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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Forget the rest, watch the $US.

The ASX200 reminded us again on Tuesday that there’s a lot of life left in this post GFC bull market as it recovered over 100-points of Mondays plunge to close only marginally down for the week after 2 very volatile sessions. Tuesday saw over 80% of stocks rally with most areas of standout strength almost mirroring where the selling was focused on Monday.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Reviewing MM’s local IT holdings into the current sector strength

The ASX200 followed Fridays weak lead from global indices finally closing down -1.8% with the heavyweight Banking Sector surrendering some of their recent impressive gains, it felt like a session of aggressive profit taking with the stronger performers over the last 3-months suffering the most e.g. Commonwealth Bank (CBA) fell -5.4% after rallying over +15% over the last 3-months.
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Morning report

Macro Monday: The prospect of higher rates rattles equities

The ASX200 pushed ever higher last week taking its advance to ~12% year to date but following sharp losses in the US on Friday this week’s going to start off on a very different footing, the SPI futures are calling the local market to open down -1.5% this morning, wiping out over half of the months gains in one fell swoop.
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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: It’s all about Australia!

The ASX200 continues to rally steadily with the index challenging the psychological 7400 area in the early afternoon as the +0.9% gain took Junes advance to +218-points / 3%, and we’re still only half way through the month, although I would caution the bulls that we’ve reached MM’s target for June assuming the markets going to maintain the same momentum of the last 4-months.
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Morning report

Macro Monday (on a Tuesday): Keep riding the wave

The ASX200 again posted all-time highs last week as a little profit taking in the banks was more than offset by broad based buying across the market led by the IT Sector as bond yields slipped lower removing the headwind which has been suppressing the growth stocks through most of 2021 – our focus today will be on these very same bond yields which have dictated the sector rotation over the last 6-months.
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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Stay long but tweak stock / sector exposure.

The ASX200 continues to rally steadily with the seasonal concerns around May well and truly behind us, since Februarys low ~6500 the index has gained well over 3% p.m. with no obvious end in sight, if anything the moves gathering momentum after clearing the 7000 hurdle. Tuesdays 10-point gain wasn’t particularly exciting but with meaningful sellers remaining firmly on the sidelines it’s more a matter of which sectors drag us higher with the IT & Healthcare stocks more recently best on ground i.e. the growth plays.
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MM remains a keen buyer of market dips
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FLT
MM is neutral / negative FLT
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MM believes the US yield curve has topped out
USD
MM is looking for more upside from the $US
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MM is neutral copper at present
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IVV
MM’s ideal short-term pullback target for the S&P500 remains ~3,850
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IEU
European stocks again look set to make fresh all-time highs
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TLS
MM remains bullish TLS initially targeting ~$4.00
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PDN
MM remains bullish PDN
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Latest Reports

Morning report

What Matters Today: Reviewing MM’s local IT holdings into the current sector strength

The ASX200 followed Fridays weak lead from global indices finally closing down -1.8% with the heavyweight Banking Sector surrendering some of their recent impressive gains, it felt like a session of aggressive profit taking with the stronger performers over the last 3-months suffering the most e.g. Commonwealth Bank (CBA) fell -5.4% after rallying over +15% over the last 3-months.

Morning report

Macro Monday: The prospect of higher rates rattles equities

The ASX200 pushed ever higher last week taking its advance to ~12% year to date but following sharp losses in the US on Friday this week’s going to start off on a very different footing, the SPI futures are calling the local market to open down -1.5% this morning, wiping out over half of the months gains in one fell swoop.

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: It’s all about Australia!

The ASX200 continues to rally steadily with the index challenging the psychological 7400 area in the early afternoon as the +0.9% gain took Junes advance to +218-points / 3%, and we’re still only half way through the month, although I would caution the bulls that we’ve reached MM’s target for June assuming the markets going to maintain the same momentum of the last 4-months.

Morning report

Macro Monday (on a Tuesday): Keep riding the wave

The ASX200 again posted all-time highs last week as a little profit taking in the banks was more than offset by broad based buying across the market led by the IT Sector as bond yields slipped lower removing the headwind which has been suppressing the growth stocks through most of 2021 – our focus today will be on these very same bond yields which have dictated the sector rotation over the last 6-months.

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Stay long but tweak stock / sector exposure.

The ASX200 continues to rally steadily with the seasonal concerns around May well and truly behind us, since Februarys low ~6500 the index has gained well over 3% p.m. with no obvious end in sight, if anything the moves gathering momentum after clearing the 7000 hurdle. Tuesdays 10-point gain wasn’t particularly exciting but with meaningful sellers remaining firmly on the sidelines it’s more a matter of which sectors drag us higher with the IT & Healthcare stocks more recently best on ground i.e. the growth plays.

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