Macro Monday: What does the second half of 2024 have in store?

The last six months have been an obvious “game of two halves,” that the US Value and Growth Indices illustrate perfectly; the Growth Index has surged over +23%, while the Value Index has edged up just +4.5%, and the broad-based S&P500 signed out to the first half of 2024 up +14.5%. The growth stocks benefitted from the boom in AI and the accompanying surge by the “Super Six,” whereas the Value Index was weighed down by a heavy Materials Sector. However, there’s not a lot of money to make focusing on the last six months; we need to look forward to what comes next. First, here are some interesting statistics which aren’t exciting for the swelling number of bears.

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Afternoon report 18/08/2025 18:56

The Match Out: Banks underpin a mild gain for the ASX

The ASX whipsawed between positive and negative territory today with another strong move from the banks providing some stability, pushing the index higher into the close. Results continue to stream in and were mixed today, though only 16% of the top 200 companies have reported - so still plenty more to come.

Morning report 18/08/2025 09:15

Macro Monday: Should we be concerned about high valuations?

We are now seven weeks into FY26, and global markets are trading at or near all-time highs. The ASX 200, including dividends, is up 4.7%, supported by a 13.7% rally in Resources and gains of more than 8% from Healthcare, Utilities, and Energy.

Weekend report 16/08/2025 09:48

Weekend Q&A: ASX ends the week at a fresh high as results season heats up

A strong end to the week saw the ASX200 advance 1.5%, breaking to new all-time highs above 8,900. It was only a little over four months ago that the ASX was trading below 7,200, clouded by an aggressive tariff regime implemented by the president of the world’s largest economy. While the tariff situation remains a work in progress, with a deal yet to be signed between China and the US, it has quickly faded from headlines. Deals with other countries suggest the same will happen between the two superpowers, and our view at the time—that huge tariffs simply didn’t work as policy and therefore had to be a strategy—appears to be playing out.

Afternoon report 15/08/2025 17:42

The Match Out: ASX adds 1.5% for the week, closes at new all-time highs

Another strong session to end a positive week for stocks, with the ASX defying a flat session overseas to chalk up a new all-time closing high, above 8900 for the first time.

Morning report 15/08/2025 08:40

ETF Friday: A deep dive into our Core ETF Portfolio, and how it can be used

Two of the most widely held stocks in Australia, Commonwealth Bank (CBA) and Telstra (TLS), both confirmed this week that crowded/momentum trades can be problematic. Meeting earnings expectations when the market is positioned for an upside surprise is simply not good enough.

Afternoon report 14/08/2025 18:12

The Match Out: WBC quarterly fuels Bank rally as ASX hits fresh intra-day high

The ASX hit new intra day highs today, driven by strong gains in Financials and Utilities after upbeat earnings results from Westpac and Origin. Bank stocks followed the WBC result up with CBA the weakest link for a second straight session. Employment data this morning eased concerns of a weakening job market and took some fuel off the fire for a rate cut at next month’s RBA meeting.

Morning report 14/08/2025 09:40