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The ASX200 fell 120-points / 1.8% last week with all of the losses, plus more, occurring on Friday as rising bond yields shook the confidence of global equities. Friday was the last trading day of February and it’s common that volatility becomes elevated at both the start and finish of a month, interestingly both January and February saw early strength with tops on the 17th & 25th respectively before weakness saw most of the months gains lost in fairly rapid fashion – as we’ve said previously it feels like the airs getting thin whenever 7000 is on the horizon. From a seasonal perspective the next few months are pretty neutral before weakness usually sets in for May & June hence at this stage we believe that MM’s mantra for 2021 of “buy weakness and sell strength” remains very much in play especially when we consider the last 2 months.

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Latest Reports

Afternoon report

The Match Out: ASX treads water as sector rotation drives the action

The ASX edged lower after yesterday’s strong rally, with investors again taking cues from the evolving Iran conflict and the knock-on impact on energy markets. While the index finished little changed overall, the session was marked by steady intraday swings.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
Afternoon report

The Match Out: ASX surges as soft CPI and ‘progress’ in the Middle East combine for the index’s best day 2 months

The ASX enjoyed a strong rebound today, bouncing sharply as investors latched onto two positives at once. Brent crude rolled over in Asian trade after the US President purportedly presented Iran with a 15-point plan to end the conflict, helping to calm nerves. At the same time, the February CPI print came in a touch softer than feared, giving the market some confidence that domestic inflation pressures are easing.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Looking through the noise from the Iran War

The ASX200 managed to close up +0.2% on Tuesday, but it wasn’t pretty with the index ending the session more than 100 points below its early morning high. The issue was the credibility of President Trump's claims that talks are underway to end the conflict with Iran, where reports of such talks were called “Fake News.” The attacks continue, although Trump has postponed strikes on Iran’s energy infrastructure, citing “productive conversations” with Tehran.

Afternoon report

The Match Out: Materials drive early bounce, ASX fades through the session

The ASX finished modestly higher but well off its intraday highs after an early relief rally faded as the geopolitical backdrop in the Middle East remained fluid. The index surged more than +130pts at the open, briefly pushing 8500, before momentum cooled as US futures slipped gradually through the day.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
Afternoon report

The Match Out: ASX down but recovers nicely from morning lows

The ASX finished lower, though it was much worse early on in the session. The war in the Middle East continues to dominate sentiment, with the market now down ~9% from the start of March, flirting with technical 'correction' territory.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
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