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Zip Co. Ltd (ASX: ZIP)

Our Q&As are emailed in our Saturday Morning Report, find the answer to this question below.

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Question asked

Zip Co. Ltd (ASX: ZIP)

Hi guys you do a great job making people navigate through the stock market. I cannot understand why ZIP shares have been on a roller coaster ride lately. They came with a negative report then the next report they said that 2026 would be on track. Shares have been trading at the high end and now have dropped off. Was this because of the buyback put in place. Are they still a buy.

Answer

Hi Wayne,

Thanks for the kind words, always appreciated!

ZIP shares have actually been on a rollercoaster ride since before COVID, when they rose from ~$1 to above $14 before falling back well under $1, the last few months have actually been relatively calm in the scheme of it, though we know it doesn’t feel that way when we look at our P&L! ZIP remains a classic “show me” stock, with investors still skeptical after multiple false starts in previous recovery attempts.

The first negative report you highlight was about an uptick in bad debts. However, Zip’s funding profile is short term in nature, and that trend proved to be more of a blip than a trend, hence the recovery when they next reported better metrics and upgraded guidance.

Ultimately, the investment case still hinges on US transaction growth and credit losses. Both of these aspects are heading in the right direction. We covered their 3Q update here.

  • We still think ZIP is a buy ~$2.30 after its recent update but this is not a set and forget stock – we must keep our fingers on the pulse here.

We own ZIP in our Emerging Companies Portfolio with the position currently up ~22%.

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Zip Co. Ltd (ZIP)
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