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Super Retail Group (SUL) $14.17

SUL –12.48%: Not a super result from SUL, though a better trading update for the first 7 weeks of 2025 should have provided some support for the stock.

  • 1H25 Revenue of $2.11 billion, up +4% y/y, inline with consensus.
  • Supercheap Auto revenue $773.8 million, estimate $801.5 million.
  • Rebel revenue $706.5 million, estimate $689.5 million
  • BCF revenue $518.4 million, estimate $515 million
  • 1H25 Group earnings (EBIT) of $218m was below consensus of $225m
  • Underlying profit of $131m was lower than $138m expected.
  • Interim dividend per share $0.32 was flat on the year.

A weak result driven by softness in Super Cheap Auto, which is their largest business due to competition. On the positive side, Rebel delivered a better-than-expected result. Further, early trading in 2H25 is tracking ahead of expectations with sales growth 7% (vs 4.5% expected), though they noted there was some benefit from Boxing Day timing.

Overall miss, amplified by strength in the share price ahead of results. We thought a ~10% pullback in the share price would have been about right, however the stock was off more than 15% at the lows.

SUL
MM sees the pullback in SUL as a buying opportunity
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Super Retail Group (SUL)
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