings before taxes Normalized - most recent fiscal year | 80.46 |
| Net Income Available to Common, Normalized - most recent fiscal year | 59.05 |
| Earnings per Share, Normalized, Excluding Extraordinary Items, Avg. Diluted Shares Outstanding, TTM | 0.07 |
| Net Profit Margin % - 1st historical fiscal year | -32.03% |
| Net Profit Margin % - trailing 12 month | -40.90% |
| Operating margin - 1st historical fiscal year | 13.70% |
| Operating margin - trailing 12 month | 8.91% |
| Pretax margin - trailing 12 month | -41.67% |
| Pretax margin - 1st historical fiscal year | -30.01% |
| Operating Margin - 5 year average | 12.40% |
| Pretax Margin - 5 year average | 0.31% |
| Free Operating Cash Flow/Revenue, 5 Year Average | 10.92% |
| Free Operating Cash Flow/Revenue, TTM | 8.10% |
| Net Profit Margin - 5 year average | -2.04% |
| Return on average assets - most recent fiscal year | -17.06% |
| Return on average assets - trailing 12 month | -22.34% |
| Return on average equity - most recent fiscal year | -39.22% |
| Return on average equity - trailing 12 month | -57.86% |
| Return on average assets - 5 year average | -1.75% |
| Return on average equity - 5 year average | -5.14% |
| Net Income/employee - most recent fiscal year | — |
| Revenue/employee - most recent fiscal year | — |
| Revenue growth rate, 5 year | 8.97% |
| EPS growth rate, 5 year | — |
| Growth rate% - dividend, 3 year | 11.20% |
| Revenue/share (5 yr growth) | 8.16% |
| Growth rate% - Revenue, 3 year | 1.66% |
| Growth rate% - EPS, 3 year | — |
| Book value per share growth rate, 5 year | -7.63% |
| Capital Spending growth rate, 5 year | 13.93% |
| Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation & Amortization, 5 Year CAGR | — |
Financial forecast (AUD, millions except per share)
| Actuals | Estimates | |||||||
| 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |||||
| Estimate breakdown | ||||||||
Financials (AUD, millions)
| Period end: | DEC 21 | DEC 22 | DEC 23 | DEC 24 | DEC 25 |
| Fiscal year: | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
| Period length: | 12 months | 12 months | 12 months | 12 months | 12 months |
Announcements
| DATE | TIME | HEADING | PAGES |
| Price sensitive |
G8 Education shares were hammered yesterday, falling as much as 18%, the sharpest single-day fall since COVID first rattled the market in March 2020.
2024 was an important year for childcare operator G8 Education, where they addressed many of the lingering issues within their business, ultimately reporting a solid scorecard yesterday.
GEM +11.61% Rallied after reporting FY23 results that were inline with upgraded guidance released in Dec, with revenue of $982m up 9% YoY and above consensus of $967m while underlying profit (NPAT) of $63m was a ~4% beat to consensus of $61m. The final dividend was 3.0cps fully franked, inline with expectations.
GEM +13.57%: two month highs for the childcare centre operator today, the company provided 2023 guidance that was better than expected. They now see Operating EBIT at $99-102m and NPAT at 62-64m, coming in ~5% ahead of consensus on both fronts.
While we are in no rush to buy back into G8 Education just yet, their weaker trading update last week pushed the shares ~12% below the level we exited, and we’re now adding the childcare operator back on the Hitlist for the Income Portfolio. At a strategy day on the 26th of October, they provided a trading update that was softer than expected, along with a plan to sell 31 underperforming centres. They outlined weaker occupancy (-1.4% YoY for the week ending 22 Oct) versus expectations of an improving trend.
The childhood education and care provider with over 430 centres is one of the largest in Australia with a particular focus down the East Coast, although they also have some centres in WA. They operate under brands such as Jellybeans, Greenwood, Kool Kids, Bambinos and more.
We are selling our 3% holding in G8 Education (GEM) following todays 1H23 results announcement. We don't believe GEM is cheap enough for the challenges/uncertainty that remain.
GEM +4.98% Held their AGM today and while there was no real new news, that is a positive outcome for a business undergoing a turnaround amid challenging operating conditions. The childcare operator has done a very good job in recent times to improve occupancy which will continue to drive a recovery in earnings.
The childcare operator reported a solid FY23 result yesterday (December year-end) with $901m in revenue up 4% YoY and inline with expectations, dropping to a small beat in underlying earnings (EBIT) which was flat YoY at $80.3m - the dividend of 2c for the half was light on, however, that is expected to grow in FY23 (~5c) and add ~1c each year from there.
The childcare operator delivered a trading update yesterday that showed some swings and roundabouts as is expected in a turnaround story. The pros to the update were firmly around 2H momentum, with improving occupancy and strong enquiry levels evident, while they are running at $71m in earnings before interest & tax (EBIT) for the year (and should do at least $4m in Dec) meaning...
MM is neutral at best towards GEM ~70c
MM would get interested in GEM ~$1.10 for yield
MM is neutral GEM for now
MM remains neutral GEM
MM is now adding GEM back onto the Income Portfolio Hitlist
MM has sold GEM from the Income Portfolio
MM are selling GEM in the Active Income Portfolio, taking a loss around $1.07
MM remains positive on GEM as the turnaround continues
MM is now more neutral on GEM ~$1.25
MM remains optimistic on GEM’s turnaround
G8 Education Ltd is a provider of quality early learning education and care, operating under a range of trusted brands. The company has one operating segment, being the operation of child care centers. G8 does not own the buildings from which its childcare centers operate.
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