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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Josh Frydenberg just hit the spend button!

Overnight we saw Treasurer Josh Frydenberg spend big in an effort to create another 250,000 jobs, there’s obviously no concerns around inflation or debt levels at this point in time. The booming mining sector has enabled the cash splash from revenue not envisaged by many a year ago when the pandemic dominated most conversations.
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Morning report

What Matters Today : Monitoring the resources boom

Yesterday saw the ASX200 surge to within touching distance of both its all-time high and the psychological 7200 area but this was not a typical 90-point rally because almost 30% of stocks closed down on the day.
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Morning report

Macro Monday : Keep watching bond yields & the $US

So far in May the ASX200 has maintained both Aprils underlying strength and its polarization of gains with the banks and resources powering ahead while growth stocks and in particular the IT Sector remaining under the proverbial pump.
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Morning report

What Matters Today : 3 local stocks we believe can fall 10-15%

The ASX200 marched ever higher on Wednesday closing less than 1.5% below its all-time high, the heavy lifting was performed by the big 3 of the local index - Commonwealth Bank (CBA), CSL Ltd (CSL) and BHP Group (BHP). Again, gains weren’t broad based with under 50% of the market closing positive but its hard to argue with “higher highs” even if the advance is relatively subdued from a momentum perspective.
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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The RBA maintains its stock market support

The ASX200 continues to oscillate between 7000 and 7100 as ongoing stock & sector rotation maintains the market equilibrium – yesterday saw only 55% of the index rally but when the resources rally strongly plus CBA / CSL post gains the index is almost guaranteed to be well supported.
Read more
Morning report

What Matters Today: Can the banks keep charging ahead?

The ASX200 closed marginally higher yesterday as stock & sector rotation remained the main game in town, yesterday was all about the banks and although only 30% of the index closed positive enthusiastic bank buying was enough to keep the indexes head above water.
Read more
Morning report

What Matters Today : Whose correct, iron ore or RIO, BHP et al?

The ASX200 closed up 0.25% yesterday as it continued to grind higher, the speed of its ascent is reminiscent of my kids getting ready for school but there’s no signs of failure at this point in time – our preferred scenario remains a classic seasonal pullback through May & June but the bulls still remain in control at this juncture with 55% of stock rallying on Thursday, led by strength in Healthcare & IT stocks both of which prefer a lower bond yield environment.
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No major change, MM remains cautious the ASX200 around current levels
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CBA
MM remains bullish CBA looking for a test of $100 in 2021
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CTD
MM likes CTD closer to $16, or 5% lower
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MM remains bearish US tech stocks
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MM is targeting the 14,000 area for the Taiwan Index
MM likes the Australian IT Sector ~5% lower
MM is looking for US 10-year bonds to rotate between 1.4% and 1.8% over the coming months
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NEA
MM likes NEA under $1.70
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NXL
MM feels NXL is in the too hard basket
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LNK
MM is neutral LNK
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XRO
MM likes XRO targeting another 20-25% upside
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Latest Reports

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Josh Frydenberg just hit the spend button!

Overnight we saw Treasurer Josh Frydenberg spend big in an effort to create another 250,000 jobs, there’s obviously no concerns around inflation or debt levels at this point in time. The booming mining sector has enabled the cash splash from revenue not envisaged by many a year ago when the pandemic dominated most conversations.

Morning report

What Matters Today : Monitoring the resources boom

Yesterday saw the ASX200 surge to within touching distance of both its all-time high and the psychological 7200 area but this was not a typical 90-point rally because almost 30% of stocks closed down on the day.

Morning report

Macro Monday : Keep watching bond yields & the $US

So far in May the ASX200 has maintained both Aprils underlying strength and its polarization of gains with the banks and resources powering ahead while growth stocks and in particular the IT Sector remaining under the proverbial pump.

Morning report

What Matters Today : 3 local stocks we believe can fall 10-15%

The ASX200 marched ever higher on Wednesday closing less than 1.5% below its all-time high, the heavy lifting was performed by the big 3 of the local index - Commonwealth Bank (CBA), CSL Ltd (CSL) and BHP Group (BHP). Again, gains weren’t broad based with under 50% of the market closing positive but its hard to argue with “higher highs” even if the advance is relatively subdued from a momentum perspective.

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The RBA maintains its stock market support

The ASX200 continues to oscillate between 7000 and 7100 as ongoing stock & sector rotation maintains the market equilibrium – yesterday saw only 55% of the index rally but when the resources rally strongly plus CBA / CSL post gains the index is almost guaranteed to be well supported.

Morning report

What Matters Today: Can the banks keep charging ahead?

The ASX200 closed marginally higher yesterday as stock & sector rotation remained the main game in town, yesterday was all about the banks and although only 30% of the index closed positive enthusiastic bank buying was enough to keep the indexes head above water.

Morning report

What Matters Today : Whose correct, iron ore or RIO, BHP et al?

The ASX200 closed up 0.25% yesterday as it continued to grind higher, the speed of its ascent is reminiscent of my kids getting ready for school but there’s no signs of failure at this point in time – our preferred scenario remains a classic seasonal pullback through May & June but the bulls still remain in control at this juncture with 55% of stock rallying on Thursday, led by strength in Healthcare & IT stocks both of which prefer a lower bond yield environment.

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